基于详细化学动力学的甲烷热着火影响因素分析

利用化学动力学软件CHEMKIN4.1,在不同初始温度、浓度、湿度和压强下,对甲烷热着火进行了详细化学动力学 模拟。通过对主要组分摩尔浓度分析和温度敏感性分析,得到了甲烷热着火过程的主要基元反应和引发热着火发生的主 要原因。通过对甲烷热着火的延迟时间、热着火发生后主要生成物摩尔浓度和反应后的温度的对比分析,揭示了初始浓 度、湿度和压强对甲烷热着火的影响规律。本研究可以为甲烷为主的气体如瓦斯、天然气等可燃气体的燃烧和爆炸提供 理论支撑,从而有效利用这些可燃气体,降低灾害的发生。     

Commuting patterns of Czech households exposed to flood risk from the Bečva river

Using unique data collected in October–December 2012 we estimate the link between commuting for work and level of individual exposure to floods. We find that commuters on average have higher earnings than non-commuters. Individuals affected by one flood commute by 11.2% more than unaffected individuals. We conjecture that the increase is linked to intentions to cover flood-related losses, decrease households' vulnerability to flood risk or out-migrate from the risk areas. Individuals affected by at least two floods are by 20.2% less likely to commute relative to those unaffected. We explain this non-linear effect by the fact that many households out-migrate after the first flood. Stayers commute less, because they are different from non-stayers in some underlying characteristics related to education, employment and family circumstances, which strongly affect commuting behaviour. We further find that in a commuting family an individual is by 53.8% more likely to commence commuting relative to a non-commuting family. Choice of commuting destination is often similar to that of other family members.     

煤粉燃烧性与工业分析、着火温度的相关性研究

喷吹煤粉燃烧性是生产中的一个重要参数,实时掌握原煤燃烧性的波动变化对保证喷煤的安全和稳定十分必要。直接测量煤粉燃烧性的方法成本高,时间长,操作复杂,不利于生产应用;采用测定煤的工业分析和着火温度的方法简单易行,应用范围广泛。该文针对某炼铁厂的15种原煤,进行了工业分析和着火温度的实验研究,引入了统计学中相关系数的概念对数据进行了处理分析,实验证明煤的挥发分和着火温度与煤粉的燃烧性高度线性相关,此方法为利用两参数间接分析煤粉燃烧性提供了理论基础。     

武陵山片区城乡收入差距空间格局及影响因素

运用探索性空间数据分析、空间滞后模型和空间误差模型3种方法分析了武陵山片区城乡收入差距的空间格局特征及影响因素。结果表明:①2013—2017年,武陵山片区高差距区的数量先增后减,低差距区数量呈增加趋势。②武陵山片区城乡收入差距的莫兰指数为正,表现为空间正相关集聚。③城乡收入差距的主要影响因素为经济发展水平、城镇化进程程度等,但在不同时期存在差异。在研究基础上,提出对策建议,以更好地缩小武陵山片区整体收入差距,促进社会良好与稳定发展。     

Fine root decomposition and nutrient release in Toona sinensis plantation under the reconstruction mode of low-efficiency cypress forest gaps北大核心CSCD

Fine root decomposition is an important way in which nutrients are returned to plantation soil; thus, further study of this process will be helpful for understanding material cycling in forest ecosystems. We investigated a Toona sinensis plantation in the central Sichuan hilly region using litter bags containing T. sinensis fine roots to evaluate the dynamics of fine root decomposition and nutrient release for one year in forest gaps of 50 m2 (L1), 100 m2 (L2), and 150 m2 (L3). The results showed that T. sinensis fine root decomposition was fastest in the first 90 days. As time passed, the decomposition rate slowed. One year later, the residue rate was 75.44%, 73.92%, and 72.07%, respectively. The fine root decomposition rate of L3 was greater than that of L2, which was greater than that of L1. During fine root decomposition, the dynamics of the fine root nutrient concentrations changed. C, P, and K concentrations of the fine roots declined in forest gaps, while N, Ca, and Mg concentrations increased overall in the fine roots. In conclusion, forest gaps had effects on the fine root decomposition and nutrient release of T. sinensis, and different sized forest gaps produced different results. © 2018 Science Press. All rights reserved.     

彩虹粉引燃危险性实验研究

为了研究彩虹粉引燃危险性,应用固体燃烧速率试验仪初步甄别了彩虹粉传播燃烧能力,发现堆垛状彩虹粉固体火焰传播危险性较低;采用粉尘爆炸筛选装置,判定彩虹粉具有爆炸性;应用最小点火能测定装置测定彩虹粉粉尘云的最小点火能在24~60 mJ之间,最优爆炸浓度为1 167 g/m3;应用快速筛选量热仪测试,彩虹粉在227℃开始分解;固体自燃点测试仪显示彩虹粉在250℃附近会发生自燃。向彩虹粉内添加不同比例相近粒径分布的食用盐粉体进行抑爆研究,结果证明食用盐对彩虹粉具有明显的抑爆效果。     

热带季节雨林林窗区域土壤-植物-大气连续体热力效应初步分析

利用西双版纳雾凉季和干热季热带季节雨林林窗的小气候观测资料,探讨了昼间林窗地表温、气温及下层植物的叶温的时空分布和变化规律,分析了叶温与气温和地表温的相互关系指出在林窗区域,由于受雾和太阳高度的影响,各小气候要素最大值随时间、季节的不同,出现在林窗不同的方位,并且存在叶温高值区时空动态位移现象;另外,林窗区域土壤-植物-大气连续体界面间热量传递方向随时间、季节的不同而发生着改变,甚至在同一时段内,林窗不同区域会存在热量传递方向截然相反的现象,显示出林窗内可能存在热量循环的小环流.其结果对深入探讨林窗区域的热量传输,小气候的形成机制、生物多样性和更新等问题均具有重要意义.     

Closing the Incentive Gap: The Role of Public and Private Actors in Governing Indonesia's Tuna Fisheries

Indonesia is one of the world's largest tuna producing countries, yet regulatory oversight remains weak and management is poor. Incentive-based approaches are a way to improve state-based resource management, but they often require strong government regulation. In this paper, we use principal–agent theory and the notion of the ‘incentive gap’ to explore how incentives could be brought to bear in Indonesia through a combination of private and public actors. With a shared fish stock like tuna, we argue that a double principal–agent problem emerges, where information, asymmetries between various players complicate management. We focus on the problems of adverse selection and moral hazard in three different tuna fisheries in Indonesia to identify the nature of the incentive gap, and comment on the mix of public and private actors currently engaged in tuna fishery governance towards reducing the gap. The double principal–agent problem is a useful yet underutilized framework to understand the dynamics of shared stocks management. In this first application to a developing country fishery, we conclude that information asymmetries cannot be overcome without the involvement of private actors, who are increasingly becoming important in aligning regional and global objectives with those of fishers themselves.     

长江中游城市群能源效率评价研究

提高能源效率、促进低碳经济转型是当前长江中游城市群区域协同发展和新型城镇化建设的重点和难点。基于共同前沿(Meta-frontier)理论,利用数据包络分析方法构建非参数前沿,并将SO2排放量这一非期望产出纳入DEA模型中,比较分析了2005—2014年长江中游城市群全要素能源效率的区域差异,采用"技术缺口比率"衡量长江中游城市群三大区域之间能源利用的技术差距,并在此基础上研究了能源非效率的分解以及对真实的能源强度和潜在的能源强度进行了相关分析。研究结果表明:1当前长江中游城市群全要素能源效率整体水平偏低,但地区差异并不显著。2三大区域之间的能源技术差距不是很大。3技术缺口和管理等因素对不同区域能源非效率的作用不同。4真实的能源强度和潜在的能源强度都具有一定下降的趋势,而且两者之间的差距逐渐缩小。最后根据分析结果得出一些结论和启示,如制定区域节能战略时坚持"求同存异"的原则,加快技术进步,积极进行能源技术创新,不断提高管理水平等。同时,政府应加大对长江中游城市群的政策倾斜力度,这样才能充分挖掘长江中游城市群的节能减排潜力,这对提升中国区域能源效率的整体水平以及促进绿色经济转型具有重大意义。     

输电线路着火模型及分析

分析了输电线路绝缘层电热着火的原因 ,建立了两种着火模型 ,并给出了相应的边界条件。对模型的分析计算揭示了导线电流、绝缘层尺寸及绝缘材料物理化学性质与导线外围散热条件之间的相互制约关系。该模型对分析线路起火原因 ,预防电气火灾的发生具有实际意义。