投入产出模型在工业生态系统分析中的应用

应用投入产出模型构建出工业生态系统物质流分析的基本框架，在此基础上提出工业生态系统“关键种企业”的识别方法。以及工业生态系统企业能量消耗特征、累计污染排放特征的量化分析方法。这些分析方法将是辅助工业生态系统日常管理与维护的有力工具。     

WATER QUALITY MODEL OUTPUT UNCERTAINTY AS AFFECTED BY SPATIAL RESOLUTION OF INPUT DATA1

ABSTRACT: Resolution of the input GIS data used to parameterize distributed‐parameter hydrologic/water quality models may affect uncertainty in model outputs and impact the subsequent application of model results in watershed management. In this study we evaluated the impact of varying spatial resolutions of DEM, land use, and soil data (30 × 30 m, 100 × 100 m, 150 × 150 m, 200 × 200 m, 300 × 300 m, 500 × 500 m, and 1,000 × 1,000 m) on the uncertainty of SWAT predicted flow, sediment, NO₃‐N, and TP transport. Inputs included measured hydrologic, meteorological, and watershed characteristics as well as water quality data from the Moores Creek watershed in Washington County, Arkansas. The SWAT model output was most affected by input DEM data resolution. A coarser DEM data resolution resulted in decreased representation of watershed area and slope and increased slope length. Distribution of pasture, forest, and urban areas within the watershed was significantly affected at coarser resolution of land use and resulted in significant uncertainty in predicted sediment, NO₃‐N, and TP output. Soils data resolution had no significant effect on flow and NO₃‐N predictions; however, sediment was overpredicted by 26 percent, and TP was underpredicted by 26 percent at 1,000 m resolution. This may be due to change in relative distribution of various hydrologic soils groups (HSGs) in the watershed. Minimum resolution for input GIS data to achieve less than 10 percent model output error depended upon the output variable of interest. For flow, sediment, NO₃‐N, and TP predictions, minimum DEM data resolution should range from 30 to 300 m, whereas minimum land use and soils data resolution should range from 300 to 500 m.     

三峡库区小集水区复合生态系统的水分及养分动态

以三峡库区小集水区复合生态系统为对象 ,定量研究了其中不同子系统的水分和养分动态过程。结果表明 :(1)平均径流系数是裸地 >草地 >菜地 >柏木林 >桔园 ;(2 )年养分流失量是裸地>桔园 >菜地 >草地 >柏木林 ,桔园和菜地的径流系数较小 ,但其径流中养分含量较高 ,导致其输出养分总量较大 ;(3)菜地和桔园由于输出果菜 ,导致系统N、P循环效率的降低 ;(4)各子系统中P的流失较厉害 ,而柏木林在防止该地区养分流失特别是P的流失上是要优于草地的     

气候变化对江苏省经济的影响研究

利用经济学上的“投入—产出”分析方法 ,结合气候变化对农业产量影响的计算机模拟系统 ,研究了当气候变化影响农业生产和产量时 ,江苏省农业产值的变化及与农业部门相联系的国民经济各个部门产出量的变化。考虑江苏省的经济发展速度和产业结构 ,预测了未来不同气候变化情景下 ,为使经济发展达到预期目标 ,社会需对各经济部门追加的资金投入量及各经济部门之间相互投入量的变化 ,提出了适应气候变化的相应对策。研究结果反映了国民经济各部门之间及部门与整体的相互联系 ,从而对制定区域经济平衡发展规划提供了理论依据和建议。     

珠江口三维水质与底泥耦合模型的验证及应用

基于一维河网与三维河口耦合水动力模型,建立了可描述珠江口水体-底泥中营养盐动态变化的三维水质-底泥模型,利用1999年和2006年夏季观测数据对模型进行了验证,在此基础上,模拟分析了珠江口主要水质因子和底泥营养盐通量的分布特征,以及底泥通量对珠江口营养盐输入的贡献.验证结果表明,模型能较好地反映出水体和底泥中的营养盐及溶解氧浓度的时空分布特征,各水质因子的模拟值与观测值的相对误差均小于38%;另外,底泥营养盐通量的模拟值与文献报道的实测结果较为接近,表明模型能合理地刻画出底泥主要生化过程及通量变化特征.模拟结果显示,夏季珠江口氨氮(NH_4~+-N)和活性磷酸盐(PO_4~(3-)-P)通量主要从底泥向水体输送,底泥是水体氮磷元素的源,而硝态氮和亚硝态氮(NO_3~-+NO_2~-,NO23)的通量输送方向则与之相反,底泥呈现“汇”的效应;底泥营养盐通量主要从河口向外海递减,伶仃洋NH_4~+-N、NO23、PO_4~(3-)-P的通量变化范围分别为0.24~8.88、-10.06~-0.14、-0.37~0.41 mmol·m~(-2)·d~(-1),珠江口近海的通量变化范围分别为-0.01~4.14、-1.45~0.68、-0.12~0.09 mmol·m~(-2)·d~(-1).整体而言,底泥营养盐通量对珠江口营养盐输入有明显贡献,夏季经底泥释放进入水体的NH_4~+-N和PO_4~(3-)-P最大相当于陆源总氮、总磷输入量的12%和22%.     

Revealing the economic channels of natural impacts: an extended input–output subsystems application to GHG gases and water use

While a small set of economic activities generates most of the direct environmental burdens, the complexity of connections within an economic system requires consideration of the effects caused by the interdependences between its different agents. To date, however, the input–output (I–O) subsystems literature has been limited to uncovering the intersectoral linkages of direct and indirect environmental impacts within an economy and the connections between sectors and private consumption have thus not attracted much attention. This paper proposes an I–O subsystems model that endogenously incorporates not only production sectors but also household consumption to capture the entire channel of environmental impacts. The empirical application focuses on carbon dioxide equivalent (CO₂-eq.) emissions and water use associated with production sectors and households defined in the I–O table for a Spanish region, Extremadura. The results highlight the key role of the effects induced by private consumption on the environmental burdens of services.     

接种微生物菌剂对枸杞枝条基质化发酵品质的影响

为探讨接种微生物对枸杞枝条基质化发酵品质的影响,采用随机区组设计,以干燥鸡粪和尿素为氮源,进行了接种外源微生物对枸杞枝条基质化发酵性能参数的影响试验.结果表明:接种粗纤维复合益菌、锯末专用复合菌和纤维素类复合酶堆体升温速度快,高温持续时间较长(高于55℃,分别达到9、5和5 d);至发酵80 d时,堆体总有机碳分别下降了8.46%、7.43%、8.06%,C/N值分别降低7.48、6.99、6.23,全氮分别为17.1、17.2、16.2 g·kg-1,全磷分别为5.1、5.2、5.0 g·kg-1,全钾分别为16.5、16.3、16.4 g·kg-1,均显著高于其他处理,且3种菌剂间无显著差异,容重分别增加了1.10%、0.91%、1.20%,总孔隙度分别增加了9.78%、10.45%、10.51%,持水孔隙度分别增加了6.21%、5.36%、8.80%,瓜菜种子发芽指数(GI)均高于85%,腐熟后的各项理化指标基本达到栽培基质的要求.综合基质的发酵温度、腐熟周期和基质保护作物根系生长及固定植株的功能对基质各项理化性质的要求,接种粗纤维复合益菌、锯末专用复合菌和纤维素类复合酶更适合枸杞枝条基质化处理.     

汉江襄阳段主要入江支流沉积物营养盐和重金属风险特征研究

采集汉江襄阳段主要入江支流沉积物柱状样,分析沉积物常规理化指标、上覆水和孔隙水中营养盐含量、以及表层沉积物重金属含量,采用一维孔隙水扩散模型(Fick定律)计算营养盐扩散通量,评估沉积物营养盐释放风险,并评价表层沉积物重金属生态风险.结果表明:所有采样点氨氮及磷酸盐均从沉积物向上覆水释放,表明水质存在内源营养盐(氨氮和磷酸盐)释放风险.氨氮、磷酸盐扩散通量范围分别为42.431~81.369 mg·m-2·d-1、0.745~1.437 mg·m-2·d-1,均以航空路样点最大.表层沉积物重金属污染指数SPI值为6.1,总体表现为中度风险;其中小清河样点SPI值为11.8,达到高风险.小清河Cu、Pb和Zn平均含量分别为131.17 mg·kg-1、57.97 mg·kg-1和398.59 mg·kg-1,均超过相应的SEL值(最高效应阈值).富集系数研究表明汉江支流表层沉积物中Cd富集现象严重,平均富集系数高达4.57.汉江襄阳段入江支流沉积物存在内源营养盐释放风险,中度重金属生态风险,且Cd累积风险突出.因水文调控减少汉江干流流量进而导致河流稀释自净能力减弱,从而对汉江水质安全构成较大威胁.     

Periphyton Nutrient Limitation and Maximum Potential Productivity in the Beaver Lake Basin,United States1

Ludwig, Andrea, Marty Matlock, Brian Haggard, and Indrajeet Chaubey, 2012. Periphyton Nutrient Limitation and Maximum Potential Productivity in the Beaver Lake Basin, United States. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 48(5): 896‐908. DOI: 10.1111/j.1752‐1688.2012.00657.x Abstract: The objectives of this study were to measure periphytic growth responses to enrichment with nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P), and simultaneous N and P using in situ bioassays in streams draining Beaver Reservoir Basin, Northwest Arkansas; compare periphytic growth responses measured with in situ bioassays with a range of land use and point sources; and test the lotic ecosystem trophic status index (LETSI) as a simplifying metric to compare effects of nonpoint‐source pollutant‐limiting variables of N, P, and sediment across the basin. P limitation was observed at sites across a transect of stream orders throughout the basin; however, at the two sites with highest ambient nitrogen concentrations, limitation was often coupled with nitrogen limitation. Nutrients were at nonlimiting levels at both of two sites below wastewater treatment plants in all seasonal deployments. A Michaelis‐Menten growth equation described LETSI as a function of ambient PO₄‐P concentrations (p < 0.05); the midpoint (LETSI of 0.50) corresponded with a PO₄‐P concentration of approximately 3 μg/l. Change‐point analysis indicated a threshold point at LETSI of 0.80 and 15 μg/l PO₄‐P. These low values show that the periphytic community has a high affinity for available P, and that the watershed as a whole is sensitive to available nutrient inputs.