Economic Analysis of CO2 Emission Trends in China

Climate change is one of hot spots all around the world. China, the second biggest CO₂ emitter, is facing increasingly severe pressure to reduce CO₂ emission. The article first describes Kaya Identity and its policy implications. Second, it uses the modified Kaya Identity and makes decomposition without residues on CO₂ emission during the period 1971-2005. Taking into account the changes of macroeconomic background, it conducts a detailed analysis in terms of CO₂ emission trend from 4^th Five Year Plan through 10^th Five Year Plan. The decomposition results indicate that economic development and increase in population are major driving forces, and that improvement in energy efficiency contributes to the reduction of CO₂ emission, and that decarbonization in primary energy structure is also an important strategic choice. Finally, the article stresses that in CO₂ order to realize the binding target of 20% reduction in GDP energy intensity during the 11^th Five Year Plan, China should speed up the readjustment of the industrial structure and energetically develop the energy-efficient technologies and clean fuel technology, which will effectively promote the country to reduce CO₂ emission and contribute to the mitigation of climate change.     

化工废气排放量灰色预测的GPSM（1）模型

在对ＧＩＭ（１）模型研究的基础上，提出了一种化工废气排放的单变量灰色幂级数曲线预测新模型「简称（ＧＰＳＭ（１）」，并建立了辨识模型参数的优化方法。结果表明，ＧＰＳＭ（１）在有线性输出的平稳系统中，比ＧＭ（１，１）更能反映原始资料提供的信息，系统分辨率高，同态性好，预测精度理想，为环境系统的拟合、预测分析和决策开辟了新途径，从而拓宽了ＧＭ（１，１）模型在环境科学领域中的应用范围。     

SURFACE WATER RESOURCES OF ST. JOHNS RIVER,FLORIDA1

ABSTRACT: The St. Johns River basin is the largest watershed entirely within the State of Florida, and is one of the few northward flowing rivers in the United States. The river basin contains 11,431 square miles, of which 9,430 square miles are drained by the river and its tributaries. The remainder drains into the Atlantic Ocean or the Intracoastal Waterway. Its largest sub-basin is the Oklawaha River basin, which has a drainage area of 2,870 square miles. Ground elevations range from sea level to 200 feet above mean sea level in the main river basin and as high as 300 feet above mean sea level in the Oklawaha River basin. This study was designed to investigate the surface water resources of the St. Johns River and the existing consumptive uses. The analysis revealed that the river is an extremely large and valuable resource which has been under-utilized and could play a much stronger role in serving the needs of the people in the basin.     

声发射技术在湘西金矿深井安全开采中的应用

笔者介绍了岩体声发射监测技术及其基本技术参数 ,描述了井下采矿环境下识别岩体声发射信号的频谱特征 ,并进一步介绍了岩体声发射监测技术在湘西金矿深井开采中的应用情况。声发射安全监测技术应用表明 ,声发射事件率及其增长幅度直接反映了顶板稳定性的变化情况 :当岩音频度在 1 0次 /分以下时 ,采场顶板处于稳定 ;但达 1 6次 /分以上时 ,采场顶板就有冒落的可能性 ,应该采取预防措施。该技术安全监测预报结果为深井的安全生产、避免灾害事故的发生提供了决策依据     

基于力电耦合冲击矿压电磁辐射预测法的研究

笔者首先提出了煤岩变形破裂过程电磁辐射与应力耦合的概念 ,然后在实验研究、理论分析和数值模拟的基础上从力电耦合的角度研究了煤岩冲击矿压预测的电磁辐射法 (EME)。研究结果表明 :FLAC3D方法能对矿山巷道掘进过程煤岩内部应力场进行有效的数值模拟 ;电磁辐射信号主要来源于应力集中区 ,在场点监测到的电磁辐射信号主要是应力集中区煤岩变形破裂过程产生的 ;EME信号呈现出与煤岩内部应力变化相同的规律 ;利用力电耦合方法研究煤岩冲击矿压电磁辐射预测法是可行的。笔者最后还对未来煤岩冲击矿压电磁辐射预测法的研究进行了展望。     

Investigation of Boundary Layer Fine Structure in Arid Regions: Injection of Fine Dust into the Atmosphere

Fine structure of the atmospheric boundary layerin desert regions of Kalmykia and on dried bottom of theAral Sea and its relation to soil particle emission in theatmosphere are discussed. It was found that in a hot seasonin the absence of dust storms convective processes lift updust particles into the atmospheric boundary layer fromsandy landscapes of Kalmykia and Sub-Aral regions. Thisaerosol consists of aggregate particles and contains asignificant amount of long-living aerosol of size less than5 m (including fine-dispersion 0.01–0.1 maerosol). The increasing of fine aerosol concentration wasfound at air temperature above 25 °C, surfacetemperature above 50 °C, and relative humidityless than 40–50%. Some mechanisms influencing the particle emission rates are briefly considered.     

排污权交易及其规范

排污权理论的产生是对环境认识深化的结果。市场对环境资源配置的结果必定要求进行排污权交易。目前我国应根据个案试点的经验,建立和完善排污权交易市场,加大污染治理的力度。     

可压密煤层瓦斯运移方程与数值模拟研究

建立了非均质可压密煤层瓦斯运移方程和数值模拟方程,通过计算机数值模拟解,并运用相似理论,得到了煤层瓦斯压力分布曲线和煤（孔）壁瓦斯涌出衰减曲线方程。采掘面围岩中的集中应力峰值点存在高瓦斯压力和压力梯度,克林伯格效应和煤体排放瓦斯后的应力释放对钻孔瓦斯流量有明显的增长作用     

FLOWING WATER RESOURCES1

Using data related to stream order and the morphological characteristics associated with streams of different discharge rates, an estimate of the river resources of the United States is made. The national totals are: 3,200,000 miles total length of rivers; 15,000 square miles of river surface; and 29 cubic miles of water stored in river channels. Using the same techniques, more exact estimates may be made for individual river basins. Suggestions are given for application of the techniques and river data in the management of water resources.