新疆草地退化及其治理

草地退化是新疆草地面临的突出问题。在分析新疆草地生态环境退化现状的基础上，提出了治理对策，指出只有合理的开发利用草地资源，才能使新疆的草地资源优势真正转化为经济优势，实现新疆畜牧业的可持续发展。     

新疆草地生态价值及其可持续开发利用初探

草地是新疆农业自然资源的重要组成部分,是发展草地畜牧业的重要基础,通过对新疆草地特点阐述以及对草地生态价值的量化研究,本文在新疆草地开发利用现状的基础上,针对新疆14个主要草地区提出了草地开发利用的具体措施。     

ELEVATED ATMOSPHERIC CO2 INCREASES WATER AVAILABILITY IN A WATER-LIMITED GRASSLAND ECOSYSTEM1

ABSTRACT: Californian annual grassland on sandstone (moderately fertile) and serpentine (very infertile) soils at the Jasper Ridge Biological Preserve, Stanford, California, were exposed to ambient or elevated (ambient + 36 Pa CO₂) atmospheric CO₂ in open-top chambers since December 1991. We measured ecosystem evapotranspiration with open gas-exchange systems, and soil moisture with time-domain reflectometry (TDR) over 0–15 cm (serpentine) and 0–30 cm (sandstone) depths, at times of peak above ground physiological activity. Evapotranspiration decreased by 12 to 63 percent under elevated CO₂ in three consecutive years in the sandstone ecosystem (p = 0.053, p = 0.162, p = 0.082 in 1992, 1993, and 1994, respectively). In correspondence with decreased evapotranspiration, late-season soil moisture reserves in the sandstone were extended temporally by 10 ± 3 days in 1993 and by 28 ± 11 days in 1994. The effect of elevated CO₂ on soil moisture was greater in the drier spring of 1994 (419 mm annual rainfall) than in 1993 (905 mm annual rainfall). In the serpentine ecosystem, evapotranspiration and soil moisture reserves were not clearly affected by elevated CO₂. Soil water may be conserved in drought-affected ecosystems exposed to elevated CO₂, but the amount of conservation appears to depend on the relative importance of transpiration and soil evaporation in controlling water flux.     

草原火险等级预报研究

我国草原主要分布在北方干旱、半干旱地区,频繁发生的草原火灾给畜牧业生产、人民生活及草地生态系统带来了巨大的损失,还可能引起森林火灾,使损失进一步扩大.草原火险等级预报技术可以预测和预报草原火灾的发生和发展,大大减少火灾的发生次数和带来的损失.根据我国北方草原生态和环境特点,综合影响草原火灾发生和发展的因子,选择温度、相对湿度、风速、降水量、枯草率、可燃物干重和草地连续度共7个基本指标构造了基于遥感的草原火险指数.根据计算得到的草原火险指数,将研究区域的火险状态划分为低、中、高和极高4个等级,用来预测草原火灾发生的可能性、扩展速度和扑灭难度.草原火险等级预报可以为草原火灾管理者提供有力的管理工具.     

西藏才曲塘草地畜牧业的生态旅游景观规划

才曲塘草地畜牧业科技示范区位于西藏自治区那曲镇,目的是通过采用农牧业高新技术,提高农牧业综合开发的经济效益、社会效益和生态效益,其中发展生态旅游是示范区主要开发方向和目标之一.利用景观生态学理论,分析了才曲塘生态旅游景观的形成条件、景观要素、景观结构特点,对进行了生态旅游景观的功能区划分;提出可以通过才曲塘的规划和建设,探索与自然生态环境协调的草地畜牧业景观结构,充分发挥畜牧业发展和生态旅游的功能,对高寒地区草地畜牧业综合开发起示范作用.     

Finding a Balance Over Precaution

Three interpretations of theprecautionary principle are identified, namely``soft,' ``hard,' and outright rejection. The ECCommunication of February 2000 is largely aresponse to the latter, to provide alegitimation in trade-related WTO disputes.This context leads to an over stress onscientific closure. This is critiqued asidealistic in respect of resolving long termuncertainties inherent in the GM food issue.While offering some useful guidelines in riskmanagement, the EC report seriously fails totake into account the ethical and societaldimension of risk. These are crucial both indetermining when precautionary principle isinvoked and the action to be taken. The EC viewleans too much to a scientific rationalist riskperspective. However, the ``Green'interpretation of the precautionary principleas a reversal of the burden of proof is alsocriticized as inconsistent both with the natureof technology and with the nature of reality asseen in a Christian perspective. Biblicalinsights on risk reveal a balance ofintervention and conservation in a world whererisk is inherent. The notion of risk as asocial contract reveals that ethical andsocietal issues have a crucial role to play inapplying the precautionary principle.     

INITIAL RESEARCH INTO CLIMATIC CHANGES AND GRASSLAND DEGENERATION IN INNER MONGOLIA

DuringtheimplementationoftheWestChinaDevelopmentStrategyinthetwenty firstcentury ,thenorthernsteppezoneplaysasignificantroleinsafeguardingtheecologicalsecurityandrealizingsustainabledevelopmentinChina .InnerMongoliaprairieliesinthemiddleofEurasiasteppezoneandisthetransitionzonefromthearidareasinthenorthwesttothehumidareasinthenortheastandthedryfarmingareasinNorthChina .Therigorousnaturalconditions ,thefluctuatingclimateandthecompli catedsocialandeconomicconditionsmakethisareaverysensitiveto…     

基于可解释机器学习的青藏高原草地物候变化多因素影响分析

气候变化背景下,青藏高原植被物候发生显著改变.然而,影响物候的水热因素众多,目前较少有研究关注多因素对青藏高原物候的影响效应,导致对青藏高原物候变化机制认识不足.为此,研究通过遥感数据解译,在对2002~2021年青藏高原草地物候时空变化特征分析的基础上,聚焦降水、气温、海拔和土壤等多方面,利用可解释机器学习方法（SHAP）揭示物候变化的主导因素,并量化分析多因素对物候的交互影响.结果表明:①青藏高原分别有56.32 %、67.65 %和65.50 %的草地表现出生长季开始时间（SOS）提前、生长季结束时间（EOS）延迟和生长季长度（LOS）延长趋势;②青藏高原草地SOS和LOS主要受水分条件影响,3月0~10 cm土壤水分对SOS提前和LOS延长起促进作用的范围分别在10~25 kg·m^-2和15~25 kg·m^-2之间,峰值分别在20 kg·m^-2和18 kg·m^-2左右;EOS则主要受温度影响,9月和10月温度越高对EOS延迟促进作用越强,并分别在高于8 ℃和-0.5 ℃时达到峰值;③水热等因素对物候的影响存在非线性交互效应,3月0~10 cm土壤水分达到20 kg·m^-2后,更有利于低降水和低海拔地区SOS提前;10月温度高于0 ℃后较好的水分条件更有利于EOS延迟;3月0~10 cm土壤水分在12~22 kg·m^-2之间时,高降水地区LOS更长.研究表明,可解释机器学习方法可为物候变化的多因素影响定量分析提供一种新的方法.     

不同形态氮添加对多年生高寒栽培草地土壤理化性质和微生物群落结构的影响

探究不同氮素形态对多年生高寒栽培草地土壤理化性质和微生物群落结构的影响,以期为制定多年生高寒栽培草地氮添加方案提供科学依据.于2022年6月,在青海省海南藏族自治州共和县巴卡台农牧场以建植4龄的青海草地早熟禾（Poa pratensis Qinghai）+青海中华羊茅（Festuca sinensis Qinghai）混播草地为研究对象,以不施肥为对照（CK）,设置3个不同形态氮素处理,分别为U:尿素（酰胺态氮）、A:硫酸铵（铵态氮）和N:硝酸钙（硝态氮）,各处理的氮素施用量均为67.5 kg·（hm²·a）^-1,对不同处理下土壤养分和微生物群落组成及多样性进行分析.结果表明,外源铵态氮输入显著提高了NH₄ ⁺-N含量、AP含量和EC,酰胺态氮输入显著提高了SOC含量和TN含量,硝态氮输入显著提高了NO₃ ^--N含量、AN含量和TC含量.外源氮输入改变了土壤细菌和真菌群落结构以及优势菌门和属的相对丰度,但对细菌和真菌群落的Alpha多样性没有显著影响.主坐标分析（PCoA）表明,不同形态氮添加对细菌群落的Beta多样性具有显著影响,而对真菌群落影响不显著.冗余分析（RDA）表明,氮添加主要通过土壤铵态氮来改变微生物群落组成和结构.综合而言,在青藏高原多年生栽培草地土壤修复过程中,应优先考虑铵态氮肥.     

The evolving local social contract for managing climate and disaster risk in Vietnam

How do disasters shape local government legitimacy in relation to managing climate‐ and disaster‐related risks? This paper looks at how local authorities in Central Vietnam perceive their social contract for risk reduction, including the partial merging of responsibilities for disaster risk management with new plans for and investments in climate change adaptation and broader socioeconomic development. The findings indicate that extreme floods and storms constitute critical junctures that stimulate genuine institutional change. Local officials are proud of their strengthened role in disaster response and they are eager to boost investment in infrastructure. They have struggled to reinforce their legitimacy among their constituents, but given the shifting roles of the state, private sector, and civil society, and the undiminished emphasis on high‐risk development models, their responsibilities for responding to emerging climate change scenarios are increasingly nebulous. The past basis for legitimacy is no longer valid, but tomorrow's social contract is not yet defined.