关联交叉口交通流模糊变权重组合预测方法

针对单一交通流预测方法存在的局限性和传统交通流组合预测模型中权重不能动态变化的问题,提出一种关联交叉口交通流模糊变权重组合预测方法。先对交叉口交通流的关联性进行分析,并给出关联交叉口的定义;再建立关联交叉口交通流模糊自适应变权重组合预测模型,该模型分别利用Kalman滤波器模型与SVM模型来预测关联交叉口交通流量,然后根据这2个模型预测的误差和交通量的变化趋势,采用模糊逻辑推理方法,对这2个预测模型分别赋予适当的权重。试验结果表明,组合预测模型的最大绝对误差、平均绝对误差和相关系数均明显好于单一的预测方法,分别为9.8%、4.63%和0.99。     

表面裂纹对Rayleigh波的滤波特性分析

摘要表面裂纹是危害很大且普遍存在的一种缺陷,严重影响到特种设备的安全运行。对表面裂纹尺寸的测量一直未得到很好的解决,由于Rayleigh波能量主要集中在深度一个波长的范围内,当传播过程中和裂纹相互作用时,其频谱会发生变化,一部分高频波将会被吸收,吸收频率的大小与裂纹的深度密切相关。此时裂纹起了一个类似低通滤波器的作用,这点对于裂纹深度检测具有指导意义。     

生物滴滤池净化二氯甲烷废气的实验研究

在φ50mm生物滴滤池内进行了二氯甲烷废气净化的实验研究.由工厂活性污泥经驯化培养得到菌种,进一步接种、在填料表面挂膜,接种和挂膜约需30d.滴滤池内装填聚丙烯散堆填料,废气和循环液在滴滤池内逆流操作,循环液pH值为7.0±0.5,温度维持在28.5±2℃的条件下,生物膜系统能较好地适应进口浓度的变化.在气体空床停留时间为15.7s、二氯甲烷进口浓度为0.7～3.12g/m³的范围内,去除效率为72.0%～99.1%.滴滤池中的酸性环境对二氯甲烷的降解具有明显抑制作用.     

我国不同矿物气溶胶源区物质的物理化学特征

在我国不同的矿物气溶胶源区进行采样分析的结果表明,源区气溶胶物质的物理化学特性相差很大.黄土的颗粒最细,91%的黄土颗粒可以形成矿物气溶胶进行长距离输送;沙土较粗,只有15%的沙尘颗粒可以形成矿物气溶胶;2个煤灰样品的粒径差异较大,抚顺煤灰中＜74μm的颗粒高达39%,而呼和浩特煤灰只有7%.不同粒径颗粒的化学分析结果表明,微量元素在细颗粒上有较高的富集.黄土与沙漠土壤的细颗粒的化学性质十分相似,同煤灰的化学性质完全不同,其常量元素与A1的比值(E/Al)十分接近,而且与深海沉积物粘土中的比值(E/A1)     

滤纸对青蒿丛生芽诱导及遗传转化的影响

研究了滤纸对青蒿丛生芽诱导及遗传转化的影响.结果表明,培养基上加铺一层滤纸能够明显促进青蒿丛生芽的诱导,丛生芽诱导率可达到97%.在高效丛生芽诱导体系的基础上,探讨了滤纸在根癌农杆菌介导的青蒿遗传转化中的应用.优化后的青蒿转化体系,抗性丛生芽诱导率可达到59.7%,其中,12.5%的抗性丛生芽能发育成抗性生根植株,生根植株PCR检测均为阳性.在部分PCR检测阳性植株中检测到了GUS的稳定表达.该优化的转化体系对青蒿素生物合成分子调控的研究具有重要意义.图5表1参26     

循环载体生物滤池─—生物过滤新工艺

循环载体生物过滤工艺融三相流化、悬浮曝气、移动接触等几种不同工艺于一体，具有独特的工作原理和工艺特征。动态实验结果表明，循环载体生物过滤工艺容积负荷高，耐冲击负荷能力强，处理效果好，是一种比较理想的生物处理工艺。     

On the latent state estimation of nonlinear population dynamics using Bayesian and non-Bayesian state-space models

Nonlinear state-space models have been increasingly applied to study population dynamics and data assimilation in environmental sciences. State-space models can account for process error and measurement error simultaneously to correct for the bias in the estimates of system state and model parameters. However, few studies have compared the performance of different nonlinear state-space models for reconstructing the state of population dynamics from noisy time series. This study compared the performance of the extended Kalman filter (EKF), unscented Kalman filter (UKF) and Bayesian nonlinear state-space models (BNSSM) through simulations. Synthetic population time series were generated using the theta logistic model with known parameters, and normally distributed process and measurement errors were introduced using the Monte Carlo simulations. At higher levels of nonlinearity, the UKF and BNSSM had lower root mean square error (RMSE) than the EKF. The BNSSM performed reliably across all levels of nonlinearity, whereas increased levels of nonlinearity resulted in higher RMSE of the EKF. The Metropolis–Hastings algorithm within the Gibbs algorithm was used to fit the theta logistic model to synthetic time series to estimate model parameters. The estimated posterior distribution of the parameter θ indicated that the 95% credible intervals included the true values of θ (=0.5 and 1.5), but did not include 1.0 and 0.0. Future studies need to incorporate the adaptive Metropolis algorithm to estimate unknown model parameters for broad applications of Bayesian nonlinear state-space models in ecological studies.     

城市污水回用三种处理工艺的选择

本文针对我国城市二级出水的特点,研究了污水深度处理的三种工艺:絮凝沉淀过滤、微絮凝过滤和直接过滤.装置采用网格反应池、翼片斜板沉淀池、气水同时冲洗粗砂滤池.药剂选用聚合硫酸铁,试验规模120m~3/d.     

金属氢氧化物包被砂过滤柱吸附与去除水体中的微生物

以氢氧化铁与氢氧化铝原位沉积包被砂作介质的过滤柱 ,用于去除脱氯自来水中人为污染的高浓度脊髓灰质炎病毒PV1、脆弱拟杆菌噬菌体B .fp和大肠杆菌E .coli.结果显示 ,包被修饰砂颗粒表面Zeta电动势由原来的 - 4 2 .8mV上升到 5 4 .7mV ,并因此提高了对微生物的吸附去除能力 .修饰砂过滤柱经 12 .5d连续过滤 30 0L水样后 ,仍可使进水微生物浓度分别高达n(cfu) /mL-1=5 .2× 10 6、2 .4× 10 5、2 .3× 10 5的E .coli、B .fp和PV1去除 92 %、97.2 %和 99.6 % .而未修饰砂柱 ,在相同条件下仅分别去除 5 3%、5 9%和 70 .6 % .修饰砂柱可在较大pH变化下稳定高效地去除微生物且在中性条件下效果最佳 ,这与未修饰砂柱明显不同 .扫描电镜显示 ,两种砂具有明显不同的表面结构 .修饰砂柱流出液中检测不到用于包被的铁、铝金属 ,说明氢氧化铁、氢氧化铝修饰物同砂结合牢固并因此提高了砂过滤柱的使用寿命 .修饰砂过滤介质可为饮用水处理提供更为安全可靠的去除病原微生物方法 .图 4表 4参 19     

Variation in populations of the coastal dune building grassLeymus arenarius in Iceland revealed by endospermal prolamins

Variation in the endospermal protein patterns of seeds amongst and between inland and coastal populations of the dune building grassLeymus arenarius was examined in Iceland. Seeds were collected from six coastal populations and five inland populations in Iceland. Endospermal proteins (prolamins) of seeds were extracted with Tris-buffered 2-propanol (50%) and β-mercaptoethanol (0.5% v/v). We used 8% and 12% sodium dodecyl sulphate polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis (SDS-PAGE) to separate the prolamin protein bands, which were stained with Coomassie Brilliant Blue R. Coastal populations were differentiated from inland populations on the basis of high frequency of high molar weight (HMW) (110–150 kg mol⁻¹) prolamins. Coastal populations had significantly higher proportions of their seed with more than two HMW prolamins, than those of inland populations. Subtle differences were found among the HMW prolamins of coastal and inland populations indicating limited intrapopulation variation. The dynamic environment of sand dunes probably influences the genetic composition of these populations. The results suggest that seeds of the inland and coastal populations should be treated separately in sand dune reclamation and restoration works