基于时差收敛算法的声发射源定位方法研究

本文针对传统基于时差的声发射定位方法精度及稳定性不足且易受检测环境影响的问题,提出了一种基于收敛算法的声发射源定位方法,经过循环迭代不断优化声发射信号的到达时刻计算方式,使得定位计算重构的定位源稳定收敛在近似同一区域,从而提高声发射源的定位准确度。     

Variability in Three Finnish Integrated Acidification Models

Integrated assessment models have been used to support ofnegotiations for further emission reductions of acidifyingcompounds in Europe. More attention is being paid to theuncertainties in integrated models. Data from three Finnishintegrated acidification models were compiled to estimate thevariation and relative importance of different modules. Themodels included site-specific and regional dynamic simulationsand steady-state critical load calculations for forest soilsand lakes. The main emphasis was on the variability ofemissions and the uncertainties in ecosystem effects. Althoughmaximum technically feasible emission reduction measures cantheoretically result in very low deposition, the variabilitybetween realistic scenarios is rather restricted. Thevariability of deposition loading is largely determined byreductions in nearby emission sources. The dynamicsimulations, which are often based on detailed input data,seem to retain larger variability than steady-state criticalload approaches. This study suggests that the uncertainties ineffects seem to be larger generally than other modules ofintegrated acidification models. The results indicate the needfor further work on uncertainty analysis for integrated modelsand the availability of useful model systems for furtherconfirmation of ecosystem effects.     

巴黎协定下中国碳排放权省域分配及减排潜力评估研究

通过构建碳排放权区域分配模型完成了省域分配,在此基础上与当前各地实际碳排放量进行比对,明晰了各自初始空间余额;而后对碳排放权欠缺地区的碳减排潜力进行了综合评估。研究结果表明：（1）我国30个省区碳排放权分配存在较大差异,其中云南配额最高,占比高达10.53%;宁夏配额最少,占比仅为0.28%。（2）全国有14个省区碳排放权初始空间余额表现出盈余状态,根据成因差异可大致分为“低排放、高配额”“低排放、低配额”以及“高排放、高配额”等三种类型;其他16个地区均表现出一定程度的欠缺,结合数值差异可划分为以江苏等4地为代表的轻度欠缺地区,以天津等7地为代表的中度欠缺地区,以及以辽宁等5地为代表的重度欠缺地区。（3）浙江、天津、山东等3地目前所具备的碳减排潜力要明显高于其他地区,而各地区的碳减排潜力水平虽与其碳排放权欠缺量表现出了一定趋同性但并非完全一致。     

炼钢厂1号—3号转炉煤气回收实践

针对提钒炼钢厂建设于20世纪70年代初的1号—3号转炉实施煤气回收的可能性进行了论证,对影响煤气回收的问题提出了相应的完善措施,在此基础上成功实施了1号—3号转炉煤气回收改造,改进后年回收转炉煤气达2 127 138GJ以上,可发电59 124 kW.h,减少CO2排放量近20万t,对降低生产能耗及减少温室气体排放起到了较好作用。     

Quantifying methane emission from fugitive sources by combining tracer release and downwind measurements – A sensitivity analysis based on multiple field surveys

Using a dual species methane/acetylene instrument based on cavity ring down spectroscopy (CRDS), the dynamic plume tracer dispersion method for quantifying the emission rate of methane was successfully tested in four measurement campaigns: (1) controlled methane and trace gas release with different trace gas configurations, (2) landfill with unknown emission source locations, (3) landfill with closely located emission sources, and (4) comparing with an Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR) instrument using multiple trace gasses for source separation. The new real-time, high precision instrument can measure methane plumes more than 1.2 km away from small sources (about 5 kg h^?1) in urban areas with a measurement frequency allowing plume crossing at normal driving speed. The method can be used for quantification of total methane emissions from diffuse area sources down to 1 kg per hour and can be used to quantify individual sources with the right choice of wind direction and road distance. The placement of the trace gas is important for obtaining correct quantification and uncertainty of up to 36% can be incurred when the trace gas is not co-located with the methane source. Measurements made at greater distances are less sensitive to errors in trace gas placement and model calculations showed an uncertainty of less than 5% in both urban and open-country for placing the trace gas 100 m from the source, when measurements were done more than 3 km away. Using the ratio of the integrated plume concentrations of tracer gas and methane gives the most reliable results for measurements at various distances to the source, compared to the ratio of the highest concentration in the plume, the direct concentration ratio and using a Gaussian plume model. Under suitable weather and road conditions, the CRDS system can quantify the emission from different sources located close to each other using only one kind of trace gas due to the high time resolution, while the FTIR system can measure multiple trace gasses but with a lower time resolution.     

A Multi-Years Analysis of the Energy Balance,Green Gas Emissions,and Production Costs of First and Second Generation Bioethanol

Contemporary reports on the energy and environmental benefits of bioethanol have suggested that the cellulosic ethanol is significantly more efficient. To understand the development potential of energy crops in Taiwan, the present study has assessed the resources and cost inputs for the planning, harvesting, transporting, and storing procedures of the first generation energy crops during 2007–2010 with the perspective of LCA. In addition, a field investigation focusing on rice straw, the largest agricultural waste in Taiwan, has been conducted since 2010 to obtain fundamental data.This study further analyzes the first and second-generation feedstocks from the perspective of LCA based on field investigated data. Taiwan has not yet established an ethanol plant; therefore, this study established production data by simulating the production efficiency of an economical scale using parameters obtained through production trials, and proposed an evaluation model for the energy input, GHG, and production costs of bioethanol in Taiwan. The results of this study were cross-compared with foreign literature to explore the development potential of bioethanol in Taiwan. The results indicate that based on the current cellulosic ethanol technology in Taiwan, regarding the energy balance, GHG, and production costs, is less efficient than that of the first generation bioethanol.     

我国大气细颗粒物污染防治目标和控制措施研究

我国面临着严重的细颗粒物(PM2.5)污染问题,PM2.5对人体健康、能见度、气候变化、生态系统等均产生了不良影响。本文旨在提出我国PM2.5污染防治目标和控制措施,为从根本上改善空气质量提供科学依据。首先,本文提出了2020年和2030年我国PM2.5污染防治目标。其次,采用能源和污染排放技术模型,分情景预测了我国未来一次大气污染物排放量的变化趋势。基于情景预测结果和此前研究建立的一次污染物排放与PM2.5浓度间的非线性关系,确定了2020年—2030年与PM2.5浓度改善相适应的全国和重点区域大气污染物减排目标。最后,利用能源和污染排放技术模型,提出了实现大气污染物减排的技术措施和对策建议。研究表明,2030年全国二氧化硫、氮氧化物、一次PM2.5和挥发性有机物的排放量应分别比2012年至少削减51%、64%、53%和36%,氨排放量也要略有下降。对于污染严重的重点区域,必须采取更严格的控制力度。要实现上述减排,应加快能源结构调整,推进煤炭清洁高效集中可持续利用,建立"车-油-路"一体的移动源控制体系,并强化多源多污染物的末端控制。     

采空区瓦斯涌出源位置对瓦斯浓度及自燃带分布的影响

利用Fluent软件,对采空区瓦斯为采空区整个区域涌出和上、下临近层及底板遗煤处同时涌出两种情况下的流场进行了数值模拟,并分析了采空区瓦斯体积分数及自燃带分布规律。结果表明:当采空区整个区域瓦斯涌出时,采空区瓦斯体积分数由底板到顶板垂直方向上呈逐渐升高的趋势;当上、下临近层及底板遗煤处瓦斯同时涌出时,采空区瓦斯体积分数在靠近底板和顶板位置处较高,中间区域处较低。与采空区整个区域瓦斯涌出相比,当上、下临近层及底板遗煤处瓦斯同时涌出时,在采空区底板处,自燃带更靠近工作面;在采空区底板和顶板中间位置处,自燃带远离工作面;在采空区顶板处,自燃带位置几乎没有变化。     

风帘长度对采空区瓦斯体积分数及自燃“三带”分布的影响

采用Fluent软件,对工作面进风侧无风帘、风帘长度20 m、30m、40m四种情况下的采空区流场进行了数值模拟,分析了不同风帘长度下采空区瓦斯和自燃“三带”的分布情况.结果表明:随风帘长度增加,采空区瓦斯爆炸范围虽变化不明显,但距工作面越来越近;采空区自燃带逐渐向工作面靠近,能使窒息带在采空区走向方向上变宽,覆盖原本位于采空区自燃带中后部(靠近窒息带)的高温点,降低采空区自燃发火的危险性.     

吉林省“十三五”期间污染物减排对策及建议

通过分析吉林省"十二五"期间总量减排取得的成效及存在的问题,提出吉林省"十三五"污染物总量控制政策及对策措施。此项研究是吉林省"十三五"规划前期研究的重要内容,对于吉林省今后的环境管理和总量控制规划的工作思路、发展方向的调整和转变,提高总量控制规划的可操作水平,促进新时期全省环境保护工作的开展方面都有借鉴意义。