试论突发性自然灾害灾害损失评估的特点与原则

本文在分析突发性自然灾害特征与灾害损失评估特点的基础上，提出了突发性自然灾害灾害损失评估的原则。这些原则的提出，为灾害损失评估理论和方法研究奠定基础。     

遥感与地理信息系统一体化技术在重大自然灾害监测与评估中的应用

本文结合国家“八五”科技攻关的实例，阐述了遥感和地理信息系统技术在重大突发性自然灾害监测与评估中的作用和良好效益，并提出今后着重的三个方面：建立国家自然灾害监测与评估中心；解决关键性的技术问题，牢固用户观点。     

Community and individual reaction to environmental hazards: Developing a measurement technology

This study was an attempt to develop an efficient method of monitoring and assessing how members of a community react to a toxic hazard in their community. The intent was to develop a short instrument which could be applied in multiple settings, or in the same setting several times. The methodology was a short questionnaire that addressed six issues: sources of information about the hazard, beliefs about justice and responsibility, beliefs about why the hazard is a problem, extent of active concern, involvement in community affairs, and satisfaction with life. A mailed questionnaire was developed and tested in a community near an EPA Superfund site in the United States. Results of the effort are discussed relative to the particular community studied, and relative to furthering the assessment technology begun in this research.     

Establishing the link between ammonia emission control and measurements of reduced nitrogen concentrations and deposition

In the context of international efforts to reduce the impactsof atmospheric NH₃ and NH₄ ⁺ (collectively, NH_x), it is important to establish the link between NH₃emissions and monitoring of NH_x concentrations and deposition. This is equally relevant to situations where NH₃emissions changes are certain (e.g. due to changed source sectoractivity), as to cases where NH₃ abatement technologies havebeen implemented. Correct interpretation of adequate atmosphericmeasurements is essential, since monitoring data provide the onlymeans to evaluate trends in regional NH₃ emissions.These issues have been reviewed using available measurements and modelling from nine countries. In addition to historic datasets,the analysis here considers countries where NH₃ source sector activity changed (both increases and decreases) and countries where NH₃ abatement policies have been implemented.In The Netherlands an `ammonia gap' was identified between the expected reduction and results of monitoring, and was attributedinitially to ineffectiveness of the abatement measures. The analysis here for a range of countries shows that atmospheric interactions complicate the expected changes, particularly sinceSO₂ emissions have decreased at the same time, while at manysites the few years of available data show substantial inter-annual variation. It is concluded that networks need to beestablished that speciate between NH₃ and aerosol NH₄ ⁺, in addition to providing wet deposition, and sample at sufficient sites for robust regional estimates to be established. Such measurements will be essential to monitor compliance of the international agreements on NH₃ emission abatement.     

云南省国际河流水质状况及其保护

介绍了云南省红河，澜沧江，怒江和伊洛瓦底江4大国际河流水系2000年的水质状况，对其1991－2000年的水质变化趋势及其主要污染因素进行了分析。据此提出了“十五”期间和以后较长一段时间内水环境治理的综合对策和措施。     

城市地震应急救援措施探讨

在分析城市地震灾害及典型震例的基础上,探讨了城市地震应急救援的问题.     

论人地关系变化对湖北省自然灾害的影响

人口增长及其引发的人地关系失调导致并加重了一系列自然灾害.人地关系恶化致使湖北省“灾种增多、频率加快、灾情趋重“.因此,湖北省的防灾减灾工作,不仅要重视水利工程、生态工程等减灾措施的作用,更要重视人地关系变化对自然灾害的影响,从调整人地关系入手,进行生态减压,从而达到从根本上防灾减灾的目的.     

突发性地震灾害危机的预警和应急管理机制

借鉴SARS事件的经验教训,探讨了如何加快构建突发性地震灾害危机的预测预警、应急处理、信息发布和宣传教育等四个方面的管理机制,并提出了建立地震灾害预警等级及其相应的应急预案和信息发布措施的新思维.     

基于投影寻踪的洪水灾情评价插值模型

为解决单项洪水灾情等级评价指标评价结果的不相容问题,提高综合评价各层次的分辩力和评价模型的精度,本文利用投影寻踪、遗传算法、插值型曲线,为洪水灾情评价提供了一种新模型--遗传投影寻踪插值模型.通过最佳投影向量和评价指标向量的内积可把洪水灾情多维评价样本指标综合成一维投影指标,根据该投影指标值和对应等级的分布,可建立洪水灾情评价的插值模型,解决了各单项洪水灾情评价指标评价结果的不相容问题,提高了洪水灾情综合评价问题各层次的分辩力.作为示例,对中国部分省市的洪水灾情进行了综合评价.     

黑龙江省可持续发展与21世纪减轻地质灾害策略分析

黑龙江省地质、地貌、气候、水文条件复杂,是地质灾害的多发区;且随着经济的发展,人类经济工程活动诱发的地质灾害也在逐年增加.本文分析了黑龙江省地质灾害的类型、成因、分布及危害;论述了地质灾害与可持续发展的辩证关系;并为促进本省可持续发展提出了切合实际的减灾对策.