Using MCA tools for evaluating community-managed forests from a green economy perspective: lessons from Nepal

ABSTRACT

Nepal is in the process of formulating its forest policies at the provincial level . Various community-managed forests have been designed in the past by the Nepal government to decentralize the forest for its sustainable management practice. This study facilitates the process of identifying appropriate forest management options in two of the provinces, namely Provinces Three and Gandaki. Four forest management options – passive, active, scientific and multiple – were identified following the existing management practices. For the evaluation of the overall performance of the options, a framework with three criteria, 10 indicators and 28 verifiers were designed. The framework followed the green economy perspective considering the improvement of the forest conditions, economic and social well-being, and low carbon emission. The Analytical Hierarchy Process was used to prioritize the best management option and analyse trade-offs to guide future decision-making and reduce the risk of unwanted consequences. Our results show that the elicitation of preferences for the evaluation criteria varied by stakeholder groups. Their preference was largely guided by improving the forest resource condition and economic well-being. Foresters prefer scientific and active forest management, policymakers prefer multiple-use forest management and scientific management, whereas community forest user groups prefer active forest management. We argue that a scientific management approach may contribute better to economic aspects, although it may often compromise the other aspects. The multiple forest management option seems to be the best for green economy considering ecological, economic and social consequences.     

基于改进云模型-IAHP的涉爆粉尘企业安全风险评估

为了评估涉爆粉尘企业安全风险,克服传统评估过程中数据随机性和模糊性的缺陷,建立了基于云理论和区间层次分析法(IAHP)的涉爆粉尘企业安全风险评估模型。针对粉尘爆炸事故的特点构建涉爆粉尘企业安全风险指标体系,使用云理论为主客观指标赋值,采用IAHP确定各指标权重并引入可能度修正权重结果,基于改进的云合并算法整合计算结果,以综合评估企业粉尘爆炸风险,并将该模型应用于某金属加工企业。研究结果表明:该企业的粉尘爆炸风险处于一般水平,其工人安全意识薄弱、防尘及防爆措施不完善、生产布局和管理不规范等原因导致了该企业的风险,该模型评估结果与实际情况相符,为提高企业安全管理水平提供依据。     

磷石膏再生利用途径的综合评价

依据层次分析法原理,用经济、环境和资源化3个影响因素建立磷石膏资源化途径优选的递阶层次结构模型。以山东某化工厂生产磷酸产生的磷石膏为研究案例,从磷石膏组成成分与含量分析的角度出发,结合磷石膏各资源化途径的独特要求,探讨磷石膏资源化特性与资源化途径的密切关系,拟合出磷石膏的各种资源化特性,作为结构模型中的资源化因子。然后分别对模型中的3个影响因素进行定性和半定量化处理,最终实现磷石膏资源化途径优选的决策评价,为政府部门和环境管理者提供决策参考。     

祁连山自然保护区生态承载力分析与评价

以层次分析法和模糊模式识别为基础,建立生态承载力综合评价模型,重点分析祁连山自然保护区森林、草地和农田3种受人类活动干扰最强烈的生态系统的生态承载力和生态荷载,在此基础上进一步分析整个保护区的总体生态承载力和生态荷载。结果显示,祁连山区域生态系统已经受到人类活动的强烈干扰,生态荷载总体处于严重超载状态。但区域生态系统内部各子系统之间以及生态荷载的空间分布存在差异。其中,森林子系统和草地子系统属于严重超载,农田子系统属于中度超载;在总体生态荷载的空间分布上,西北部地区比东南部地区超载更为严重;就各子系统的生态荷载状况而言,森林子系统和草地子系统的超载程度均表现为东南部地区略低于西北部地区,但农田子系统东南部地区超载程度高于西北部地区。     

基于AHP的淮南市旅游资源开发类型评价

采用实地考察、重点详查、访谈与文献分析相结合的方法,依据<旅游资源分类、调查与评价>划分的八大旅游资源类型,运用层次分析法(AHP)构建了淮南市旅游资源开发类型的评价指标体系,对淮南的旅游资源开发类型进行了定量评价.评价结果全面地反映了淮南市旅游资源的基本概况和特点,可为淮南市旅游资源的开发、发展决策提供依据.     

Development of a landfill model to prioritize design and operating objectives

The application of scientifically based decision making tools to help address solid waste management issues dates back to the early 1960s. Researchers continue to use operations research tools to help optimize landfill design and operating parameters. This paper discusses the application of another type of decision making tool, the analytical hierarchy process (AHP), to address priority ranking for a number of landfill engineering design and operating objectives in developing and developed countries. In this application, the AHP is used to rank, and prioritize, economic, environmental, health and safety, legislative and public perception objectives for landfill design and operations specific to landfill distance from a community, and precipitation levels. Results from a global survey using the Delphi process are included, with a discussion on the survey’s impact on the objective rankings relative to community proximity and precipitation. The Delphi process worked extremely well, and was an excellent tool to use in this application. The initial results from the objective rankings show promise in the development of an integrated model for landfill design and operation.     

聚类GO术语在基因表达差异研究中的应用

针对基因功能分类体系基因本体(Gene Ontology,GO)特殊的有向无环图特点,改进传统的用单个GO术语检测基因差异表达信号的缺陷,设计出"聚类GO术语提升差异表达检测(ScaGO)"算法.通过简单的输入对照和实验组表达谱上的全部基因表达信号,来研究一些比较新的差异表达功能组,有助于进一步解释基因差异表达的生物学意义,如疾病发病机制、药物作用机理等.将ScaGO和基于单GO术语差异分析法应用到急性淋巴细胞性白血病数据集和酵母Rap1 DNA绑定突变体差异表达数据集上,结果显示,ScaGO能比基于单GO术语差异分析法发现一些新的与差异表达相关联的功能类基因,对于指导实验具有积极意义.图1表3参21     

海洋钻井平台事故致因分析与评价指标研究

该文在广泛调研国内外已发生的海洋平台事故基础上,从人因失误、工艺设备、物料危险、管理缺陷和危险环境五个方面系统分析事故致因因素,提出海洋钻井平台事故致因评价框架,提出5个一级评价指标和24个二级评价指标,根据层次分析法,计算确定各指标的标准权重值.最后针对某在役海洋钻井平台,开展实例研究.为实际评价海洋钻井平台事故风险提供一种新方法,具有一定的实际应用价值.     

基于AHP的企业安全管理诊断体系评价机制研究

为实现对现有安全管理诊断体系研究成果的实践性应用,在根据国内外研究的基础上,对现有安全管理诊断体系的诊断项目进行了修正,提出了实践性较强且与企业实际情况匹配度较好的安全管理诊断项目,包含一级诊断项目、二级诊断项目和三级诊断项目,涵盖了企业安全管理的全部内容。根据层次分析法(AHP)建立各诊断层级的权重指标,同时创新性地构建了第三层级诊断项目的定量化评价机制,使得该诊断体系适用于综合诊断和专项诊断。     

燃煤电厂烟气一次PM2.5控制技术的综合评估

以燃煤电厂烟气颗粒物控制技术或组合为研究对象,在文献调研和专家问卷调查基础上,针对燃煤电厂一次PM_2.5排放特征,构建了包含环境、经济和技术三方面共16项四个层次的评价指标体系;采用模糊综合法对7种颗粒物控制技术及其组合开展了综合评估.结果表明：在综合分析或着重环境性能的情况下,7种单一或组合控制技术的优先顺序为：低低温静电除尘配高频电源+湿式静电除尘≈静电除尘配高频电源+湿式静电除尘 > 电袋复合除尘 > 静电除尘+湿式静电除尘 > 袋式除尘 > 静电除尘 > 电凝并+静电除尘.若优先考虑经济因素,静电除尘为最优选择;优先考虑技术性能则袋式除尘为最优选择.