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1.
Background, Aim and Scope Air quality is an field of major concern in large cities. This problem has led administrations to introduce plans and regulations
to reduce pollutant emissions. The analysis of variations in the concentration of pollutants is useful when evaluating the
effectiveness of these plans. However, such an analysis cannot be undertaken using standard statistical techniques, due to
the fact that concentrations of atmospheric pollutants often exhibit a lack of normality and are autocorrelated. On the other
hand, if long-term trends of any pollutant’s emissions are to be detected, meteorological effects must be removed from the
time series analysed, due to their strong masking effects.
Materials and Methods The application of statistical methods to analyse temporal variations is illustrated using monthly carbon monoxide (CO) concentrations
observed at an urban site. The sampling site is located at a street intersection in central Valencia (Spain) with a high traffic
density. Valencia is the third largest city in Spain. It is a typical Mediterranean city in terms of its urban structure and
climatology. The sampling site started operation in January 1994 and monitored CO ground level concentrations until February
2002. Its geographic coordinates are W0°22′52″ N39°28′05″ and its altitude is 11 m. Two nonparametric trend tests are applied.
One of these is robust against serial correlation with regards to the false rejection rate, when observations have a strong
persistence or when the sample size per month is small. A nonparametric analysis of the homogeneity of trends between seasons
is also discussed. A multiple linear regression model is used with the transformed data, including the effect of meteorological
variables. The method of generalized least squares is applied to estimate the model parameters to take into account the serial
dependence of the residuals of this model. This study also assesses temporal changes using the Kolmogorov-Zurbenko (KZ) filter.
The KZ filter has been shown to be an effective way to remove the influence of meteorological conditions on O3 and PM to examine underlying trends.
Results The nonparametric tests indicate a decreasing, significant trend in the sampled site. The application of the linear model
yields a significant decrease every twelve months of 15.8% for the average monthly CO concentration. The 95% confidence interval
for the trend ranges from 13.9% to 17.7%. The seasonal cycle also provides significant results. There are no differences in
trends throughout the months. The percentage of CO variance explained by the linear model is 90.3%. The KZ filter separates
out long, short-term and seasonal variations in the CO series. The estimated, significant, long-term trend every year results
in 10.3% with this method. The 95% confidence interval ranges from 8.8% to 11.9%. This approach explains 89.9% of the CO temporal
variations.
Discussion The differences between the linear model and KZ filter trend estimations are due to the fact that the KZ filter performs the
analysis on the smoothed data rather than the original data. In the KZ filter trend estimation, the effect of meteorological
conditions has been removed. The CO short-term componentis attributable to weather and short-term fluctuations in emissions.
There is a significant seasonal cycle. This component is a result of changes in the traffic, the yearly meteorological cycle
and the interactions between these two factors. There are peaks during the autumn and winter months, which have more traffic
density in the sampled site. There is a minimum during the month of August, reflecting the very low level of vehicle emissions
which is a direct consequence of the holiday period.
Conclusions The significant, decreasing trend implies to a certain extent that the urban environment in the area is improving. This trend
results from changes in overall emissions, pollutant transport, climate, policy and economics. It is also due to the effect
of introducing reformulated gasoline. The additives enable vehicles to burn fuel with a higher air/fuel ratio, thereby lowering
the emission of CO. The KZ filter has been the most effective method to separate the CO series components and to obtain an
estimate of the long-term trend due to changes in emissions, removing the effect of meteorological conditions.
Recommendations and Perspectives Air quality managers and policy-makers must understand the link between climate and pollutants to select optimal pollutant
reduction strategies and avoid exceeding emission directives. This paper analyses eight years of ambient CO data at a site
with a high traffic density, and provides results that are useful for decision-making. The assessment of long-term changes
in air pollutants to evaluate reduction strategies has to be done while taking into account meteorological variability 相似文献
2.
正确评价干洗剂对人体的毒副作用,合理地设定干洗过程挥发性有害物质的残留限量,是开发干洗业环境无害技术和绿色服务的先决条件。只有在充分保证环境安全的前提下,通过逐步推行化学清洁产品的总体选择战略,从环境管理和经济发展的结合上来规范企业的环境行为,才能最终实现干洗业的可持续发展。 相似文献
3.
4.
上海市机动车排污状况与污染控制战略 总被引:22,自引:7,他引:22
通过对上海市中心城区机动车行驶工史现状的主要特点及发展趋势的分析,计算出中心城区1995年机动车尾气排放的CO、NMHC和NOx负荷,分别占区域内机动车和固定源产排放总量的76%、93%和44%,据预测,到2010年,中心城区内机动车排出的CO、NMHC和NOx负荷,将分别占区域中机动车和固定源排放总量的94%、98%和75%,因此,针对机动车排污所面临的严峻挑战,需要采取加强机动车检查与维修(I 相似文献
5.
妨碍国有工业企业推行清洁生产的几个问题 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
分析不利于国有工业企业推行清洁生产的六方面问题:认识偏差,缺乏激励机制,缺乏足够的资金,技改中新技术含量低,缺乏人才和政府执行力度不够,结合实际情况初步探讨解决办法。 相似文献
6.
GametheoryapproachtooptimalcapitalcostalocationinpolutioncontrolChenWenyingInstituteofNuclearEnergyTechnology,TsinghuaUniver... 相似文献
7.
8.
采用加压活性炭生物膜法处理以对硝基甲苯磺酸盐为主的难降解的有机废水的研究,是在活性炭生物膜法处理有机废水基础上发展起来的新技术。本实验结果表明,在加压9.8×10~4Pa(1kgt/cm~2)的条件下,COD_(Cr)去除率为62%~70%,比常压活性炭生物膜法高20%~25%;其容积负荷Nv=1.7~2.9kgCOD/m~3·d,比一般活性污泥法高3~6倍。 相似文献
9.
研究了柴油机掺烧液化石油气(LPG)以降低黑烟排放的技术方案,并开发出了一种以独特型板调节装置为特征的机械控制式柴油/LPG双燃料供给系统。发动机不改变原有结构加装该系统后即成为柴油/LPG双燃料发动机,可以同时燃烧柴油和LPG两种燃料,并且在整个工作范围内,随着工况变化能够按照预先优化设定的型板型线规律而自动调节柴油/LPG供给量比例,使烟度降低50%以上,同时满足经济性、动力性以及操作性能等要求,此外,也可以切换为单独燃烧柴油,而不改变发动机的原有性能。该系统结构简单、成本低廉,非常适合于改装城市在用公交车,降低其黑烟排放。 相似文献
10.