气候变化及人类活动影响下的潮白河月水量平衡模拟

尽管分布式水文模型已有30多年的发展历史,但是迄今的应用还只是其潜力的很少一部分。Freeze-Harlan蓝图中由于理论上的深化带来了应用上的困难,同时也指出模型并不是越复杂越好。按照科学的建模原则,建立了一个简单的分布式月水量平衡模型(DTVGM);其中通过引入土壤湿度因子,改进后的Bagrov模型同时考虑了前期土壤湿度与降水对蒸散(发)的贡献;通过设置人类活动影响背景参数集,表述人类活动对水文过程的影响。将DTVGM月模型应用于华北地区密云水库以上潮白河流域,识别出白河流域气候变化对径流减少的贡献为44%,人类活动导致下垫面变化对径流减少的影响达54%;潮河流域气候变化的贡献率为24%,而人类活动的贡献率高达74%,是导致径流减少的主要原因。     

阿勒泰地区雾的气候特征与变化趋势及其对人体的影响研究

利用1961年-2012年阿勒泰地区气象观测资料,对雾的时空分布特征和变化趋势进行分析。结果表明:阿勒泰地区雾日数在时间分布上,初春的3月出现最多;冬季(12月-翌年2月)雾出现的比例最高,占37.6%。20世纪80年代年雾出现日数最多,2000年至今最少。阿勒泰地区雾日数在空间分布上也不是很均匀,区域性为西部的吉木乃、哈巴河县最多,东部的富蕴、青河县最少。阿勒泰地区雾出现日数年变化率与各县站的变化趋势一致,均呈明显的下降趋势,在1966年出现了减少的突变现象。R/S方法分析表明,各县站未来的年雾出现日数仍会呈减少趋势,雾天对人体有一定的影响。     

Synthesis, characterization and experimental investigation of Cu-BTC as CO2 adsorbent from flue gas

Porous Cu-BTC material was synthesized by the solvothermal method. Powder X-ray diffraction (PXRD) was used to test the phase purity of the synthesized material and investigate its structural stability under the influence of flue gas components. The thermal stability of the material was determined through thermal gravimetric (TG) analysis. Scanning electron microscopy (SEM) was employed to study the microstructure of the material. Cu-BTC was demonstrated not only to have high CO₂ adsorption capacity but also good selectivity of CO₂ over N₂ by means of packed bed tests. The adsorption capacity of Cu-BTC for CO₂ was about 69 mL/g at 22°C. The influence of the main flue gas components on the CO₂ capacity of the material were discussed as well.     

壬基酚在污灌土壤中吸附行为研究

采用序批式室内实验研究了壬基酚(NP)在污灌土壤中的吸附行为,同时探讨了壬基酚在土壤中吸附行为的影响因素,包括pH、离子强度、黑炭和矿物质.水溶液中NP检测方法为液液萃取-高效液相方法(LLE-HPLC).研究结果表明,土壤中有机质含量在吸附过程中起决定作用,土壤自身矿物组成成分对NP吸附行为具有一定影响.NP在土壤中吸附反应6h后达到平衡,吸附动力学都符合准二级线性模式;吸附等温线符合线性模式.壬基酚在污灌和清灌土壤中有机质吸附系数(Koc)分别为3.1×104 L·kg-1和3.2 ×104 L·kg-1,在土壤中很难移动.pH改变对壬基酚在土壤中吸附行为影响程度要高于离子强度,碱性条件下影响结果更为显著.NP在土壤黑炭和矿物质中吸附行为均符合线性模式,分配系数都有所下降.     

中国沿海省市海洋生态补偿效率评价

本文运用考虑非期望产出的超效率SBM模型、DEA-Malmquist指数模型、Tobit模型和标准差椭圆模型,对2006-2016年中国11个沿海省市的海洋生态补偿效率开展测度和分析,结果显示：2006~2016年中国总体海洋生态补偿效率平均值为0.633,处于中等效率水平,随时间呈“下降-上升-稳定”的趋势;海洋生态技术进步依旧是海洋生态补偿过程中全要素生产率的重要驱动力,但面临一定的技术效率损失;海洋第三产业比重对海洋生态补偿效率值有正向的显著影响,城市化率、进出口总额占比和海洋灾害直接经济损失对海洋生态补偿效率存在显著的负向影响;海洋生态补偿效率的空间聚集性增强,区域不平衡性有所收敛,空间分布格局基本保持稳定.     

城市主干道交通噪声影响因素分析

选取了沈阳市lO条主干道,通过实地调查监测与文献资料分析相结合的方法,分析了主干道交通噪声的影响因素,结果表明,车流量与车型是影响城市主干道交通噪声的重要因素,并提出控制城市主干道交通噪声的防治措施,改善声环境质量。     

Energy,food, and land — The ecological traps of humankind

Humans’ superiority over all other organisms on earth rests on five main foundations: command of fire requiring fuel; controlled production of food and other biotic substances; utilization of metals and other non-living materials for construction and appliances; technically determined, urban-oriented living standard; economically and culturally regulated societal organization. The young discipline of ecology has revealed that the progress of civilization and technology attained, and being further pursued by humankind, and generally taken for granted and permanent, is leading into ecological traps. This metaphor circumscribes ecological situations where finite resources are being exhausted or rendered non-utilizable without a realistic prospect of restitution. Energy, food and land are the principal, closely interrelated traps; but the absolutely decisive resource in question is land whose increasing scarcity is totally underrated. Land is needed for fulfilling growing food demands, for producing renewable energy in the post-fossil and post-nuclear era, for maintaining other ecosystem services, for urban-industrial uses, transport, material extraction, refuse deposition, but also for leisure, recreation, and nature conservation. All these needs compete for land, food and non-food biomass production moreover for good soils that are scarcer than ever. We are preoccupied with fighting climate change and loss of biodiversity; but these are minor problems we could adapt to, albeit painfully, and their solution will fail if we are caught in the interrelated traps of energy, food, and land scarcity. Land and soils, finite and irreproducible resources, are the key issues we have to devote our work to, based on careful ecological information, planning and design for proper uses and purposes. The article concludes with a short reflection on economy and competition as general driving forces, and on the role and reputation of today’s ecology. Updated version of the keynote lecture presented at the EcoSummit 2007 in Beijing, China, May 24. The article is gratefully dedicated to the memory of my late colleague and friend Frank B. Golley.     

短程硝化过程中NO-2-N高效富集的工艺条件实验研究

针对厌氧氨氧化工艺需要提供充足的亚硝酸盐氮为电子受体的问题,利用培养基对SBR中具有一定短程硝化功能的污泥进行富集培养,得到氨氧化菌和亚硝酸盐氧化菌的数量之比为104︰1,并研究了工艺条件对短程硝化的影响,结果表明,适合氨氧化菌生长的最佳温度为30℃、pH为7.5、nHCO^-₃/nNH⁺₄-N值为1。以适合氨氧化菌生长的最佳环境条件优化SBR,在进水氨氮浓度为250 mg/L时,氨氮的转化率达到90％以上,亚硝酸盐氮积累率维持在85％以上,反应器中氨氧化菌与亚硝酸盐氧化菌的数量之比为10³∶1,亚硝酸盐的高效积累为厌氧氨氧化工艺处理高氨废水的过程提供了稳定的电子受体。     

基于数值模式的环境空气质量预报影响因素和改进方法

数值预报是各地开展环境空气质量业务预报的主流预报方法之一。模式预报产品、基础输入资料、外部技术支持、主客观预报偏差和预报命中概率等诸多因素均会不同程度地影响数值模式预报效果,研究探讨了上述因素对数值模式预报效果的影响及其针对性的改进方法,以期降低预报偏差,改善业务预报整体效果,为各地提高业务预报质量提供方法思路和技术参考。     

我国海岸带灾害成因分析及减灾对策

近年来海岸带灾害越来越成为制约海岸带－我国最重要的经济带社会、经济和环境可持续发展的重要因素。本文在全球变化和人类活动影响的背景下,分析探讨了我国海岸带灾害的基本成因,并提出了相应的概念性减灾对策框架,海岸带生态环境的脆弱性,全球变化（相对海平面变化、气候异常）和人类活动是导致我国海岸带灾害的3个主要方面。据此,认为减灾的关键在于合理规范人类行为,保护和改善本已十分脆弱的海岸带生态环境,使人与自然界和谐相处;对于全球变化诱发的灾害,则力求基于科学认识与预测,在海岸带开发中合理规划建设,做到未雨绸缪,实现海岸带社会经济可持续发展。