三峡库区长江水位变化条件下滑坡稳定性二元指标体系研究

安全系数是边坡稳定性评价中的常用方法,在长期的工程实践中积累了丰富的经验,其最大的缺点是不能考虑边坡岩土体中实际存在的不确定性。可靠性理论可有效地考虑边坡系统内实际存在的不确定性和相关性,但是缺乏丰富的工程实践经验,因此,将工程实践经验丰富的安全系数与先进的可靠性理论相结合,建立安全系数与可靠性相耦合的二元评价体系具有重要的理论意义和应用价值。以巴东县东壤口镇宋家屋场滑坡为实例,计算了长江水位从135 m至175 m变化过程中的平均安全系数(最大可能安全系数)和相应的可靠性。将最大可能安全系数与边坡可靠性相乘,对最大可能安全系数进行折减,得到边坡可靠的安全系数。设折减后安全系数的临界值为1．05,由此计算出不同最大可能安全系数的临界变异系数和临界破坏概率。根据不同的最大可能安全系数及它的临界破坏概率,绘制出边坡稳定性分区图。用均值安全系数和可靠性二元指标对宋家屋场滑坡的稳定性进行了评价,结果是可靠的安全系数为1．068,略大于临界值,处于基本稳定状态。文中论述了边坡稳定性二元指标体系的建立方法。     

城市型生态社区可持续发展评价指标体系的初步研究

近年来,城市化发展带动了社区建设的蒸蒸日上,同时也带来了环境资源的快速消耗及一系列的环境污染问题,生态社区的建设受到人们的广泛关注,可持续发展的理念已经渗透到人类社区建设发展的各个方面.通过对城市型生态社区内涵的分析,探讨了城市型生态社区可持续发展评价指标体系的构建原则,在该原则指导下结合苏州市区域特征采用层次分析法建立了与之相应的评价指标体系,并在该基础上以指标体系中的生态建筑子系统为例对其做出详细的指标说明.     

Can Forest-protection carbon projects improve rural livelihoods? Analysis of the Noel Kempff Mercado climate action project,Bolivia

We studied the Noel KempffMercado Climate Action Project (NKMCAP),Bolivia, to assess whether forestprotection carbon (C) projects cansignificantly benefit local people. Wehypothesized that forest protection canonly securely deliver C if significantstakeholders are meaningfully andtransparently involved, traditional orcustomary rights are recognized and theirloss compensated for, and there are directlinkages between conservation anddevelopment objective. Our researchfocused on 53 members of the communities ofFlorida, Porvenir and Piso Firme and 36secondary stakeholders. In each of thevillages we held half-day meetings withcommunity leaders, complemented bysemi-structured one-hour interviews with 5,10, and 7 families, representing 20%, 10%and 8% of each community. The long-termimpact of the NKMCAP on the localcommunities may well be positive. However,in the short run, certain sections of thelocal communities are financially poorer. Forest protection projects clearly have thepotential to sequester C, protectbiodiversity and simultaneously contributeto sustainable rural development, but ifthey really are to improve rurallivelihoods, they must be designed andimplemented carefully and participatively.     

Hybridization between wheat (Triticum aestivum) and the wild species Aegilops geniculata and A. biuncialis under experimental field conditions

Hybridization between Aegilops geniculata, A. biuncialis and bread wheat Triticum aestivum has been evaluated during two seasons under simulated field conditions to estimate the field hybridization rate under Central Spain conditions. The mean frequencies of hybridization between A. biuncialis and A. geniculata with wheat were 0.34% and 0.31%, respectively. Data from 10 hybrid plants for each combination showed that hybrids can be partially fertile by backcrossing with wheat parent, with percent averages of 3.17 grains/spikelets for A. biuncialis × wheat hybrids and 2.87 grains/spikelets for A. geniculata × wheat hybrids. Self-pollination, although at very low rates, was also possible in hybrids. The potential risks associated with natural hybridization in the context of transgenic wheat cultivation are discussed.     

大型底栖动物污染指数(MPI)

根据2000年至2002年在深圳湾、厦门西海域、罗源湾、兴化湾潮间带和潮下带获得的85个取样站次大型底栖动物数据，参考丰度生物量比较法(ABC)，建立了评价海洋环境质量的大型底栖动物污染指数(MPI)．MPI的计算式是：MPI=10^(2 k)[∑(Ai—Bi)]/S^1 k，式中Ai和Bi分别是密度和生物量优势度大小顺序的第i个累积百分优势度的数值，S为采集到的物种数，K为常数，K=|∑(Ai-Bi)|/∑(Ai-Bi)，当∑(Ai—Bi)为正数时，K=1:∑(Ai-Bi)为负数时，K=-1．MPI越小。沉积环境越清洁．反之，污染越严重．MPI的优点是实现ABC法的数字化，而且反应灵敏，评价结果比种类多样性指数(H)更符合实际．     

Climate Change and Energy Technologies

The long time scale of the climate change problem and the inherent nature of the carbon cycle bring important implications for present technology development efforts. Even if major technology improvements are achieved for non-carbon-emitting technologies such as energy-intensity improvements, wind, solar, biomass, and nuclear over the course of the 21^st century, most examinations of potential future greenhouse emissions conclude that additional technology development will be required to stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations. The evelopment of an expanded suite of technologies including carbon capture and disposal, hydrogen systems and biotechnology hold the potential to dramatically reduce the cost of stabilizing greenhouse gas concentrations. This paper examines these technologies in the context of a global integrated assessment model of energy, agriculture, land-use, economics, and carbon cycle processes.     

燕山地区大红峪组火山岩古风化作用新认识

大红峪组火山岩 ,在成岩后受古风化作用影响引起化学成分的变化 ,特别是深风化带岩石后期K2 O沉积的影响 ,造成从未风化到深风化岩石在TAS图解、碱度系数、岩系指数及岩石类型等方面相应地发生变化。在TAS图解上 ,岩石向碱性增加、SiO2 减少方向变化。碱度系数变大 ,岩系指数的变化使火山岩反映为从钙碱性到超碱性。岩石类型也出现不确定性。深风化带岩石根据岩石化学成分计算标准矿物时 ,出现白榴石、霞石等碱性矿物 ,而实际矿物未见这一现象 ,也是后期K2 O沉积影响的结果。排除古风化的影响 ,作者认为大红峪组火山岩应为钾质的粗面岩和粗面玄武岩 ,属钙碱系列。粗面玄武岩为铝过饱和型 ,粗面岩为正常型。不存在明显的岩浆分离结晶作用 ,其原始岩浆应以基性为主。由于上述的原因 ,影响了对岩浆来源、构造环境的判断。推断其构造环境 ,是在总的海进条件下 ,出现多次的海退 ,伴有多次火山喷发活动 ,水动能比较大 ,气候干旱 ,封闭、半封闭的海盆中富含钾的环境。     

新洁而灭对海洋原甲藻赤潮生物的灭杀与抑制

研究了十二烷基二甲基卞基溴化铵(新洁而灭)和戊二醛对赤潮生物的灭杀和控制作用。结果表明，新洁而灭可以有效地杀灭海洋原甲藻，浓度0．10mg/L时，可以控制海洋原甲藻的增长，浓度大于0．15mg/L时，除藻率可达到90％以上。戊二醛也具有除藻效果，但作用浓度较高，浓度大于3．0mg/L，除藻率可达到50％以上。戊二醛与新洁而灭复配时具有协同作用，可提高除藻能力。当戊二醛与新洁而灭配比为10：1时，协同指数小于1，协同作用比较明显，戊二醛与新洁而灭可复配使用。     

对水体中有机污染综合指标及其相互间的关系探研

通过对水体中各有机污染综合指标的含义及各指标测定方法条件控制的论述,阐明了各指标间的相互关系,对我们在水质监测中的质量控制、数据的综合分析和判断有一定的指导意义。     

高锰酸盐指数测定中校正系数K值的变化验证

运用数理统计方法,验证了高锰酸盐指数测定的校正系数K值在4～5h内不会随时间和水样的变化而变化,K值不必每个样品都测定。