一种简易的城市地震小区划方法—场地指数法

本文提出了以模糊推论的综合评判方法导出的场地指数作为地震小区划的尺度进行地震小区划的方法。文中介绍了场地指数的定义和计算方法;场地指数与震害和地震动参数的关系。最后以唐山地震时该地区实际震害的分布与小区划结果的对比,验证了场地指数小区划方法的可靠性。     

河网水质数学模型的参数估算

本文以无锡县河网水质数学模型的参数估算为例，根据河流的性质、水流特征、污染源的类型，选择５条河流进行现场观测，综合考虑不同河流的分析结果，研究了适用于平原河网水质数学模型的参数估算的方法。     

A／A／O微曝氧化沟处理城市污水的工程设计

以某日处理量为80000m^3城市污水处理厂为例，介绍了A／A／O微曝氧化沟工艺的设计思路及参数选择，能够满足设计要求，且可信度高，有实用参考价值。     

模拟纳污水体底质参数变化

本文介绍了模拟纳污水体中ＷＡＲ，ＷＭＲ，ＷＣＨ，ＳＡＲ，ＳＭＲ，ＳＳＦ和ＲＯＣ的变化。过程曲线表明水体污染时底质参数出现累积现象。     

水网区域的水质模拟预报及污染容量

本文研究了頔塘河震泽段的水质指标(BOD、DO)在水体中的迁移转化规律,建立起模拟頔塘河震泽段的水持数学模型。在以水环境规划为目标的水质数值模拟中,首次结合全面的水文分析及该河段的模型参数估计,给出頔塘河震泽段的水质模拟预报及全年污染容量的计算,作为水质管理规划的定量依据。     

Small sample estimation for Taylor's power law

An analysis of counts of sample size N=2 arising from a survey of the grass Bromus commutatus identified several factors which might seriously affect the estimation of parameters of Taylor's power law for such small sample sizes. The small sample estimation of Taylor's power law was studied by simulation. For each of five small sample sizes, N=2, 3, 5, 15 and 30, samples were simulated from populations for which the underlying known relationship between variance and mean was given by ² = c^d. One thousand samples generated from the negative binomial distribution were simulated for each of the six combinations of c=1,2 and 11, and d=1, 2, at each of four mean densities, =0.5, 1, 10 and 100, giving 4000 samples for each combination. Estimates of Taylor's power law parameters were obtained for each combination by regressing log₁₀ s ² on log₁₀ m, where s ² and m are the sample variance and mean, respectively. Bias in the parameter estimates, b and log₁₀ a, reduced as N increased and increased with c for both values of d and these relationships were described well by quadratic response surfaces. The factors which affect small-sample estimation are: (i) exclusion of samples for which m = s ² = 0; (ii) exclusion of samples for which s ² = 0, but m > 0; (iii) correlation between log₁₀ s ² and log₁₀ m; (iv) restriction on the maximum variance expressible in a sample; (v) restriction on the minimum variance expressible in a sample; (vi) underestimation of log₁₀ s ² for skew distributions; and (vii) the limited set of possible values of m and s ². These factors and their effect on the parameter estimates are discussed in relation to the simulated samples. The effects of maximum variance restriction and underestimation of log₁₀ s ² were found to be the most severe. We conclude that Taylor's power law should be used with caution if the majority of samples from which s ² and m are calculated have size, N, less than 15. An example is given of the estimated effect of bias when Taylor's power law is used to derive an efficient sampling scheme.     

A Bayesian approach to evaluating site impairment

In the United States, each state is required to list water resources that are declared to be impaired under guidelines set by the Clean Water Act. Measurements are typically collected on a number of chemical constituents and compared with a standard. If there are too many measurements exceeding the standard, then the site is declared impaired. The approach is non-statistical but similar to a Binomial test. The Binomial approach would convert the measurements to binary data then test if the proportion exceeding the standard is excessive. Both methods convert measurements to binary values hence exclude potentially important information in the data. We present a statistical approach using a Bayesian model that uses the raw data instead of the binary transformed data. The population distribution of a family of location-scale parameter models is studied under the model. Posterior distributions from the Bayesian analysis are used in the decision-making process and error probabilities for the Bayesian and the Binomial approaches are compared for a normal population.     

湖泊富营养化评价的S型曲线通用表示式

在适当设定富营养化指标的“本底”值情况下 ,当指标值用对应于“本底”值的相对值表示时 ,可采用 S型曲线描述湖泊富营养化发展程度 ,从而公式中的参数可视为与指标特性无关 ,采用遗传算法对公式中的参数优化 ,得到对多项指标通用的富营养化程度的指数计算公式 ,并用广义对比因子赋权新方法计算富营养化综合指数。该评价方法物理意义明确 ,计算简单 ,使用方便 ,具有可比性和通用性     

乌鲁木齐地区主要湖泊富营养化现状

根据“七五”期间全国14个城市湖泊富营养化调查拟定和筛选出的总氮、总磷、生化耗氧量、透明度和叶绿素a的含量五个评价参数,用评分法对我区三个主要湖(库)富营养化现状进行评价.柴窝堡湖和红岩水库已达富营养水平,乌拉泊水库达中营养水平.     

全复合材料翼面振动主动控制技术研究

目的减小复合材料结构振动响应。方法以全复合材料翼面为研究对象,结合该翼面结构有限元模型,建立带有压电作动器的结构动力学仿真模型。利用PID(Proportional,Integral and Differential)控制理论设计主动控制律,基于Simulink仿真平台设计控制律程序,通过控制律变参分析得出PID控制各参数的设计规律,基于仿真模型进行主动控制仿真试验。以仿真试验结果为基础,在复合材料翼面上进行振动主动控制地面试验。结果有效地控制了复合材料翼面振动响应,振动响应减小了79.74%,验证了模型和控制律设计的有效性。结论以压电作动器作为控制作动器,通过PID控制理论设计控制律,能够有效控制全复合材料翼面振动,使振动减小。