随机性混合数据评价技术的方法研究

在城市和环境规划等方案评价中,如何综合利用定性和定量信息是人们较为关注的问题。本文首先将方案评价中常见的定性信息分为三大类,并用数学式来描述各类定性信息,在此基础上,运用随机处理的方法对定性信息进行处理后与定量信息进行综合,以求得各个方案的优劣排序概率,并由此概率确定最优方案。这种方法克服了以往同类方法只能利用定性信息中的排序信息的缺点,从而使得方案评价更客观。最后,本文给出了方法应用的实例。     

转盘式光催化燃料电池处理染料废水

采用阳极氧化法制备转盘式TiO_2阳极,设计并开发了转盘式光催化燃料电池(PFC),探讨了圆盘转速对PFC中染料降解效果的影响。实验结果表明:随着圆盘转速的提高,污染物和光电界面反应产物的传质作用得以强化,罗丹明B降解率提高;在圆盘转速为1 600 r/min、反应时间为60 min的条件下,罗丹明B降解率达90.8%,是圆盘转速为0 r/min时的8.5倍;光电流也随着圆盘转速的提高而提高,但提高幅度远小于罗丹明B降解率的提高幅度;同时,加强传质作用后再外加电压对PFC催化降解性能的提高作用有限。     

老年人照料设施中失能老人疏散策略研究*

为探究高效安全的老年人照料设施中失能老人疏散策略,通过构建失能老人全部疏散模式、佩戴防毒面具的就地保护模式和混合疏散模式下护理人员的行为模型,以河南平顶山“5.25”特别重大火灾事故为背景,运用Pathfinder2018软件模拟佩戴防毒面具的就地保护模式下防毒面具集中存放和独立存放方式对疏散效果影响,分析防毒面具独立存放条件下混合疏散模式的疏散效果。结果表明:防毒面具独立存放方式较集中存放方式用时减少86.8 s,减少了38.8%;护理人员辅助救助时间与运动时间、疏散距离、救护老人人数和救助房间数有关,集中存放方式下救助房间数影响较大,独立存放方式下救助房间数对辅助救护时间影响不明显;防毒面具独立存放方式下混合疏散模式与佩戴防毒面具的就地保护模式相比,火灾直接威胁区内失能老人疏散时间减少19.775 s,减少了16.6%,疏散效率高,实效性强。研究结果对医疗机构和托幼机构人员疏散具有一定的借鉴意义。     

微生物燃料电池在污水处理中的研究进展

微生物燃料电池（Microbial Fuelcell,MFC）是一种以微生物为催化剂,将有机物中的化学能转化为电能的装置。本文介绍了微生物燃料电池的原理和特点,阐述了反应器结构、底物种类、电极等方面的研究进展,分析了微生物燃料电池未来的发展方向,并对今后的研究提出建议。     

A study of the atmospheric dispersion of a high release of krypton-85 above a complex coastal terrain, comparison with the predictions of Gaussian models (Briggs, Doury, ADMS4)

Atmospheric releases of krypton-85, from the nuclear fuel reprocessing plant at the AREVA NC facility at La Hague (France), were used to test Gaussian models of dispersion. In 2001-2002, the French Institute for Radiological Protection and Nuclear Safety (IRSN) studied the atmospheric dispersion of 15 releases, using krypton-85 as a tracer for plumes emitted from two 100-m-high stacks. Krypton-85 is a chemically inert radionuclide. Krypton-85 air concentration measurements were performed on the ground in the downwind direction, at distances between 0.36 and 3.3 km from the release, by neutral or slightly unstable atmospheric conditions. The standard deviation for the horizontal dispersion of the plume and the Atmospheric Transfer Coefficient (ATC) were determined from these measurements. The experimental results were compared with calculations using first generation (Doury, Briggs) and second generation (ADMS 4.0) Gaussian models. The ADMS 4.0 model was used in two configurations; one takes account of the effect of the built-up area, and the other the effect of the roughness of the surface on the plume dispersion. Only the Briggs model correctly reproduced the measured values for the width of the plume, whereas the ADMS 4.0 model overestimated it and the Doury model underestimated it. The agreement of the models with measured values of the ATC varied according to distance from the release point. For distances less than 2 km from the release point, the ADMS 4.0 model achieved the best agreement between model and measurement; beyond this distance, the best agreement was achieved by the Briggs and Doury models.     

麻栎混交林空间结构与物种多样性研究

林分空间结构是指林木在林地上的分布格局,以及林木之间树种、大小、分布等空间关系。林分空间结构决定了树木之间的竞争势及其空间生态位,在很大程度上决定了林分的稳定性、发展的可能性和经营空间的大小。研究目的在于揭示麻栎混交林林分空间结构与物种多样性特征,为林分空间结构调整和物种多样性保护提供理论依据。利用混交度、大小比数和角尺度3种空间结构参数,以及丰富度指数、Shannon-Wiener指数、Pielou指数等物种多样性数量指标,分析了青阳县麻栎混交林林分空间结构以及群落物种多样性特征。结果表明:乔木层优势树种麻栎多为中度以下混交,小叶栎和枫香多为强度和极强度混交;麻栎在空间大小和重要值对比上占有优势地位,小叶栎处于次要地位,枫香处于劣势地位为受压树种;从林分平面布局上看,该林分空间分布多为随机分布。分层物种丰富度和Shannon-Wiener指数依次是乔木层<草(含藤)本层<灌木层;而均匀度Pielou指数则是乔木层<灌木层<草(含藤)本层;生态优势度Simpson指数为乔木层>草本层>灌木层;灌木层有17科18属21种植物,淡竹占优势地位,野茉莉、山胡椒等占亚优势地位;草本层有10科12属13种植物,禾叶土麦...     

加入多孔球形颗粒微生物燃料电池的性能研究

设计了一个典型的双室微生物燃料电池,并考察了在阳极室加入多孔球形颗粒条件下对人工合成污水产电性能的影响。实验发现,加入多孔球形颗粒后,最高电压从不加颗粒的253 mV提高到280 mV,持续产电时间从5.5 d提高到8 d,COD去除率从78%提高到82.6%。进一步的实验发现,加入多孔球形颗粒后,系统内阻从286Ω降低到199.4Ω,最大功率密度从78.6 mW/m2提高到114.3 mW/m2。结果表明,微生物易于在多孔球形颗粒上附着和生长,颗粒通过均匀搅拌与阳极表面产生持续碰撞,有利于胞外电子传递到阳极,这一过程大大减小阳极的内阻,增大电池的输出电压进而增大输出功率,从而显著提高电池的产电性能。     

可燃固废复合燃料的固硫固氯效果

以可燃垃圾、污水污泥和煤粉为原料,添加园林残余、固硫剂等按L16(45)正交表配料,采用机械成型设备制备固废复合燃料,研究燃料组分对固硫固氯效果的影响。固硫率、固氯率实验数据的极差、方差分析结果显示:CaO添加量对固硫率、固氯率的影响最显著;MnO2添加量对固氯率的影响仅次于CaO添加量,但对固硫率没有影响。运用ForStat 2.0统计软件建立了固硫率、固氯率指标的预测方程,置信度大于95%。应用综合评分法筛选出最佳固硫固氯效果的燃料制备配方为:A2B3C2D3,即垃圾、污泥、煤粉以2∶1∶1比例混合,园林残余为10%,助燃剂MnO2添加量为0.17%,固硫剂CaO添加1.2%时所制备的燃料,燃烧中固硫率可达74.55%,固氯率可达77.35%。     

A Comparison of Statistical Approaches for Predicting Stream Temperatures Across Heterogeneous Landscapes1

Abstract: Estimating stream temperatures across broad spatial extents is important for regional conservation of running waters. Although statistical models can be useful in this endeavor, little information exists to aid in the selection of a particular statistical approach. Our objective was to compare the accuracy of ordinary least‐squares multiple linear regression, generalized additive modeling, ordinary kriging, and linear mixed modeling (LMM) using July mean stream temperatures in Michigan and Wisconsin. Although LMM using low‐rank thin‐plate smoothing splines to measure the spatial autocorrelation in stream temperatures was the most accurate modeling approach; overall, there were only slight differences in prediction accuracy among the evaluated approaches. This suggests that managers and researchers can select a stream temperature modeling approach that meets their level of expertise without sacrificing substantial amounts of prediction accuracy. The most accurate models for Michigan and Wisconsin had root mean square errors of 2.0‐2.3°C, suggesting that only relatively coarse predictions can be produced from landscape‐based statistical models at regional scales. Explaining substantially more variability in stream temperatures likely will require the collection of finer‐scale hydrologic and physiographic data, which may be cost prohibitive for monitoring and assessing stream temperatures at regional scales.     

职业危害因素混合接触综合评价方法概述

作业场所同时接触多种职业危害因素的综合危害性日益引起广泛关注,如何对其进行科学的评价成为职业危害研究者面临的重要课题。本文对不同危害因素的混合危害作用的评价方法进行了系统的总结与归纳,探讨了混合作用的描述方法,分析了毒理学、流行病学、风险评价三大类方法应用于混合危害作用评价时的基本原理、核心思路和实施流程,此外对三种方法的特点进行了对比分析。