吉林省夏季极端降水事件特征分析

利用吉林省46个气象站1961-2010年逐日降水资料,采用百分位定义极端事件阈值的方法,对吉林省极端降水事件的时空分布及变化趋势特征进行了分析。结果表明:(1)吉林省极端降水事件主要发生在夏季,其中5%的降水日数贡献了该季度25%～30%的降水量;夏季极端降水强度以通化地区最强、东部山区最弱,极端降水频率东部山区最大、西北部最小;(2)吉林省100mm以上的极端大暴雨天气也时有发生,通化地区南部发生几率最大,约为4～6 a一遇;中部一带约为8～10a一遇;西北平原区和东部山区出现大暴雨概率很小。(3)近50a吉林省夏季极端降水事件稍有增多的趋势,而强度变化趋势不明显,但存在明显的地域差别,西北部表现为频率减少、强度减弱,中部和东南部表现为频率增多、强度增强。(4)极端降水事件存在年代际差异,20世纪70年代极端降水频率最小,90年代极端降水强度最大,60年代初期极端降水强度存在由强转弱的突变。     

Rare event risk analysis – application to iceberg collision

To design an engineering system, testing in extreme conditions is at least recommended if not required. There are ambiguities about how to define an extreme state and how to consider it in the design of a system or its operation. The probability estimation of such an event is challenging due to data scarcity, especially in many engineering domains, e.g. offshore development. In this study, available techniques for analyzing the probability of extreme events are examined for their suitability in engineering applications, and a framework is proposed for rare event risk analysis. The framework is comprised of three phases. In the first phase, the outlier based extreme value theory is implemented to estimate the rare event probability. The maximum likelihood criterion is used to estimate the extreme distribution parameters. In the second phase, the rare event is considered as a heavy tail event, and the tail index is estimated through the Hill and the SmooHill estimator. In the third phase, The uncertainty analysis is conducted, and the risk is computed. The proposed methodology is tested for extreme iceberg risk assessment on large offshore structures in the Flemish Pass basin. For this specific case, the estimated design extreme iceberg speed was 4.31 km/h, with an occurrence probability of 3.61E-06.     

高效上流式生物喷淋除臭技术在污水处理厂的应用

针对污水处理厂运行过程中产生的恶臭气体,开发了一套高效上流式生物喷淋除臭系统,介绍了生物喷淋除臭原理以及生物喷淋除臭系统的构成和主要设备参数。工程运行结果表明,高效上流式生物喷淋除臭技术具有工艺简单、除臭效率高、投资建设及运维费用低、长期运行稳定等优点。在运行期间,系统除臭效率大于90%,出口臭气浓度(无量纲)小于2000,H 2S和NH 3的出口质量浓度分别小于5 mg/m^3,3 mg/m^3,达到甚至优于《恶臭污染物排放标准》(GB 14554—1993)的相关规定。该技术的成功应用,为我国污水处理厂恶臭气体治理排放提供了针对性解决方案。     

Real-time contaminant detection and classification in a drinking water pipe using conventional water quality sensors: Techniques and experimental results

Accurate detection and identification of natural or intentional contamination events in a drinking water pipe is critical to drinking water supply security and health risk management. To use conventional water quality sensors for the purpose, we have explored a real-time event adaptive detection, identification and warning (READiw) methodology and examined it using pilot-scale pipe flow experiments of 11 chemical and biological contaminants each at three concentration levels. The tested contaminants include pesticide and herbicides (aldicarb, glyphosate and dicamba), alkaloids (nicotine and colchicine), E. coli in terrific broth, biological growth media (nutrient broth, terrific broth, tryptic soy broth), and inorganic chemical compounds (mercuric chloride and potassium ferricyanide). First, through adaptive transformation of the sensor outputs, contaminant signals were enhanced and background noise was reduced in time-series plots leading to detection and identification of all simulated contamination events. The improved sensor detection threshold was 0.1% of the background for pH and oxidation–reduction potential (ORP), 0.9% for free chlorine, 1.6% for total chlorine, and 0.9% for chloride. Second, the relative changes calculated from adaptively transformed residual chlorine measurements were quantitatively related to contaminant-chlorine reactivity in drinking water. We have shown that based on these kinetic and chemical differences, the tested contaminants were distinguishable in forensic discrimination diagrams made of adaptively transformed sensor measurements.     

无锡市饮用水嗅味突发事件致嗅原因及潜在问题分析

针对2007年5月底6月初发生的无锡市饮用水嗅味事件,在嗅味层次分析法(FPA)的基础上,利用感官气相色谱法对污染水团、取水口以及管网水中的致嗅物质种类进行了鉴定,并利用GC-MS对主要致嗅物质进行了定量分析,同时,对微囊藻毒素含量以及生物遗传毒性进行了测定.结果表明,此次嗅味事件的主要致嗅物质为以二甲基三硫为主的硫醚类有机体腐败产物,6月4日采集的污染水团中二甲基三硫含量高达11399 ng·L-1.同时,含有一定量的2-甲基异莰醇(MIB)等藻类分泌物,但这些物质的嗅味被二甲基三硫等硫醚类化合物导致的腥臭味所掩盖,不是主要的致嗅物质.另外,6月4日及6月8日采集的取水口样品分析结果表明,原水中微囊藻毒素含量远低于新颁布的生活饮用水卫生标准,而且,利用umu测试得到的水中遗传毒性水平很低.     

工业城市有机化工异味应急监测快速溯源

结合淄博化工园区有机化工异味的应急监测,研究了工业城市有机化工异味的快速溯源。针对多种异味混杂,现场利用便携式GC-MS对空气中引起异味的有机化合物进行定性和定量,结合三点比较式臭袋法测定厂界臭气浓度值,根据风向,对照企业污染物名单快速溯源,并根据测定结果和厂界臭气浓度限值对排污企业进行行政处理。     

恶臭监测嗅觉测试方法的比较分析

通过恶臭污染监测技术的比较分析,阐明了各类恶臭监测技术的特点和发展方向,指出嗅觉测试法在目前技术水平下的重要作用和地位,依据古典心理物理学中最小可觉差法及平均差误法对欧洲EN13725标准方法和中国三点比较式臭袋法进行了比较分析,得到2种实验方法的特点。古典物理学是科学心理学一百多年的发展历程中已经形成的经典研究技术,主要用于外界刺激对人的感觉器官作用的测试技术。其中最小可觉差法是采用已知"标准刺激"对未知的"比较刺激"进行比较的感受阈值测定方法。平均差误法则是将"标准刺激"阈值视为零,并将接近零的平均实验结果作为感觉阈值的测定方法。在欧洲嗅辨实验所用的"标准刺激"为标准臭气样,而中国嗅辨实验暂时没有标准臭气样品,仍依据嗅觉阈值为零的概念进行恶臭样品实验。通过多年对嗅辨员的考核经验,总结了人的嗅阈值的分布特征,进而提出标准臭气样品的制备研究方法,提出培训嗅辨师以增强对环境恶臭污染识别能力的观点,借以深入理解恶臭嗅觉测定技术方法。     

Fenton试剂法降解餐厨垃圾异味

自行设计Fenton试剂法降解还原性气体异味的反应器,研究了Fenton试剂法处理餐厨垃圾异味主要成分(苯、乙酸乙酯、苯乙烯)的降解效果。以苯为典型代表物,优化得出该实验的最佳反应条件为:pH=3,FeSO4.7H2O投加量为1 g/L液相,30%H2O2投加量为10 mL/L液相,紫外光源辅助。结果证明,Fenton试剂法处理单一异味气体的效果较理想,在前180 min内能达到90%以上,该法在处理气态异味污染物方面具有广阔的应用前景。     

Modeling effects of moisture content and advection on odor causing vocs volatilization from stored swine manure

Abstract

Two models for evaluating the contents and advection of manure moisture on odor causing volatile organic compounds (VOC‐odor) volatilization from stored swine manure were studied for their ability to predict the volatilization rate (indoor air concentration) and cumulative exposure dose: a MJ‐I model and a MJ‐II model. Both models simulating depletion of source contaminant via volatilization and degradation based on an analytical model adapted from the behavior assessment model of Jury et al. In the MJ‐I model, manure moisture movement was negligible, whereas in the MJ‐II model, time‐dependent indoor air concentrations was a function of constant manure moisture contents and steady‐state moisture advection. Predicted indoor air concentrations and inhaled doses for the study VOC‐odors of p‐cresol, toluene, and p‐xylene varied by up to two to three orders of magnitude depending on the manure moisture conditions. The sensitivity analysis of both models suggests that when manure moisture movement exists, simply MJ‐I model is inherently not sufficient to represent a more generally volatilization process, which can even become stringent as moisture content increases. The conclusion illustrates how one needs to include a wide variety of manure moisture values in order to fully assess the complex volatilization mechanisms that are present in a real situation.     

国内成功运营的餐厨垃圾处理厂臭气排放特征研究

选择目前国内成功运营的餐厨垃圾资源化处理厂为采样点,采用气相色谱．质谱联用（GC／MS）技术对该厂的主要工段,如卸料室、破碎室、湿热反应器出气口、好氧发酵仓、厌氧发酵区以及厂界的臭气进行了定性和定量的分析。结果表明,6个采样点共检测出包括芳香烃、硫化物、卤代物、烯烃、烷烃、醇、醛、酮和酯在内的9类66种物质,各采样点臭气总浓度分别为：11．738、18．390、30．917、25．097、4．737和2．635mg／m3。其中湿热反应器出气口处恶臭气体浓度最高,其芳香烃、硫化物、卤代物、烯烃、烷烃、酮及酯类物质均高于其他检测点,需对该工段进行重点监测和控制。恶臭排放特征分析表明,各点的H2S浓度均超过嗅觉阈值,除厂界外甲硫醇和二甲二硫检测值均超过嗅觉阈值。