From disaster to sustainable civil society: the Kobe experience

Nine years after the Kobe earthquake in Japan, social issues are still prominent, and the rehabilitation process is still ongoing. The earthquake caused two major changes in Japanese society: an increase in voluntary and non-government activities, and the enhancement of cooperation between local government and the residents' association. People's participation in the decision-making process was a significant achievement. To sustain the efforts generated after the earthquake, the Kobe Action Plan was formulated and tested in different disaster scenarios. The current study suggests that civil societies in urban areas are sustainable if, first, the activities related to daily services are provided by the resident's associations; and second, these are linked to economic incentives. Leadership plays a crucial role in collective decision-making. Creation of the support system is essential for long-term sustainability of civil-society activities. These observations are exemplified in the case study in Nishi Suma, one of the worst-affected areas in the Kobe city.     

Comparison of multibody and finite element human body models in pedestrian accidents with the focus on head kinematics

Objective: The objective of this study was to compare and evaluate the difference in head kinematics between the TNO and THUMS models in pedestrian accident situations.

Methods: The TNO pedestrian model (version 7.4.2) and the THUMS pedestrian model (version 1.4) were compared in one experiment setup and 14 different accident scenarios where the vehicle velocity, leg posture, pedestrian velocity, and pedestrian's initial orientation were altered. In all simulations, the pedestrian model was impacted by a sedan. The head trajectory, head rotation, and head impact velocity were compared, as was the trend when various different parameters were altered.

Results: The multibody model had a larger head wrap-around distance for all accident scenarios. The maximum differences of the head's center of gravity between the models in the global x-, y-, and z-directions at impact were 13.9, 5.8, and 5.6 cm, respectively. The maximum difference between the models in head rotation around the head's inferior–superior axis at head impact was 36°. The head impact velocity differed up to 2.4 m/s between the models. The 2 models showed similar trends for the head trajectory when the various parameters were altered.

Conclusions: There are differences in kinematics between the THUMS and TNO pedestrian models. However, these model differences are of the same magnitude as those induced by other uncertainties in the accident reconstructions, such as initial leg posture and pedestrian velocity.     

沙河航运工程对沙河国家湿地公园的环境影响分析研究

航运工程的开发与建设会对河道所处的生态环境产生一定的影响,特别是河道型湿地,因此在环评阶段如何分析航道建设对湿地的影响尤为重要.主要通过航运工程本身的特点和湿地公园的生态现状进行结合,通过使用GIS叠图法、生态机理分析方法分别从土地利用资源、湿地水资源、鸟类行为等方面进行影响分析,提出在航运工程施工过程中进行"湿地重建、支流保护"、鸟类监测等措施,以保护航运过程中的湿地生态环境,为航运工程生态影响分析提供一定的理论基础.     

Recovery following the Gediz earthquake: a study of four villages of western Turkey

This paper is the result of a social and economic survey of four villages in the Gediz region of South West Anatolia, Turkey, which was undertaken in two phases, October/November 1982 and March/April 1984. The specific aims of this survey were to define what was perceived as recovery in the local social, cultural and economic context and to measure recovery in communities which had suffered different degrees of distress and loss following the earthquake and, consequently, had received different amounts and kinds of assistance from the government. Essentially, therefore, the survey sought to answer the question – how far did the government programme of assistance promote recovery and over what period of time? The implications of such an inquiry concern what constitutes appropriate assistance following earthquake in rural communities. It is hoped that studies of this kind can help to guide decision making of both national governments and international humanitarian organizations on the role of material aid in the process of recovery. This is particularly urgent in view of the fact that preliminary investigations of other small rural and under-developed communities struck by earthquake suggest that material aid may actually preclude recovery in the longer term.     

WTO框架下重构农村公共服务体系的探讨

我国已经加入WTO后,由于在谈判过程中我国在农业方面的让步比较大,如果不利用“绿箱政策”加强农村公共服务体系建设,农业和农村经济的竞争力必然大大下降．“绿箱”政策是一种问接式的保护政策,不在《农业协议》限制之列,而且“绿箱”政策中许多条款都涉及到保护本国农业的可持续发展能力,得到了各国的一致赞同．因此,我国有必要对农村公共服务体系的改革与发展历程进行一次系统清理,在此基础上认真总结正反两方面的经验和教训,重新构筑农村公共服务体系。     

广州流溪河河岸缓冲带生态治理的优良草种筛选试验

广州流溪河新筑的河堤完全裸露，河流两边的河岸缓冲带受到人类活动的破坏而成为裸露的砂石地或杂草丛生，二者都需要进行生态整治。为了对河流两岸进行生态改造，形成一种护坡效果好、景观效果佳的新流域景观，作者在一段河堤与两块不同性质的河岸缓冲带上进行了适宜草种的筛选试验。在河堤被测试的5个草种中，假俭草的综合表现最好，其次是百喜草，再次是钝叶草与森特钝叶草，野花生的表现最差。在砂石基质的河岸缓冲带样地I，丛生性的大雀稗、弯叶画眉草和香根草表现较好，而匍匐性的野花生、钝叶草和百喜草表现较差，这主要是后三者因根系浅，易遭洪水冲击。至于种植在土质的河岸缓冲带样地Ⅱ上的草种，由于土质状况好，淹水时间短，普遍表现良好。总的来看，弯叶画眉草、大雀稗在河岸缓冲带上的综合表现最好，但如果从耐淹角度来考虑，香根草也应是一个较理想的草种。     

甲型流感病毒H5N1的siRNA设计

选用了甲型流感病毒10个毒株(全序列)和一个2004年越南毒株(部分序列)，采用自己编写的计算机程序sRNAFinder，对每个毒株的6个RNA片段的6个编码序列进行了siRNA设计．结合系统发育重建方法，利用sR-NAFinder的共有序列分析功能，对得到的6101个siRNA分子进行了计算机筛选．结果表明，设计的siRNA的分子，针对np和pb1应该是最有效的，而针对ha和na的siRNA分子设计，需要疾病流行期毒株的最新测序数据；从ns1的数据不能获得很保守的、可作为预防治疗药物的siRNA分子．图1表4参16     

Patchy distribution fields: a zigzag survey design and reconstruction adequacy

A mathematical model was used to examine the effects of a zigzagsurvey design on the adequacy of reconstructing patchy distribution fields. The model simulates fish or plankton patches(or gaps) of different shapes and spatial orientations, and an acoustic survey by a set of transects forming a zigzag. Adequacyof the reconstructed fields to those originally generated was evaluated by calculating their correlations (r). A prioriinformation on the autocorrelation radius for the field in thedirection of a survey (R) allows optimization of survey design and the algorithm of data analysis. A patchy field can be reconstructed properly (r > 0.80) if the distance between transects D < (1.0–1.5)R. If a priori information onthe field is not available, the autocorrelation radius should bedetermined when reconstructing the field, i.e. a posteriori. In cases of field movement, the criterion for choosing a survey direction is based on the relationship betweenthe dimension of moving patches in the direction of movement andthat of the surveyed area. The results obtained indicate that, for a fixed transect spacing, zigzag pattern allow less adequatereconstruction of an original distribution field (in cases of both immovable and movable fields) than corresponding parallel pattern.     

大别山1846 — 2010年干湿变化记录——来自树轮宽度的证据

中国亚热带地区树轮气候学研究已取得较大进展,但气候重建基本都集中在温度方面,基于树轮宽度的水文气候研究鲜有成果,不利于全面理解亚热带地区历史气候变化特征。本文基于北亚热带大别山地区黄山松树轮宽度年表与气候要素的相关分析,发现树轮宽度指数与上一年4—7月平均相对湿度显著负相关（r=?0.68,p<0.01）。在此基础上,重建了大别山地区1846—2010年4—7月平均相对湿度变化历史。重建序列方差解释量达到46.4%（调整自由度后为45.3%）。在整个重建时段中存在3个湿润期（1891—1903,1905—1921和1950—1993年）和3个干旱期（1868—1890,1922—1934和1994—2005年）。同时,重建序列与采样地周边区域旱涝指数以及天目山的相对湿度重建序列在年代际尺度上高度相关,说明过去165年间中国东南亚热带较大区域范围内的干湿变化在年代际尺度上较为同步。空间分析结果表明重建序列也能够在一定程度上指示研究区及周边较大区域范围内的土壤湿度变化。综上,利用树轮宽度指标重建的大别山的相对湿度变化为研究亚热带地区干湿演化历史提供了参考依据,完善了时间尺度上亚热带地区相对湿度数据,同时也证实了亚热带1990年以后干旱化趋势的出现。     

冶金尘泥混合垃圾燃烧飞灰熔融重构固化重金属的研究

针对冶金固废组分复杂且难以高附加值利用的特性,结合当前垃圾燃烧飞灰重金属污染现状,通过将两者混合进行熔融固化及成分重组,研究了重金属固化及浸出毒性.结果表明:随着温度升高,固化渣出现明显结块,且燃烧过程中矿物发生重组,Zn、Cu、Pb和Cr取代硅酸盐中Ca~(2+)、Al~(3+)等离子而被固熔于网状基体中,生成了Cu_6Zn_4Al_2O_4、FeCr_2O_4、Cd_(0.75)Zn_(0.25)Fe_2O_4、Zn(AlO0.5Fe1.5)O4、MgCr0.4Fe1.6O4及Cu0.5Zn0.5Fe2O4等物质;且随着温度升高,Ca-Fe-Si-O体系形成一种耐热硅酸盐稳定相CaFe_3(SiO_4)2OH,由于其覆盖或包裹住含有重金属的晶体,从而延缓并阻止了灰渣分解及重金属的浸出,降低了重金属对环境的污染.