可靠性理论在公共安全领域的应用研究

对公共安全体系从系统可靠性的视角,综合运用可靠性方面的知识,构建公共安全系统混联模型;进而将可靠性分配理论与故障树分析方法相结合,根据系统安全目标的要求,确定混联系统的第一层次各单元事件的可靠性目标值,对构成各单元的各个下属单元采取最小工作量可靠度分配方法,从而建立系统中各单元可靠度再分配量化模型。通过建筑物火灾引起人员伤亡事故实例,详述系统各单元可靠性分配的计算过程。研究表明,可靠性理论可以成功地应用到公共安全领域;使系统在给定的目标值条件下达到系统的安全性优化,实现了公共安全保障效能,减小灾害损失。     

机动车排放颗粒物成分谱对比研究

对深圳、无锡、济南和美国EPA建立的机动车排放颗粒物成分谱进行对比研究,建立的成分谱中各组分含量存在较大差别原因为使用了不同的采样方法。     

烟气扩散的CFD数值模拟

运用商业CFD软件Fluent模拟计算小尺寸下的简单烟气扩散规律.将结果用正态分布假设下的高斯烟羽模型验证.证明该软件模拟烟气扩散问题的可行性.     

残酸再利用工艺技术

针对油田酸化过程中返排出的残酸处理困难,造成较大污染、浪费等问题,分析了残酸作为调剖剂的价值,研究了利用“残酸”进行调剖的工艺技术,并进行了现场试验,投入产出比为1:28,取得了较好的经济效益和社会效益,为”残酸”的再利用和环境保护找到了一条有效途径。     

Stochastic Transfer Function Model and Neural Networks to Estimate Soil Moisture1

Abstract: A practical methodology is proposed to estimate the three‐dimensional variability of soil moisture based on a stochastic transfer function model, which is an approximation of the Richard’s equation. Satellite, radar and in situ observations are the major sources of information to develop a model that represents the dynamic water content in the soil. The soil‐moisture observations were collected from 17 stations located in Puerto Rico (PR), and a sequential quadratic programming algorithm was used to estimate the parameters of the transfer function (TF) at each station. Soil texture information, terrain elevation, vegetation index, surface temperature, and accumulated rainfall for every grid cell were input into a self‐organized artificial neural network to identify similarities on terrain spatial variability and to determine the TF that best resembles the properties of a particular grid point. Soil moisture observed at 20 cm depth, soil texture, and cumulative rainfall were also used to train a feedforward artificial neural network to estimate soil moisture at 5, 10, 50, and 100 cm depth. A validation procedure was implemented to measure the horizontal and vertical estimation accuracy of soil moisture. Validation results from spatial and temporal variation of volumetric water content (vwc) showed that the proposed algorithm estimated soil moisture with a root mean squared error (RMSE) of 2.31% vwc, and the vertical profile shows a RMSE of 2.50% vwc. The algorithm estimates soil moisture in an hourly basis at 1 km spatial resolution, and up to 1 m depth, and was successfully applied under PR climate conditions.     

北京市典型排放源PM_(2.5)成分谱研究

为了建立和完善北京市PM_(2.5)本地化源谱,对北京市11类排放源PM_(2.5)进行采集,并测定其26种组分,分析了不同排放源源谱的组分特征.结果表明,在有组织排放源中,燃煤电厂PM_(2.5)中OC和Si含量很高,占PM_(2.5)的质量分数分别为8.56%和6.19%(平均值),而供热/工业锅炉排放PM_(2.5)中则是SO_4~(2-)(占48.38%)和OC(11.0%)比例最高,水泥窑炉PM_(2.5)中OC(7.12%)、Ca(4.81)和Si(4.41%)占有较大比例;垃圾焚烧排放的PM_(2.5)中Si、Ca、K和SO_4~(2-)均较高,分别占8.15%、9.36%、7.17%和6.79%,且Cl~-含量(2.5%)高于其他所有源,生物质燃烧源PM_(2.5)中OC(21.7%)、Si(6.75%)、Ca(6.15%)较为丰富,餐饮源PM_(2.5)中OC(19.44%)、SO_4~(2-)(5.76%)和K(3.11%)含量均较高;无组织开放源中,道路扬尘和土壤风沙PM_(2.5)化学组分含量变化较为一致,均是Si(分别为16.8%和9.3%)和OC(分别为8.89%和6.61%)最高,建筑水泥尘PM_(2.5)中Ca(17.46%)含量高于其他源;流动排放源PM_(2.5)中OC、EC比例最高,其中,重型柴油车的OC(29.79%)与EC(26.5%)排放比例相当,而轻型汽油车OC排放占有绝对优势(占75%).本文通过对比国内外部分排放源PM_(2.5)成分谱的差异,指出不同区域相同源类排放的PM_(2.5)化学组分差异较大,在应用受体模型中的化学质量平衡模型(CMB)判断受体颗粒物来源时,应基于本地的排放源成分谱,以避免较大的误差.     

PM2.5与O3协同控制视角下深圳市工业VOCs源谱特征

选取深圳8类典型工业行业开展VOCs样品采集,检测分析了100种VOCs组分,从PM_2.5和O₃协同控制的角度分析了不同污染源的成分谱特征和对环境的影响.结果表明：加油站源谱组成以烷烃（48.4%）占主导,OVOCs （27.6%）占比突出,乙酸乙酯（14.1%）、异戊烷（13.0%）、正戊烷（12.0%）为其优势排放物种;涂料制造、胶黏剂生产、油墨制造、化工制品、纺织印染、医药制造行业排放组成均以OVOCs （42.3%~97.1%）占主导,丙酮为大多数行业的优势物种,且乙腈在部分行业中占比突出.垃圾发电行业以OVOCs （33.9%）和卤代烃（28.3%）占主导,乙醛（13.4%）、丙酮（11.0%）、一氯甲烷（6.1%）为该行业排放的优势物种.以PM_2.5和O₃协同控制为导向,芳香烃和烯烃是储存运输源需要控制的重点;OVOCs和芳香烃都应成为工艺过程源和废弃物处理源控制的关键.涂料制造行业的源反应活性SR_O3和SR_SOA值分别为6.0g/g和1.2g/g,削减单位质量排放的VOCs所减少的PM_2.5和O₃生成潜势最多,应成为深圳市PM_2.5和O₃协同控制下的优先控制行业.     

一种基于综合环境剖面的导弹弹上设备加速贮存试验方法

目的 基于导弹武器在历经地面使用载荷后,还要满足飞行载荷的特点,讨论用于评估导弹弹上设备贮存期的加速贮存试验流程与方法。方法 开展加速因子试验,获得加速因子计算公式,根据实际使用环境载荷,制定综合环境试验剖面,按照贮存期目标值开展加速贮存试验,等效地面使用环境载荷,开展飞行环境载荷考核试验,试验成功后,给出贮存期评估结论。结果 该方法在多型导弹贮存延寿工程的弹上设备贮存期评估中得到应用,应用表明,可以评估导弹弹上设备的贮存期,具有工程应用价值。结论 获得加速因子计算公式后,将导弹弹上设备的地面使用环境载荷累计影响与能够经受飞行载荷环境分步进行试验,能够体现导弹弹上设备历经的环境载荷,可以用于弹上设备的贮存期评估。     

基于任务成功率的装备综合保障工作体系及协同设计环境研究

本文介绍了基于任务成功率的装备综合保障工作体系框架,提出了可靠性、维修性、测试性、保障性、安全性协同设计环境要求,从而为进行可靠性、维修性、测试性、保障性、安全性综合优化设计奠定基础。     

Aerosol structure and vertical distribution in a multi-source dust region

The vertical distribution of aerosols was directly observed under various atmospheric conditions in the free troposphere using surface micro-pulse lidar (MPL4) at the Zhangye Station (39.08°N, 100.27°E) in western China in the spring of 2008. The study shows that the aerosol distribution over Zhangye can be vertically classified into upper, middle and lower layers with altitudes of 4.5 to 9 km, 2.5 to 4.5 km, and less than 2.5 km, respectively. The aerosol in the upper layer originated from the external sources at higher altitude regions, from far desert regions upwind of Zhangye or transported from higher atmospheric layers by free convection, and the altitude of this aerosol layer decreased with time; the aerosols in the middle and lower layers originated from both external and local sources. The aerosol extinction coefficients in the upper and lower layers decreased with altitude, whereas the coefficient in the middle layer changed only slightly, which suggests that aerosol mixing occurs in the middle layer. The distribution of aerosols with altitude has three features: a single peak that forms under stable atmospheric conditions, an exponential decrease with altitude that occurs under unstable atmospheric conditions, and slight change in the mixed layer. Due to the impact of the top of the atmospheric boundary layer, the diurnal variation in the aerosol extinction coefficient has a single peak, which is higher in the afternoon and lower in the morning.