京津冀地区高分辨率PM2.5浓度时空变化模拟与分析

为了全覆盖、高分辨率和高精度识别京津冀地区大气PM_2.5质量浓度时空变化,选取多角度大气校正算法遥感反演的1km AOD为主要预测因子,多种气象要素和土地利用要素为辅助预测因子,构建了混合效应模型+地理加权回归模型的两阶段统计模型,并针对京津冀地区PM_2.5污染较严重的特点,模型中引入了AOD²等独特预测因子.通过上述两阶段模型定量预测了研究区2017年1 km²空间分辨率的每日PM_2.5质量浓度.结果表明,模型交叉验证的决定系数R²为0.94,斜率为0.95,均方根预测误差为13.14 μg·m^-3,在前人基础上预测精度进一步提升,可用于PM_2.5浓度时空变化预测与分析.2017年,京津冀地区PM_2.5浓度年均值为44.96 μg·m^-3,年均值范围在0~89.89 μg·m^-3之间.PM_2.5浓度时空变化差异性明显,整体上呈现"平原西南部浓度高、平原东北部浓度中等和山区高原浓度低"的空间分布格局以及"冬季浓度高、夏季浓度低和春秋过渡"的季节变化特点.模型预测结果的高时空分辨率可以支持流行病学研究在较小区域的暴露评估和识别小尺度污染源的时空变化,分析发现在大气污染防治行动计划实施以来,污染较严重的冀中南山麓平原区可能出现了重要污染源的空间变化.模型预测与分析结果可以为京津冀大气污染防治提供科学支撑.     

山东省不同地形区降雨侵蚀力时空变化特征

掌握降水及降雨侵蚀力的时空分布和演变特征对于揭示区域气候变化规律,有效预防和科学评估水土流失等环境问题具有重要意义。基于34个气象站点1961—2015年的降水日值数据,采用降雨侵蚀力计算模型、Mann-Kendall检验、小波分析和Kriging空间插值等研究方法,分析研究了山东省内山地、丘陵和平原等不同地形区的降水和降雨侵蚀力时空变化特征。结果显示：近55年间,全省及各地形区的降水量和降雨侵蚀力均呈波动下降趋势,年内分配均集中在夏季,降雨侵蚀力在时间尺度上存在25年左右的变化周期。空间上,降水和降雨侵蚀力均呈现鲁中南山区＞胶东半岛丘陵区＞鲁西北平原区;分界线由东北至西南沿福山—莱阳—淄博—定陶等站呈“S”型贯穿山东省,界线东南侧降雨侵蚀力高,西北侧降雨侵蚀力较低。其原因主要是受海拔和地形的影响,东南季风携带湿润气流受胶东半岛丘陵及鲁中南山地的阻挡抬升,致使“S”型分界线东南侧迎风面降水及降雨强度相对较高;西北侧背风面形成焚风效应,降水及降雨侵蚀强度较低。该结果可为山东省水土流失空间特征分析奠定数据基础,同时为区域水土资源利用与调控及生态环境保护与改善提供决策支撑。     

Quality of roof runoff waters from an urban region (Gda sk, Poland)

The paper presents the results of testing of roof runoff waters from buildings in the city of Gda sk (Poland), carried out as a part of a broader research project aimed at the determination of pollutant levels in precipitation. The analytes determined included volatile organohalogen compounds, petroleum hydrocarbons, Na⁺, K⁺, NH₄⁺, Mg²⁺, Ca²⁺, F⁻, Cl⁻, NO₂⁻, NO₃⁻, PO₄³⁻, SO₄²⁻ ions, as well as organonitrogen, organophosphorus and organochlorine pesticides. In addition, the toxicity and pH of the samples were examined. The samples were collected over a period of six months, during or immediately following precipitation events. More than half of the samples (25) were found to be toxic, with inhibition exceeding 20%. The toxicity was weakly correlated to the levels of organonitrogen and organophosphorus pesticides in runoff waters. It was established that at least in some cases the roofing material affected the levels of the pollutants found in the samples.     

京津唐地区农村-城市转型研究

以农村发展为视角，城乡一体化为背景。详细分析了京津唐地区农村—城市转型的特征、动力机制和类型。通过分析，文章认为促进京津唐地区农村一城市转型的因素一部分来自于农村内部的改革和发展．一部分来自于中心城市的经济技术辐射。在此基础上．作者提出了推进京津唐地区农村-城市转型的主要对策。     

Effects of the Anthropogenic Factor on Bats (Chiroptera: Vespertilionidae) in the Volga Region

Using the example of bats inhabiting the Volga region, the cases in which the anthropogenic factor creates favorable conditions for these animals or significantly reduces their diversity of their fauna are considered. In this context, an opinion concerning the approaches to the conservation of bats is formulated.     

Assessing Tourists' Preferences for Recreational and Environmental Management Programs Central to the Sustainable Development of a Tourism Area in the Dominican Republic

The main goals of this paper are to (1) highlight the need for sustainable development as a means to conserve natural resources and the environment, which often represent the basis for tourism development, (2) illustrate the importance of assessing tourists' preferences when designing programs and policies central to the sustainable development of a tourism area, and (3) study tourists' interests in sustainable development. With these goals in mind, 180 tourists from Europe, Latin America, and North America were interviewed as they were leaving the resort region of Punta Cana in the Dominican Republic. The main factors that they considered when deciding where to go on a beach vacation were evaluated, as well as their preferences regarding four programs designed to improve recreational and environmental management of the area. Preferences by tourists were elicited both in monetary and non-monetary terms. This paper reports the non-monetary analysis of the data. The results indicate that clean ocean water and beaches, quality of services, and price are the most important factors considered by the respondents before deciding to come to Punta Cana. It was not possible to obtain reliable responses on how tourists perceived the four programs contributing to the sustainable development of Punta Cana. Nevertheless, they expressed high interest and willingness to pay for two of these programs: the outdoor aquarium and the Water Management Program. The results reported in this paper show how important it is to elicit tourists' preferences of programs central to the sustainable development of tourism areas since these preferences can drive managers' development decisions in more sustainable directions.     

长江流域粮食资源及生产发展方向

论述长江流域发展粮食生产的重要性，分析粮食资源分布，生产状况，生产结构和地域差异，指出粮食合理布局的方向，提出以粮食集中产区为重点，建设长江流域粮食生产专业化地并以建设商品粮基地为建带突破口。     

花江峡谷石漠化土地生态重建及其启示

尽管西南岩溶地区石漠化趋势严重,但真正做到生态、经济、社会三效益统一的岩溶石漠化生态重建模式的实践工作却做得很少。且对于这些实践活动还缺乏理论的总结和思考。花江峡谷顶坛片区,充分利用当地的适生植物资源和干热资源优势在石漠化土地上种植花椒、砂仁等喜热耐旱的经济作物,在恢复和治理生态的前提下成功调整了农业内部结构,形成以花椒规模种植为核心心的特色产业,利用雨水、坡面水、岩溶裂隙水,实行参与式社区管理,使环境、经济与社区文化得以可持续发展。“顶坛”模式是充分利用岩溶环境资源优势,高山地保护于特色农业开发之中的一个成功例子。它启示我们,岩溶石漠化土地恢复重建必须重新认识岩溶环境优势。因地制宜,对过去侧重于水土保持的传统治理模式进行创新。     

黔中石漠化地区不同土地利用方式对土壤环境的影响

在贵州省普定县喀斯特石漠化地区通过调查分析,对3种土地不同利用方式（Ⅰ封山育林地、Ⅱ退耕还林地、Ⅲ农耕地）土壤物理性质、化学性质及土壤种子库进行了研究。结果表明利用方式的不同对土壤物理性质、化学性质及土壤种子库均产生了显著的影响。土壤容重、土壤毛管孔隙度随土壤扰动的加剧而下降,表现为Ⅰ＞Ⅱ＞Ⅲ;土壤总孔隙度与非毛管孔隙度呈现出随土壤扰动程度增加而增加的趋势,表现为Ⅲ＞Ⅱ＞Ⅰ;不同层次之间容重的变异较小,土壤质地比较均一;Ⅱ土壤有机质低于类型Ⅲ和Ⅰ;Ⅰ初步形成了林地环境,林地土壤表现出良性转变。随土壤深度的增加,有机质、全氮、全磷、速效氮表现出减少的趋势,土壤扰动降低了土壤化学性质层次间变异。不同利用方式下土壤种子库物种组成变化不大,土壤中的种子集中分布在表层0～5 cm内,随土层的加深所含种子数量、物种数逐渐降低。不同利用类型的土壤种子数量在0～5 cm层次差异显著（〖WTBX〗p〖WTBZ〗=0.021 897）,种子种类差异不显著（〖WTBX〗p〖WTBZ〗=0.097 628）。土壤扰动促进种子向深层传播,退耕还林有利于土壤质量的恢复。