典型下垫面径流系数预测的神经网络方法研究

根据5种典型下垫面的径流系数的实测数据,运用LM(Levenberg-Marquardt)BP算法的神经网络模型,建立了径流系数与影响因素关系间的S型/S型数学模型。用该方法对不同降雨条件下每种下垫面的径流系数进行了预测,并与传统方法进行了比较。结果表明,该模型的预测精度更高。     

有色金属大气腐蚀网络数据库及共享系统开发

利用现有环境试验网站材料腐蚀数据和环境腐蚀数据并加以整理,在Unix操作系统环境下,采用Oracle数据库管理系统,设计和创建了材料大气腐蚀网络数据库中的有色金属材料子库.并在此有色金属材料大气腐蚀数据库的基础上,运用Java语言以及Spring、Hibernate等Java开源项目,编程设计、开发创建了B/S结构的数据库的共享系统.共享系统包括网络数据库管理系统和查询系统两大部分,易于扩展,操作方便,功能强大,可实现材料环境腐蚀数据的共享.     

Feasibility and simulation model of a pilot scale membrane bioreactor for wastewater treatment and reuse from Chinese traditional medicine

The lack and pollution of water resource make wastewater reuse necessary. The pilot scale long-term tests for submerged membrane bioreactor were conducted to treat the effluents of anaerobic or aerobic treatment process for the high-strength Chinese traditional medicine wastewater. This article was focused on the feasibility of the wastewater treatment and reuse at shorter hydraulic retention time （HRT） of 5.0, 3.2 and 2.13 h. MLSS growth, membrane flux, vacuum values and chemical cleaning periods were also investigated. The experimental results of treating two-phase anaerobic treatment effluent demonstrated that the CODfilt was less than 100 mg/L when the influent COD was between 500-10000 mg/L at HRT of 5.0 h, which could satisfy the normal discharged standard in China. The experimental results to treat cross flow aerobic reactor effluent demonstrated that the average value of CODfilt was 17.28 mg/L when the average value of influent COD was 192.84 mg/L at HRT of 2.13 h during 106 d, which could completely meet the normal standard for water reuse. The maximum MLSS and MLVSS reached 24000 and 14500 mg/L at HRT of 3.2 h respectively. Membrane flux had maximal resume degrees of 94.7% at vacuum value of 0.02 MPa after cleaning. Chemical cleaning periods of membrane module were 150 d. A simulation model of operational parameters was also established based on the theory of back propagation neural network and linear regression of traditional mathematical model. The simulation model showed that the optimum operational parameters were suggested as follows： HRT was 5.0 h, SRT was 100 d, the range of COD loading rate was between 10.664-20.451 kg/（m3.d）, the range of MLSS was between 7543-13694 mg/L.     

平原河网地区水源地水质对土地利用变化的响应——以黄浦江上游水源地为例

以黄浦江上游水源地为例,利用1999年上海水资源普查数据及2000年初成像的上海市1∶50 000彩红外航空像片,采用G IS空间分析技术、灰色关联分析技术,划分土地利用样带,设计水质改善指数,探讨平原河网地区水环境质量对土地利用结构的响应,以及水源水质对土地利用变化驱动力的响应。结果表明,黄浦江上游水环境质量受到土地利用格局及上游来水的综合影响,各样带工业用地比例与水质改善指数呈极显著负相关(P<0.01),松浦大桥取水口水质与上游来水水质以及水源地当地的工业发展、人口密度等土地利用变化驱动力具有很好的关联性。建议在开展平原河网地区水源保护工作中,应在关注上游来水状况的同时,从土地利用及其社会经济驱动两方面控制水文敏感区域土地开发强度,构筑水源地圈层土地利用格局。     

Internal corrosion hazard assessment of oil & gas pipelines using Bayesian belief network model

A substantial amount of oil & gas products are transported and distributed via pipelines, which can stretch for thousands of kilometers. In British Columbia (BC), Canada, alone there are over 40,000 km of pipelines currently being operated. Because of the adverse environmental impact, public outrage and significant financial losses, the integrity of the pipelines is essential. More than 37 pipe failures per year occur in BC causing liquid spills and gas releases, damaging both property and environment. BC oil & gas commission (BCOGS) has indicated metal loss due to internal corrosion as one of the primary causes of these failures. Therefore, it is of a paramount importance to timely identify pipelines subjected to severe internal corrosion in order to improve corrosion mitigation and pipeline maintenance strategies, thus minimizing the likelihood of failure. To accomplish this task, this paper presents a Bayesian belief network (BBN)-based probabilistic internal corrosion hazard assessment approach for oil & gas pipelines. A cause-effect BBN model has been developed by considering various information, such as analytical corrosion models, expert knowledge and published literature. Multiple corrosion models and failure pressure models have been incorporated into a single flexible network to estimate corrosion defects and associated probability of failure (PoF). This paper also explores the influence of fluid composition and operating conditions on the corrosion rate and PoF. To demonstrate the application of the BBN model, a case study of the Northeastern BC oil & gas pipeline infrastructure is presented. Based on the pipeline's mechanical characteristics and operating conditions, spatial and probabilistic distributions of corrosion defect and PoF have been obtained and visualized with the aid of the Geographic Information System (GIS). The developed BBN model can identify vulnerable pipeline sections and rank them accordingly to enhance the informed decision-making process.     

A neuro-fuzzy algorithm for assessment of health,safety, environment and ergonomics in a large petrochemical plant

Process plants such as petrochemical units have been continuously trying to improve Health, Safety, Environment and Ergonomics (HSEE) programs. This study proposes an adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) for assessment of HSEE programs in a petrochemical plant. The proposed neuro-fuzzy approach is applied to a set of operators in the petrochemical unit to show its applicability and superiority. To achieve the objectives of this study, standard questionnaires with respect to HSEE are completed by operators. The average results for each category of HSEE are used as inputs and accomplishment of HSEE programs is used as output for the algorithm. Moreover, this algorithm is used to rank operators performance with respect to HSEE. Finally, the algorithm identifies efficient operators with respect to HSEE. This is the first study that introduces an intelligence algorithm for assessment and improvement of HSEE program in a petrochemical plant.     

Communal visual histories to detect environmental change in northern areas: Examples of emerging North American and Eurasian practices

This article explores the pioneering potential of communal visual-optic histories which are recorded, painted, documented, or otherwise expressed. These materials provide collective meanings of an image or visual material within a specific cultural group. They potentially provide a new method for monitoring and documenting changes to ecosystem health and species distribution, which can effectively inform society and decision makers of Arctic change. These visual histories can be positioned in a continuum that extends from rock art to digital photography. They find their expressions in forms ranging from images to the oral recording of knowledge and operate on a given cultural context. For monitoring efforts in the changing boreal zone and Arctic, a respectful engagement with visual histories can reveal emerging aspects of change. The examples from North America and case studies from Eurasia in this article include Inuit sea ice observations, Yu’pik visual traditions of masks, fish die-offs in a sub-boreal catchment area, permafrost melt in the Siberian tundra and early, first detection of a scarabaeid beetle outbreak, a Southern species in the Skolt Sámi area. The pros and cons of using these histories and their reliability are reviewed.     

浩坤水电站水库岩溶渗漏研究

浩坤水电站位于碳酸盐岩地区,岩溶发育,水文地质条件复杂。水库右岸发育的呈串珠状平行于河谷展布的低邻谷岩溶洼地和库首左侧发育的连通水库内外的赶洞古暗河是水库潜在的主要渗漏通道。通过库区水文地质调查、岩溶洼地群水位同步观测、示踪试验等勘察试验研究工作,查明了浩坤水电站库区岩溶渗漏的主要部位、性质,提出了水库防渗处理意见,并评价了成库条件。     

非线性理论在开采沉陷中的应用

简要介绍了近年来把非线性理论应用于矿山开采沉陷领域的一些研究成果,主要包括两大部分：（１）神经网络理论在开采沉陷中的应用;（２）离散单元法在开采沉陷中的应用     

大气环境质量综合评价的B－P网络模型

选取大气环境质量的三级标准作为３个学习样本，以ＳＯ＿２，ＮＯ＿ｘ和ＴＳＰ三种污染物的三级标准浓度限值作为样本的输入特征值，建立了三参数的Ｂ－Ｐ网络大气环境质量综合评价模型，用该模型对３１个测点的大气环境质量进行评价，并与模糊数学和灰色系统法的评价结果比较，表明Ｂ－Ｐ网络用于大气环境质量评价具有优越性。