基于风险分析的城市防灾减灾规划编制——以地震规划为例

为减轻城市灾害损失,提出城市防灾减灾规划编制方法,将减灾规划分为准备、风险分析、编制和实施4个步骤。依据风险分析结果,制订防灾减灾规划目标、减灾措施及策略。给出典型的地震灾害风险分析方法。以某市为例,算出其各区域的地震风险。根据风险等级划分标准确定各区域的地震风险可接受水平。基于此结果在GIS平台上的表达,可知市内旧城区的地震风险很高,须立刻采取风险减缓措施。对减灾措施进行优化,结果表明:加快现有设防不足工程的抗震加固,严抓新建工程的抗震设防水准是提高该市抗震减震能力的关键。     

城市燃气管线泄漏致灾灾害链研究

为了研究城市燃气管线泄漏致灾灾害链,对灾害链的形成机理进行分析,建立灾害链模型,并通过计算灾害链发生概率对灾害链断链减灾方法进行研究。结果表明,城市燃气管线泄漏致灾灾害链可分为致灾环、激发环、损害环三部分;灾害链中因管道裂纹导致的中毒窒息灾害事故、管道穿孔导致的中毒窒息灾害事故及火灾等链条的发生概率较高;致灾环是灾害链断链减灾的关键环节,在城市安全管理中应落实应急预案制度并加强对城市居民的防灾减灾安全教育力度。     

Mitigating Natural Disasters: The Role Of Eco-Ethics

Natural disasters are complex phenomena, the causes of which lie to a large extent in human behavior that creates vulnerable communities. In order to reduce vulnerability and thereby mitigate the risk of disasters, it is important to consider underlying values, particularly with respect to how people view and interact with the natural world. Advancing an interdisciplinary, ecological paradigm, this paper argues that disaster mitigation needs to be addressed through a process that results in a greater emphasis on our interactions with and reliance upon the natural world, and the development of community resilience.     

Wetland Mitigation Compliance in the Western Upper Peninsula of Michigan

The Army Corps of Engineers (ACE) is generally responsible for the implementation of federal Clean Water Act wetland regulations. It therefore plays an important role in the protection of wetlands within the United States. Unfortunately, past evaluators of ACEs implementation of these regulations found low rates of regulatory compliance. However, the fact that two states have taken responsibility for the implementation of these regulations within their boundaries provided the opportunity to assess whether one of these states might be doing a better job of enforcement. This paper reports on compliance with some of these regulations within one Michigan region. We evaluated permittee compliance with paperwork filing requirements related to wetland mitigation projects. Sixty-seven percent of county road commission permittees were out of compliance with at least one filing requirement. Forty percent of private and non-county government permittees were out of compliance. Our results therefore suggest that serious problems exist with Michigans implementation of wetland regulations. They do not suggest that compliance in this state is significantly better than in states under ACE administration. We believe that increased agency monitoring and enforcement would improve compliance.     

论广东的减灾战略和策略

本文全面地分析了广东自然灾害特征和问题,综合地提出了减灾的战略和策略,供政府有关部门决策时参考。     

论灾害防治指导思想的转变

本文依据生态经济学理论，从自然－灾害－人类的关系，灾害及灾害防治与经济建设的关系，灾害的发生发展及灾害防治与科学技术的关系等几个方面重新认识人类进行灾害防治指导思想，并确立新的指导思想。     

动物废弃物源甲烷排放量的初步估算与减缓技术选择

根据ＩＰＣＣ的国家温室气体排放清单编制指南，初步计算了中国动物废弃物源的甲烷排放量。２０年间，中国动物废弃物源的甲烷排放量增加了７５％，１９９０年的甲烷排放量为１．１９８Ｔｇ，占全球的１０％左右。并提出发展沼气池、贮留池不仅能减少甲烷排放，而且能产生其它的环境效益和经济效益。     

我国地面沉降灾害现状与防灾减灾对策

介绍了中国大陆地区地面沉降现状,分析了地面沉降的危害,提出要通过加强组织管理和协调,统筹地表水和地下水,建立监测预警体系,合理编制城市规划来预防和减轻地面沉降灾害。     

Tapping the leakages: Methane losses, mitigation options and policy issues for Russian long distance gas transmission pipelines

The Russian natural gas industry is the world's largest producer and transporter of natural gas. This paper aims to characterize the methane emissions from Russian natural gas transmission operations, to explain projects to reduce these emissions, and to characterize the role of emissions reduction within the context of current GHG policy. It draws on the most recent independent measurements at all parts of the Russian long distance transport system made by the Wuppertal Institute in 2003 and combines these results with the findings from the US Natural Gas STAR Program on GHG mitigation options and economics.With this background the paper concludes that the methane emissions from the Russian natural gas long distance network are approximately 0.6% of the natural gas delivered. Mitigating these emissions can create new revenue streams for the operator in the form of reduced costs, increased gas throughput and sales, and earned carbon credits. Specific emissions sources that have cost-effective mitigation solutions are also opportunities for outside investment for the Joint Implementation Kyoto Protocol flexibility mechanism or other carbon markets.