基于突变级数法的中国低碳经济复杂系统综合评价

低碳经济是人类社会实现可持续发展的内在要求和重要途径,是应对气候变化的必然选择。首先界定了低碳经济SREE复杂系统,该系统由社会、资源、经济和环境4个相互独立又相互联系的子系统构成的复杂巨系统。以此为基础,构建了包括经济系统、资源环境系统和社会系统在内的低碳经济复杂系统综合评价指标体系。考虑到运用突变级数法对指标体系进行评价的需要,指标体系全部由定量指标构成,避免了人为确定定性指标权重的主观性。其次,运用突变级数评价方法对2005～2009年的中国低碳经济复杂系统进行了评价。从评价结果来看,我国低碳经济复杂系统按照波浪型曲线运行,这是国际金融危机和国内经济结构调整双重因素导致的结果,同时也是复杂系统内部子系统相互影响、相互作用的结果。最后,提出了当前中国低碳经济复杂系统可持续发展的相应战略     

Fate of atrazine in a soil under different agronomic management practices

Agricultural management affects the movement of atrazine in soil and leaching to groundwater. The objective of this study was to determine atrazine adsorption in a soil after 20 years of atrazine application under agronomic management practices differing in tillage practice (conventional and zero tillage), residue management (with and without residue retention) and crop rotation (wheat-maize rotation and maize monoculture). Atrazine sorption was determined using batch and column experiments. In the batch experiment, the highest distribution coefficient K_d (1.1 L kg^?1) at 0–10 cm soil depth was observed under zero tillage, crop rotation and residue retention (conservation agriculture). The key factor in adsorption was soil organic matter content and type. This was confirmed in the column experiment, in which the highest K_d values were observed in treatments with residue retention, under either zero or conventional tillage (0.81 and 0.68 L kg^?1, respectively). Under zero tillage, the fact that there was no soil movement helped to increase the K_d. The increased soil organic matter content with conservation agriculture may be more important than preferential flow due to higher pore connectivity in the same system. The soil's capacity to adsorb 2-hydroxyatrazine (HA), an important atrazine metabolite, was more important than its capacity to adsorb atrazine, and was similar under all four management practices (K_d ranged from 30 to 40 L kg^?1). The HA adsorption was attributed to the type and amount of clay in the soil, which is unaffected by agronomic management. Soils under conservation agriculture had higher atrazine retention potential than soils under conventional tillage, the system that predominates in the study area.     

可持续发展视角下的中央商务区低碳发展路径和策略探讨

随着城市建设的不断推进,中央商务区(CBD)的可持续发展受到越来越多关注。随着全球气候变化的日益加剧,低碳CBD作为一种新型的CBD发展模式被提出。基于国内外已有的CBD建设研究,以可持续发展理念为指引,在解析CBD发展历程的基础上,探究了中国CBD低碳建设的路径和策略。CBD的碳排放特征分析表明,"低碳CBD"的发展路径必须将低碳理念贯彻到规划期、建设期及运营期等各个阶段,坚持全生命周期的低碳管理。最后,从量化低碳目标、创新低碳政策和持续改进地管理低碳建设3个方面提出了低碳CBD的发展策略。     

水解-BCMBBR-混凝沉淀组合工艺处理低浓度污水的中试研究

采用水解-生物陶粒移动床(BCMBBR)-混凝沉淀组合工艺处理南方低浓度、低碳高氨氮生活污水(COD 110～140 mg/L、C/N 4～5),开展中试研究。结果表明,BCMBBR 20 d成功挂膜,快速启动;在水温25～29℃,HRT 8 h,气水比5∶1,混合液回流比150%,无混凝沉淀下运行,COD、SS和NH4+-N的平均去除率均在81%以上,TN平均去除率大于47%,而TP去除率较低;后接PAC+PAM强化混凝沉淀后运行,有效提高了TP去除率,出水TP在0.5 mg/L以下,稳定达到(GB18918-2002)一级A标准。曝气强度不同相应BCMBBR中的微生物相(微生物种类和数量)也不同,可根据微生物相来指导曝气强度的调节,实现BCMBBR的高效运行。该组合工艺处理废水运行的直接成本为0.24元/m3,是一种适合南方低浓度、低碳高氨氮生活污水的经济高效处理工艺。     

国内外绿色创新与发展研究动态综述

创新和绿色已经成为今后驱动经济转型的两个最重要的因子。从绿色创新发展的资源环境维度、经济社会文化维度出发,以区域绿色创新与发展为主线,按照文献的发展脉络与逻辑关系,旨在系统梳理区域绿色创新的微观影响因素与过程,分析绿色发展问题的内涵与演变。绿色创新发展来自于多重因素与制度在生产、扩散和使用新知识与新技术等方面的相互作用,而绿色发展的最终目的是有限资源条件下的可持续现代化与城市转型。在国内外的绿色实践中,总结了能源可持续利用、节能服务业与低碳城市建设等研究的前沿问题。     

锦标机制理论下企业低碳经济发展激励机制研究

按照企业发展与环境相容的原则,低碳经济是应对全球变暖的最佳经济模式,低碳经济以低能耗、低排放、低污染为基本特征,以应对碳基能源对于气候变暖影响为基本要求,以实现经济社会的可持续发展为基本目的.鉴于当前文献关于企业发展低碳经济的激励机制研究还略显不足,文章借鉴激励理论中的委托代理理论,根据Malcomson模型的研究方法,构建了包括1阶段合约和2阶段合约的企业发展低碳经济的激励机制框架,设立基于相对业绩的"锦标机制"模型并对模型进行系统分析,推导出政府在制定企业发展低碳经济激励政策时的注意事项,即中央政府要加大财政转移支付力度,支持地方发展低碳经济;地方政府要设立专门的低碳经济发展激励基金,并纳入财政预算管理;地方政府在激励企业发展低碳经济时,要有层次、有针对的对企业给予政策支持或财政补贴,形成阶梯式的支持结构,使有限财政资金得到合理配置;地方政府应该以区域内企业实施低碳经济活动的努力水平为评判标准对企业进行激励.     

Agricultural reuse of the digestate from low-cost tubular digesters in rural Andean communities

This research aimed at assessing the properties of guinea pig manure digestate from low-cost tubular digesters for crops fertilization in rural Andean communities. To this end, field trials were carried out to evaluate the effect of the digestate on two common Andean crops: potato (Solanum tuberosum) and forage (Lolium multiflorum and Trifolium pratense L.). The potato yield (20-25 tha(-1)) increased by 27.5% with digestate, by 15.1% with pre-compost and by 10.3% with the mixture, compared to the control. The forage yield (20-21 tha(-1)) increased by 1.4% with digestate - 50% dose, and by 8.8% with digestate - 100% dose and digestate - 150% dose, compared to the control. The results suggest that the digestate is an appropriate substitute of manure pre-compost for potato fertilization. The results with forage indicate that it can be applied in a range of doses, according to the amount produced by the digester. Currently, manure is either used for cooking or as fertilizer. With low-cost tubular digesters implementation, it could be used to feed the digester, using the digestate for crops fertilization and biogas for cooking; improving household living conditions and protecting the environment. Since soil properties in rural Andean communities differ from experimental layouts, the effect of fertilizers should be re-evaluated in-situ in future research studies.     

中国低碳城市发展模式与行动策略

建设低碳城市是促进节能减排和经济社会持续发展的重要战略举措,成为未来城市发展的重要导向和路径选择.从低碳城市发展重要性和紧迫性入手,在立足基本国情的基础上设计了低碳城市发展愿景.结合城市化快速推进预期和经济社会发展需求,分阶段提出了低碳城市发展目标.从总体模式、指导理念、基本思路、主要领域等对我国低碳城市发展模式进行了构想.在此基础上,提出我国低碳城市发展的实施步骤和行动策略.研究认为,我国低碳城市发展模式应选择“C”模式,以低碳发展为主导方向,以节能减排为发展方式,以低碳生产和低碳生活为主要方法.按照控源、减碳、增汇的基本思路,依靠理念创新、技术创新和制度创新,在低碳产业、低碳能源、低碳技术以及低碳生活等领域,通过构建低碳城市规划理论框架、建立低碳城市评价标准和体系、加快相关政策规章与制度建设、开展城市碳交易试点以及加强监督指导等措施,立足国情、统筹兼顾,分步骤、分阶段有序推进低碳城市发展.     

基于环境因素的中国农业生产率增长研究

考虑环境因素,运用方向性距离函数测算了1999-2008年中国30个省(直辖市、自治区)的农业环境技术效率,采用Malmquist-Luenberger生产率指数测度了28个省(直辖市、自治区)的农业全要素生产率(TFP)增长,并将其进一步分解为技术进步率指数和技术效率变化指数,以分析农业技术进步和农业技术效率变动对中国农业生产率增长的贡献.实证结果表明:东部的农业环境技术效率明显高于中、西部,而中、西部的差别很小,中部略低于西部;1999-2008年间各年的ML指数均值都大于1,表明中国农业每年的生产率都在增长;中国农业生产率的改进来源于技术进步,技术效率变化均值为0.997,农业技术效率在轻微退步;忽略环境因素会高估我国的农业生产率增长.在上述结论基础上,对如何促进中国农业生产率健康发展提出了相应的政策建议.     

An Empirical Study on the Environmental Kuznets Curve for China＇s Carbon Emissions： Based on Provincial Panel Data

Based on the Environmental Kuznets Curve theory, the authors choose provincial panel data of China in 1990-2007 and adopt panel trait root and co-integration testing method to study whether there is Environmental Kuznets Curve for China＇s carbon emissions. The research results show that： carbon emissions per capita of the eastern region and the central region of China fit into Environmental Kuznets Curve, but that of the western region does not. On this basis, the authors carry out scenario analysis on the occurrence time of the inflection point of carbon emissions per capita of different regions, and describe a specific time path.