Cyclone disaster vulnerability and response experiences in coastal Bangladesh

For generations, cyclones and tidal surges have frequently devastated lives and property in coastal and island Bangladesh. This study explores vulnerability to cyclone hazards using first‐hand coping recollections from prior to, during and after these events. Qualitative field data suggest that, beyond extreme cyclone forces, localised vulnerability is defined in terms of response processes, infrastructure, socially uneven exposure, settlement development patterns, and livelihoods. Prior to cyclones, religious activities increase and people try to save food and valuable possessions. Those in dispersed settlements who fail to reach cyclone shelters take refuge in thatched‐roof houses and big‐branch trees. However, women and children are affected more despite the modification of traditional hierarchies during cyclone periods. Instinctive survival strategies and intra‐community cooperation improve coping post cyclone. This study recommends that disaster reduction programmes encourage cyclone mitigation while being aware of localised realities, endogenous risk analyses, and coping and adaptation of affected communities (as active survivors rather than helpless victims).     

Archetypes of famine and response

Famines have long been characterised by rapidly shifting dynamics: sudden price spirals, sharp increases in mortality, the media frenzy that often accompanies such spikes, the swift scaling up of aid flows, and a subsequent decline in interest. In arguing that these aspects of famine have been largely ignored in recent years due to attention to the famine process', this paper attempts to make these dynamics more explicit by applying systems thinking. It uses standard archetypes of systems thinking to explain six situations—watch, price spiral, aid magnet, media frenzy, overshoot, and peaks—that are present in many famine contexts. It illustrates their application with examples from crises in Ethiopia, Malawi, Niger, and Sudan. The paper contends that the systems approach offers a tool for analysing the larger patterns in famines and for pinpointing the most appropriate responses to them, based on an awareness of the dynamics of the crises.     

经济发达地区城市灾害综合应对能力评价分析——以珠江三角洲城市为例

以我国经济发达的珠江三角洲经济区城市作为研究对象,构建了城市自然灾害综合应对能力评价指标体系,在实证测算研究的基础上,对经济快速发展过程中珠三角城市自然灾害应对能力的时空演变规律、协调度特征等进行了分析和研究,对综合评价城市灾害管理水平具有一定的理论和实践意义。     

地震应急快速触发响应系统的需求分析与总体设计

介绍了中国数字地震观测网络项目应急分项软件"地震应急快速触发响应系统"的需求分析和总体功能设计,并对各子系统的技术实现方案以及软件的数据流程等内容进行了比较详细的说明。     

人体动力特性振动台试验研究

随着社会发展和经济水平的提高,人们对于生产、生活的环境质量要求也不断提升,因而环境振动已越来越多的引起了社会的关注,为了研究环境振动对人体的影响,需要了解人体动力特性和在振动环境下的响应。对20名受试者以站、坐、躺姿进行了水平两向输入白噪声的振动台试验,测得人体头、肩、腹、上肢、下肢五个部位的振动响应,通过对人体各部分振动频率与身高、体重、年龄的关系分析,给出了人体频率分布规律。     

基于有限元法的土坯民房地震响应分析研究

基于有限元法研究了土坯民房的地震响应特征,提出了实施土坯民房震害防治的对策性建议。地震动由结构底部向上传播时,低频部分被墙体吸收,水平加速度逐渐增大,揭示了低破坏性地震动损伤土坯民房屋盖系统、高破坏性地震动损坏土坯民房承重构件,进而导致整体结构损毁的动力机制。砖柱(木柱)承重土坯民房的地震响应大于墙体承重土坯民房,后者最大剪应力集中在中间开间的横墙和纵墙的连接处,最大主应力集中在中间开间的横墙上;前者最大剪应力集中在横墙和柱的连接处,最大主应力集中在中间开间的柱体上部。由于2种结构类型土坯民房的薄弱环节有所不同,地震时的致灾原因亦存在差异。     

国内外数字化应急预案技术发展现状与趋势

简述了数字化预案的概念、功能和主要开发步骤;分析了数字化预案发展的三个阶段,即电子化、可视化和智能化;通过国内外数字化预案项目典型案例,分析了国内外数字化预案技术的发展现状与趋势,以期为我国数字化预案技术发展做出有益的探讨。     

应急预案体系研究

基于社会和经济迅速发展需要以及各类公共突发事件频发的现实,国家全面加强应急管理体系建设工作,应急预案体系建设是应急管理体系建设的重要内容。文章反思了应急预案编制和应急预案体系建设实践过程中的一些混乱和偏差,指出了应急预案体系建设方面面临的一些主要问题与困难;以系统理论为基础,从基础概念出发分析了应急预案体系各要素的内涵,理清了各要素之间的相互关系;提出了一种应急预案体系的基本模型及其扩展方法,为应急预案体系建设寻求理论依据。另外,文章还在应急预案体系研究和实践的方法论方面进行了一些思考和探索。其研究成果可为应急与安全领域研究、应急预案体系建设实践提供一些有益的理论参考。     

冲击环境后峰锯齿脉冲试验条件自动寻优方法

目的 通过自动寻优制定冲击环境后峰锯齿脉冲试验条件,避免冲击“过试验”。方法 根据冲击响应谱的基本原理和谱型特征,提出利用对数距离量化评价2条谱型的吻合度。对冲击环境和后峰锯齿脉冲分别进行冲击响应谱分析,将2条冲击响应谱之间的对数距离最小作为优化目标,将后峰锯齿脉冲的波形参数作为优化参数,基于自适应差分进化算法,提出冲击环境后峰锯齿脉冲试验条件自动寻优方法。结果 将所提方法分别应用于模拟冲击环境和实测冲击环境,均获得了合理的后峰锯齿脉冲试验条件,验证了所提方法的正确性。结论 提出的基于自适应差分进化算法的冲击环境后峰锯齿脉冲试验条件自动寻优方法正确可行。     

Optimization of carbon dioxide absorption in a continuous bubble column reactor using response surface methodology

Carbon dioxide absorption using amine based solvents is a well-known approach for carbon dioxide removal. Especially with the increasing concerns about greenhouse gas emissions, there is a need for an optimization approach capable of multifactor calibration and prediction of interactions. Since conventional methods based on empirical relations are not efficiently applicable, this study investigates use of Response Surface Methodology as a strong optimization tool. A bubble column reactor was used and the effect of solvent concentration (10.0, 20.0 and 30.0 vol%), flow rate (4.0, 5.0 and 6.0 L min⁻¹), diffuser pore size (0.5, 1.0 and 1.5 mm) and temperature (20.0, 25.0 and 30.0°C) on the absorption capacity and also overall mass transfer coefficient was evaluated. The optimization results for maintaining maximum capacity and overall mass transfer coefficient revealed that different optimization targets led to different tuned operational factors. Overall mass transfer coefficient decreased to 34.7 min⁻¹ when the maximum capacity was the desired target. High reaction rate along with the highest absorption capacity was set as desirable two factor target in this application. As a result, a third scenario was designed to maximize both mass transfer coefficient and absorption capacity simultaneously. The optimized condition was achieved when a gas flow rate of 5.9 L min⁻¹, MEA solution of 29.6 vol%, diffuser pore size of 0.5 mm and temperature of 20.6°C was adjusted. At this condition, mass transfer coefficient reached a maximum of 38.4 min⁻¹, with a forecasted achievable absorption capacity of 120.5 g CO₂ per kg MEA.