A land use regression model incorporating data on industrial point source pollution

Advancing the understanding of the spatial aspects of air pollution in the city regional environment is an area where improved methods can be of great benefit to exposure assessment and policy support. We created land use regression (LUR) models for SO₂, NO₂ and PM₁₀ for Tianjin, China. Traffic volumes, road networks, land use data, population density, meteorological conditions, physical conditions and satellite-derived greenness, brightness and wetness were used for predicting SO₂, NO₂ and PM₁₀ concentrations. We incorporated data on industrial point sources to improve LUR model performance. In order to consider the impact of different sources, we calculated the PSIndex, LSIndex and area of different land use types (agricultural land, industrial land, commercial land, residential land, green space and water area) within different buffer radii (1 to 20 km). This method makes up for the lack of consideration of source impact based on the LUR model. Remote sensing-derived variables were significantly correlated with gaseous pollutant concentrations such as SO₂ and NO₂. R² values of the multiple linear regression equations for SO₂, NO₂ and PM₁₀ were 0.78, 0.89 and 0.84, respectively, and the RMSE values were 0.32, 0.18 and 0.21, respectively. Model predictions at validation monitoring sites went well with predictions generally within 15% of measured values. Compared to the relationship between dependent variables and simple variables (such as traffic variables or meteorological condition variables), the relationship between dependent variables and integrated variables was more consistent with a linear relationship. Such integration has a discernable influence on both the overall model prediction and health effects assessment on the spatial distribution of air pollution in the city region.     

滇池流域典型小流域农业种植情况调查

采用资料收集、GPS定位、实地踏勘及走访式问卷调查方式,对滇池流域典型小流域柴河流域、牧羊河流域、宝象河流域的农业种植基本情况进行抽样调查,调查结果显示小流域上游到下游,农民人均耕地面积不断减少,复种指数和大棚种植比例逐渐增加;柴河流域的化肥施用强度上游高下游低,宝象河和牧羊河流域的化肥施用强度上游低、下游高。     

无定河流域1956—2009年径流量变化及其影响因素

黄河是中国的第二大河,近几十年,黄河的径流量发生明显变化,分析径流量变化及驱动力,对流域治理及水资源的开发利用、解决水资源的供需矛盾,促进社会、经济、生态可持续发展等具有重要作用,因此分析径流量的变化趋势及驱动力已成为国内学术界的热点话题。无定河是黄河中游重要的一级支流,也是中游区水土保持措施实施最早的流域,因此以无定河流域为例分析黄河中游径流量的变化趋势及原因。论文首先分析白家川站1956—2009年径流量的变化趋势,并采用7种时间序列突变检验方法分析序列的突变点;其次,通过估算不同时期气候变化对径流量的影响,从而分析人类活动对径流量的影响。结果显示:1956—2009年无定河流域径流量显著减少,气候干旱化加剧;径流量时间序列突变发生在1971年和1997年,这与20世纪70年代大规模实施的水保措施及1997年以来的退耕还林等生态修复措施有关;70年代以来人类活动影响是径流量减少的主要原因。     

Reducing Nitrogen Export from the Corn Belt to the Gulf of Mexico: Agricultural Strategies for Remediating Hypoxia

SPAtially Referenced Regression on Watershed models developed for the Upper Midwest were used to help evaluate the nitrogen‐load reductions likely to be achieved by a variety of agricultural conservation practices in the Upper Mississippi‐Ohio River Basin (UMORB) and to compare these reductions to the 45% nitrogen‐load reduction proposed to remediate hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico (GoM). Our results indicate that nitrogen‐management practices (improved fertilizer management and cover crops) fall short of achieving this goal, even if adopted on all cropland in the region. The goal of a 45% decrease in loads to the GoM can only be achieved through the coupling of nitrogen‐management practices with innovative nitrogen‐removal practices such as tile‐drainage treatment wetlands, drainage–ditch enhancements, stream‐channel restoration, and floodplain reconnection. Combining nitrogen‐management practices with nitrogen‐removal practices can dramatically reduce nutrient export from agricultural landscapes while minimizing impacts to agricultural production. With this approach, it may be possible to meet the 45% nutrient reduction goal while converting less than 1% of cropland in the UMORB to nitrogen‐removal practices. Conservationists, policy makers, and agricultural producers seeking a workable strategy to reduce nitrogen export from the Corn Belt will need to consider a combination of nitrogen‐management practices at the field scale and diverse nitrogen‐removal practices at the landscape scale.     

两种空气自动监测系统的比较

国产长光程空气自动监测系统是中国自行研制的更为先进、更具自动化的系统，24h点式仪器是老式空气检测仪器，对这两种新、老仪器的比较可以看出在运行过程中的利弊。     

甘肃不同台站地磁垂直分量变化特征分析

本文应用甘肃省嘉峪关、兰州、天水地磁台2003--2006年4年地磁垂直分量Z的资料分析了静日S。日变形态、日变幅度以及日变形态畸变的变化特征。结果显示，不同台站日变形态基本相似；包含在日变形态畸变现象的低点位移和拉平现象具有明显的季节性变化规律，其在地磁冬季出现的概率远远高于其他季节，与日变幅变化关系密切。     

An overview of short‐term tests for the mutagenic and carcinogenic potential of pesticides

Abstract

In the last few years, marked progress has been made in the development of methods for evaluating the mutagenic and carcinogenic potential of pesticide chemicals. The correlation of genetic and related biological activity in short‐term tests with carcinogenic activity in whole animals allows the utilization of short‐term mutagenicity bioassays to prescreen chemicals for effects related to mutation induction and presumptive carcinogenicity. In addition, bioassays now available can measure directly the chemical transformation of normal cells in culture into cells capable of producing tumors when injected into animals.

This paper will review briefly the major types of relevant short‐term tests and will develop a rationale for a phased approach to the evaluation of the mutagenic and carcinogenic potential of environmental chemicals. This approach involves the sequential application of bioassays which are organized into a three‐level matrix emphasizing first detection, then confirmation, and finally hazard assessment. Chemicals demonstrating positive results in the short‐term detection systems and confirmatory bioassays are pursued in higher level whole animal tests. A core battery of tests is proposed to operationally define a negative result. The phased approach should facilitate a cost effective utilization of limited testing resources and provide protection for human health in proportion to the anticipated hazard.

Results obtained in evaluating a series of thirty‐eight pesticide chemicals according to the phased approach are discussed in detail.     

Utility of Measuring Abundance versus Consistent Occupancy in Predicting Biodiversity Persistence

Abstract:  The primary goals of reserve selection are to represent all chosen units of biodiversity and to ensure their long-term persistence while minimizing costs. We considered two simple proxies of species persistence: a time series of point-count data to calculate abundance and a time series of presence–absence data to calculate permanence (a measure of consistent occupancy over time). Using two 10-year intervals of data from the North American Breeding Bird Survey, we compared the performance of each measure at predicting persistence 18 years later. For nonrare species, abundance and permanence predicted persistence similarly well. We performed complementarity-based reserve selections with data on species abundance and permanence (from 1970 to 1979) and then evaluated the effectiveness of the reserve networks at maintaining species populations and efficiency in land use (data from 1997 to 2006). Abundance proved a better predictor of future local persistence than permanence, which justifies the relatively larger financial and temporal costs of collecting a time series of point-count data to estimate abundance. If future extinction events were used as a measure of reserve-network effectiveness, the performance of abundance and permanence did not differ markedly. Nevertheless, when future abundance, which is a more sensitive measure of network effectiveness, was used, abundance was significantly better than permanence at selecting longer-term, high-quality, species-specific habitat but required larger reserves to do so .     

二元混合液体闪点的计算

以混合溶液纯组分易燃液体闪点的饱和蒸气压为基础,应用乌拉尔定律、双液系的气-液相平衡理论,运用Le Chatelier方程和安托因方程导出二元混合液的闪点计算方法。并例举易燃液体与易燃液体组成的理想混合液、易燃液体与易燃液体组成的非理想混合液、易燃液体与不燃液体组成的非理想混合液的计算过程。乙醇溶液闪点的计算结果与现有的文献资料比较,误差在允许范围内。计算数据用Excel处理,快捷准确,用于确定二元混合液体的火灾危险性。     

不同季节生态型大白菜光合作用对夏季高温强光的响应

分别以春季品种强势、夏季品种夏珍白1号和秋季品种鲁白8号大白菜（Brassica campestrisL.ssp.Pekinesis(Lour)Olsson）为试材，研究了不同季节生态型大白菜在莲座末期或结球初期，叶片光合作用对夏季高温、强光胁迫的响应。结果表明，不同季节生态型大白菜在高温、强光下的光合特性存在明显差异，夏珍白1号的光合速率（Pn）、蒸腾速率（Tr）、气孔导度（Gs）的极值明显高于强势和鲁白8号，光合“午休“现象较轻；中午12：00时光系统Ⅱ的光化学效率（Fv/Fm）夏珍白1号、强势较高，鲁白8号较低；室内人工控制高温、强光下，夏珍白1号的光合速率较高，鲁白8号较低；利用直线方程求得大白菜的温度补偿点为55℃左右，品种略有差异，夏珍白1号（56.97℃）高于强势（54.81℃）和鲁白8号（54.40℃）。图5参13。