基于Landsat TM的澳门城市热场影响因素分析

利用2004年10月19日Landsat TM数据提取澳门城区城市用地类型信息,反演城市地表温度,在此基础上通过主成分回归方法分析澳门城市热场的影响因素.结果表明,澳门城市热场受到硬化地表指数的影响较大,其次为植被比例.地表温度与硬化地表指数、道路密度呈显著正相关(P＜0.05),与归一化植被指数、植被比例及水体比例呈显著负相关(P＜0.05).     

渭河谷地的气候干暖化与未来趋势

根据渭河谷地代表测站３２ａ气象实测资料,应用线性回归与趋势分析方法,分析了该区冬春变暖、秋春变干的干暖特征,即５城市平均年增温０．００６４℃,年均减少降水０．１２４８ｍｍ;气候干暖化,尤其以冬春季增温明显,春秋季变干显著,预测该地区未来５ａ的气候仍以士暖化为特点,预计到２００１ａ可能增温０．２℃,年降水减少３０ｍｍ。     

Cd对前沟藻(Amphidinium hoefleri)生产二甲基硫(DMS)影响的实验研究

为了探讨Ｃｄ污染对海藻ＤＭＳ生产的可能影响,以模拟实验方法,为期３周进行Ｃｄ对海洋甲藻类的前沟藻（Ａｍｐｈｉｄｉｎｉｕｍ ｈｏｅｆｌｅｒｉ）生产ＤＭＳ的实验室研究。结果表明,Ｃｄ可以抑制前沟藻种数数量的增长,对照组藻细胞最大数量是高浓度组（１０ｍｇ／Ｌ）的２５倍;Ｃｄ可以促进前沟藻细胞生产ＤＭＳ,其中高浓度组细胞ＤＭＳ产率大约是对照组的１０倍;Ｃｄ对藻数量的抑制作用和对藻生产ＤＭＳ的促进作用共同作     

OUTLIER DETECTION IN TOTAL PHOSPHORUS CONCENTRATION DATA FROM SOUTH FLORIDA RAINFALL1

ABSTRACT: Atmospheric deposition can be a significant source of phosphorus to South Florida's aquatic system. Deposition samples are often contaminated to varying degrees by bird droppings or other foreign materials. This study attempted to use statistical and other methods to detect and remove the outliers in the rain-borne total phosphorus concentration data. Some outliers in the data were identified using field notes derived from visual inspection of the samples. Outlier detection statistics based on a simple linear regression were then used for additional data screening. As a result of these analyses, about 35 percent of the observed values were identified as outlying data which needed to be removed prior to further data analyses. Based on detected outliers in the data from 15 monitoring sites, a lumped cutoff value of 130 4mUg/L was determined. This lumped cutoff value may be useful for further quality control and analyses of the data from the region.     

Outlier detection in phosphorus dry deposition rates measured in South Florida

Dry atmospheric deposition contributes a significant amount of phosphorus to the Everglades of South Florida. Measurement of this deposition is problematic, because samples often are contaminated to varying degrees by bird droppings and other foreign materials. This study attempted to detect and remove the outliers in phosphorus (P) flux rates measured from dry deposition samples. Visual inspection of the samples, recorded in field notes, found that 30.1% of the samples contained animal droppings and frogs. Some of the samples with droppings and frogs (2.3%) had P values greater than 884 μg P m⁻² d⁻¹ (a value twice the standard deviation of the raw data mean), and were removed from further analysis. Outlier detection statistics based on a linear regression were then used for additional data screening. Eight stations in the network of 19 were removed because high contamination precluded the use of the regression model. Of the remaining samples, 15.7% were identified through the regression procedure as contaminated and were removed. The 11 station mean for P dry deposition was 85.8±79.0 μg P m⁻² d⁻¹, prior to the regression analysis, and 74.8±75.1 μg P m⁻² d⁻¹ after removal.     

山东省典型工业城市土壤重金属来源、空间分布及潜在生态风险评价

选取山东省典型工业城市——莱芜市钢城区为研究区域,系统采集了106个表层土壤样品,测定了As、Cd、Co、Cr、Cu、Hg、Ni、Pb和Zn等9种重金属的含量,分别利用多元统计和地统计方法分析了重金属的来源和空间分布特征,最后对土壤重金属的潜在生态风险进行了评价.结果表明:1研究区9种重金属元素的平均含量均超过了山东省土壤背景值,其中Cd、Hg、Pb和Zn的平均值分别是背景值的2.42、4.69、1.74和1.54倍,在表层土壤中存在明显的富集.2Cd、Pb和Zn主要来源于工业"三废"、交通排放以及农药化肥的施用;Co、Cr和Ni为自然源因子,受到成土母质的控制;As和Hg来源于煤炭燃烧和钢铁冶炼,Cu受自然与人为因素共同影响.3研究区总体上处于中等与高生态风险的临界水平,其中Hg为高生态风险水平,Cd为中等生态风险水平,其他元素则均为低生态风险.     

Statistical detection of multiscale landscape patterns

Detection of discontinuities in landscape patterns is a crucial problem both in ecology and in environmental sciences since they may indicate substantial scale changes in generating and maintaining processes of landscape patches. This paper presents a statistical procedure for detecting distinct scales of pattern for irregular patch mosaics using fractal analysis. The method suggested is based on a piecewise regression model given by fitting different regression lines to different ranges of patches ordered according to patch size (area). Proper shift-points, where discontinuities occur, are then identified by means of an iterative procedure. Further statistical tests are applied in order to verify the statistical significance of the best models selected. Compared to the method proposed by Krummel et al. (1987), the procedure described here is not influenced by subjective choices of initial parameters. The procedure was applied to landscape pattern analysis of irregular patch mosaics (CORINE biotopes) of a watershed within the Map of the Italian Nature Project. Results for three different CORINE patch types are herein presented revealing different scaling properties with special pattern organizations linked to ecological traits of vegetation communities and human disturbance.     

青藏高原东部牧区大—暴雪过程雪灾灾情实时预评估方法的研究

利用青藏高原东部牧区26个县气象站30a的大－暴雪过程资料,以雪灾形成的主导因子－持续积雪日数作为灾情评估的等级标准,应用逐步回归方法,建立了冬半年持续积雪日数对大－暴雪过程的累积降水量、平均气温、最大积雪深度和最低气温降温4个因子的回归方程。经F检验,所有方程的回归效果达到十分显著成显著的水平,从而建立了大－暴雪过程雪灾灾情的灾时预评估方法。通过对1996－1999年资料的对比试用,表明这种预评估方法具有较高的精度和业务化的潜力,可作为雪灾情报服务的一种手段。     

一级动力学反应方程参数估计中若干问题的讨论

在农药的环境行为研究中,常用一级动力学反应方程来模拟农药的降解或残留。本文论述了用线性回归分析法估计一级化学动力学方程参数时存在的初始浓度飘移和非本义最优化问题,讨论了与此相关联的试验设置、安全间隔期、分段模拟和试验数据处理等问题,提出了解决问题的初步设想。     

Long-Term Monitoring of Scots Pine Litter Decomposition Rates Throughout Sweden Indicates Formation of a More Recalcitrant Litter in the South

Decomposition studies were carried out at sites throughout Sweden, including the four Integrated Monitoring sites. Scots pine needle litterbag weight loss measurements over 3 or 5 years were determined at 26 sites and repeated up to 27 times, depending on the site. Humus layer respiration rates were determined for 20 sites in 1987–1989 and repeated in 2007–2008. Partial Least Squares (PLS) regression was used to elucidate the relative importance of climatic and soil factors. Annual needle weight losses decreased only slowly (20–10%) over 3–5 years for all northern (>60°N) sites but decreased sharply from 30 to 10% in the third year in southern (<60°N) sites. Respiration rates of southern sites were less (40% on average) than those of northern sites. Humus layer N was positively correlated to needle weight loss during the first and the second years, but negatively correlated in the third year and to respiration rates. The results indicated that litter formed in southern Sweden became more recalcitrant in later stages of decomposition compared to litter produced in northern Sweden.