经济结构变动对中国碳排放影响——基于IO-SDA方法的分析

应对气候变化的进程已经在全球范围内对社会经济发展方式的根本性转变提出了要求。改革开放以来,我国产业经济结构得到了一定的改变,与其他发达国家相比,产业经济结构自身还存在较大的优化空间。本文基于1992、1997、2002、2007、2010年的投入产出表,采用IO-SDA方法(Input-Output Structural Decomposition Analysis)将碳排放量的变化分解为能源结构效应、能源强度效应、增加值效应、Leontief逆矩阵效应、最终需求效应,从而得到经济结构历史变化对于CO2排放的作用。研究结果显示,我国能源消耗导致的排放增加主要是最终需求效应与Leontief逆矩阵效应;除2002-2007年,能源强度效应始终为负,且为促进CO2排放减少的主要因素;我国终端能源结构除了1997-2002年得到了优化,其他阶段却一直在朝着高碳化的方向发展。通过构建碳排放影响力系数和碳排放感应度系数对各个部门的评价结果显示,国民经济中的基础性行业大多是高耗能的行业,未来节能减排重点需要逐步降低第二产业在国民经济中的比重,但在具体部门层次上应制定有所区别的政策:煤炭开采和洗选业等部门应保持一定的比重,不可一味降低,可更多从技术进步方面制定节能政策;通用专用设备制造业等部门可以考虑从提高能源利用效率方面改进;非金属矿物制品业等部门可以在保证人们生产生活的基础上来尽可能地降低比重;食品制造及烟草加工业等第二产业部门及房地产业至公共管理和社会组织等第三产业中的服务业部门应大力提高其在经济结构中的比重。     

Time‐based differences in the effects of positive and negative affectivity on perceived supervisor support and organizational commitment among newcomers

Building on the broaden‐and‐build theory and research on the negativity bias, this study examines how trait affectivity, as a stable predisposition predicting the pattern of emotional responding, shapes newcomers' perceptions of supervisor support and experience of organizational commitment. Using latent growth modeling and data collected at four points in time from newcomers (N = 158), we found the initial level of perceived supervisor support to mediate a negative relationship between negative affectivity and the level of commitment. Moreover, although newcomers experienced a general decrease in perceived supervisor support and a related decrease in commitment, those with high positive affectivity experienced a weaker decrease in perceived supervisor support, which led to a weaker decrease in commitment. Incidentally, positive affectivity was also positively related to the initial level of commitment. Two post hoc studies indicated that positive and negative affectivity exerted their effects controlling for state affect and replicated the relationship between change in perceived support and commitment. We discuss how these findings inform our understanding of trait affectivity's influence on newcomers' work attitudes.     

基于新型有机多孔复合基质的生物系统去除污染水体中的氮磷

针对太湖入湖河道污染水体中的氮磷超标问题,以海绵铁、沸石、砾石和土壤为基质,采用动态吸附+生物法,对氮磷开展基于新型有机多孔复合填料的去除效果研究,结果表明,生物系统中的新型有机多孔复合基质在空间上形成了好氧-缺氧微环境,获得了较好的同步硝化-反硝化效果;通过正交实验确定流量0.00075 L/s,曝气时间24 h,pH值7,曝气量20 L/min为去除氮磷的最优条件;相对一级动力学方程、双常数方程而言,Elovich方程对3种填料的吸附动力学特征拟合最好,决定系数R2在0.81～0.92之间。通过平均去除效果较优分析,好氧条件下,NH3-N平均去除70.6%,TP平均去除81.2%;厌氧条件下,TN平均去除62.4%,COD平均去除42.6%;NH3-N、TP、TN和COD的最低浓度分别为0.75、0.095、1.1和18.3 mg/L,综合考虑主要污染物的去除效果和经济效益,本项新型有机多孔复合填料结合生物系统适宜去除河原平网地区污染水体中的氮磷。     

石墨炉升温程序的灰化技术

本文以测定铅为例,研究了石墨炉升温程序的灰化技术,包括基体干扰的消除,基体改进剂和Ｌ’ｖｏｖ平台的应用。     

利用马尔柯夫过程预测锡林河流域草原退化格局的变化

以我国北方典型草原模式地段之一的锡林河流域草原为研究对象,根据研究区两个时期遥感影像解译的植被类型图衍生出草原植被退化图。在对草原退化图统一网格化后,计算各网格草原退化指数,并加以分级,确定不同草原退化等级之间转移概率,并应用马尔柯夫模型预测锡林河流域草原退化格局的演变趋势。结果表明:如果不采取防止草地退化的根本性措施,草原退化态势还将继续下去。以每个网格草原退化指数值为各网格草原退化状况划分依据,以3km×3km网格为统计单元,在流域总面积为10701km₂情况下,预测结果是:2005年,锡林河流域草原退化为3级的网格总面积是3776km₂,占流域总面积的35.29%;4、5级网格面积之和为5427km₂,达到流域总面积的50.71%。2025年,锡林河流域草原退化为3级的网格面积总和是3389km₂,占流域总面积的31.67%;4、5级网格面积之和为6406km₂,达到流域总面积的59.86%。     

Understanding the sources and composition of the incremental excess of fine particles across multiple sampling locations in one air shed

Well-designed health studies and the development of effective regulatory policies need to rely on an understanding of the incremental differences in particulate matter concentrations and their sources. Although only a limited number of studies have been conducted to examine spatial differences in sources to particulate matter within an air shed, routine monitoring data can be used to better understand these differences. Measurements from the US EPA Chemical Speciation Network （CSN） collected between 2002-2008 were analyzed to demonstrate the utility of regulatory data across three sites located within 100 km of each other. Trends in concentrations, source contribution, and incremental excesses across three sites were investigated using the Positive Matrix Factorization model. Similar yearly trends in chemical composition were observed across all sites, however, excesses of organic matter and elemental carbon were observed in the urban center that originated from local emissions of mobile sources and biomass buming. Secondary sulfate and secondary nitrate constituted over half of the PM2.5 with no spatial differences observed across sites. For these components, the excess of emissions from industrial sources could be directly quantified. This study demonstrates that CSN data from multiple sites can be successfully used to derive consistent source profiles and source contributions for regional pollution, and that CSN data can be used to quantify incremental differences in source contributions of across these sites. The analysis strategy can be used in other regions of the world to take advantage of existing ambient particulate matter monitoring data to better the understanding of spatial differences in source contributions within a given air shed.     

环境中有机紫外吸收剂前处理及仪器分析方法研究进展

有机紫外吸收剂(OUVs)是广泛应用于个人护理品及工业产品的一种光稳定剂,也是一种新型"准"持久性有机污染物。由于环境样品基质复杂,且OUVs种类多、含量低,快速高效的样品前处理及准确灵敏的检测方法是提高OUVs监测精准度的基础。综述了自2005年以来环境样品中OUVs的常规前处理方法及分析方法。首先,在介绍水体、沉积物、生物样品前处理方法应用的基础上,分析了富集填料、洗脱剂、净化方法等实验条件对回收率的影响,目前在水体、沉积物、生物样品中,OUVs的回收率分别为14%~133.7%、30%~183%、46%~128%。其次,总结了质谱技术在OUVs分析中的应用,表明OUVs检测方法已经由传统的气相色谱-单四极杆联用逐渐过渡到液相色谱-串联质谱联用,并且着重阐述了离子源对OUVs信号强度影响的重要性。最后,结合OUVs监测现状,展望了环境样品中OUVs监测分析方法的发展趋势。     

青岛市臭氧污染与非污染期间VOCs化学特征及来源解析

青岛市夏季臭氧浓度水平高且污染事件频发,开展臭氧污染过程和非污染时期的挥发性有机物(VOCs)及其臭氧生成潜势(OFP)的精细化来源解析研究,对于有效降低沿海城市的大气臭氧污染,持续改善环境空气质量将会发挥重要的作用.因此,利用青岛市2020年夏季(6～8月)小时分辨率的在线VOCs监测数据,分析臭氧污染过程和非臭氧污染时期环境VOCs的化学特征,并通过正定矩阵因子分解(PMF)模型进行了环境VOCs及其OFP的精细化来源解析研究.结果表明,青岛市夏季环境ρ(TVOCs)平均值为93.8μg·m^-3,臭氧污染过程相较于非臭氧污染时期TVOCs浓度上升了49.3%,其中芳香烃浓度增加最显著,增加了59.7%.夏季环境VOCs总的OFP达到246.3μg·m^-3,臭氧污染过程相较于非臭氧污染时期环境VOCs的总OFP增加了43.1%;其中烷烃增加最多,增加了58.8%.间-乙基甲苯和2,3-二甲基戊烷是臭氧污染过程中OFP增加幅度最大的物种.青岛市夏季环境VOCs的主要贡献源为柴油车(11.2%)、溶剂使用(4.7%)、液化石油气及天然气(27....     

深圳市大气PM2.5来源解析

为识别和量化深圳市大气PM_2.5的污染来源,2014年3,6,9,12月分别在5个站点采集PM_2.5的膜样品并进行质量浓度及组分分析,利用正向矩阵因子解析（PMF）模型对其主要来源和时空变化规律进行了解析.结果表明,2014年深圳市PM_2.5年均浓度为35.7 μg/m³,其中机动车源、二次硫酸盐生成、二次有机物生成和二次硝酸盐生成是最主要的来源,质量浓度贡献比例分别为27%、21%、12%和10%;地面扬尘、生物质燃烧源、远洋船舶源、工业源、海洋源、建筑尘和燃煤源贡献比例达2%~6%.各个源贡献的时空变化特征表明,二次硫酸盐生成、生物质燃烧源、二次有机物生成、工业源、远洋船舶源和海洋源显示出明显的区域源特征,机动车源、二次硝酸盐生成、燃煤源、地面扬尘和建筑尘具有显著的本地源特征.     

Flocculating characteristic of activated sludge flocs: Interaction between Al3+ and extracellular polymeric substances

Aluminum flocculant can enhance the flocculating performance of activated sludge.However,the binding mechanism of aluminum ion(Al 3+) and extracellular polymeric substances(EPS) in activated sludge is unclear due to the complexity of EPS.In this work,threedimensional excitation emission matrix fluorescence spectroscopy(3DEEM),fluorescence quenching titration and Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy(FT-IR) were used to explore the binding behavior and mechanism between Al 3+ and EPS.The results showed that two fluorescence peaks of tyrosineand tryptophan-like substances were identified in the loosely bound-extracellular polymeric substances(LB-EPS),and three peaks of tyrosine-,tryptophanand humic-like substances were identified in the tightly boundextracellular polymeric substances(TB-EPS).It was found that these fluorescence peaks could be quenched with Al 3+ at the dosage of 3.0 mg/L,which demonstrated that strong interactions took place between the EPS and Al 3+.The conditional stability constants for Al 3+ and EPS were determined by the Stern-Volmer equation.As to the binding mechanism,the-OH,N-H,C=O,C-N groups and the sulfurand phosphorus-containing groups showed complexation action,although the groups in the LB-EPS and TB-EPS showed different behavior.The TB-EPS have stronger binding ability to Al 3+ than the LB-EPS,and TB-EPS play an important role in the interaction with Al 3+.