EXPERIMENTAL EVALUATION OF MULTIPLE CRITERIA DECISION MODELS FOR APPLICATION TO WATER RESOURCES PLANNING1

ABSTRACT: A research project was undertaken for the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers to determine the relative utility and effectiveness of four well-known multicriteria decision making (MCDM) models for applications in realistic water resources planning settings. A series of experiments was devised to examine the impact of rating and ranking procedures on the decision making behavior of users (e.g., planners, managers, analysts, etc.) when faced with situations involving multiple evaluation criteria and numerous alternative planning projects. The four MCDM models tested were MATS-PC, EXPERT CHOICE, ARIADNE, and ELECTRE. Two groups of analysts and decision makers were tested. One group consisted of experienced U.S. Army Corps planners, while the other was comprised of graduate students. Based on a series of nonparametric statistical tests, the results identified EXPERT CHOICE as the preferred MCDM model by both groups based largely on ease of use and understandability. ARIADNE fostered the largest degree of agreement within and among the two groups of individuals tested. The tests also lend support to the claim that rankings are not affected significantly by the choice of decision maker (i.e., who uses any of these MCDM models) or which of these four models is used.     

充分利用农业资源,发展我国粮食生产

我国粮食生产的制约因素较多。为了达到我国粮食产量稳定增长的目的,我们必须针对我国农业资源的特点,趋利避害,充分发挥其优势,挖掘生产潜力;搞好宏观调控,调动各方面的积极性,发展粮食生产。这样,2000年实观我国粮食总产量达到 5亿t,人均占有粮食400kg 的目的是可能的。     

川西北两栖爬行动物资源及其利用与保护

川西北地区位于青藏高原东南部,现有两栖爬行动物67种(亚种),其中两栖类28种,爬行类39种;珍稀、濒危种约占22.4%,经济意义大、有利用价值的种占29.8%,经济意义一般的种占47.8%。这些动物在科研、工艺、药用、维护生态平衡等方面均有一定意义。本文对这些动物的利用现状作了评价,并对资源保护提出5点建议。     

卧龙自然保护区野生植物资源管理初探

本文初步分析了卧龙自然保护区野生植物资源的特点和存在的问题,提出了野生植物资源利用和保护的生态经济对策。     

Development of tourism resources and environment conservation in China: with special reference to Taishan Mountain

By analyzing the cases in Taishan Mountain, Shandong Province and other tourist sites in China, this paper pointed out the problems in tourism management, such as resources damage, environment pollution, which are the result of tourism development, and are obstacles to the development. The paper also gave suggestion and practical ways to preserve tourism resources and environment.     

黄河三角洲土地资源开发对策的探讨

黄河三角洲是我国三大三角洲之一,面积约5930km²,它拥有丰富的土地资源,但从大农业角度来看,其土地质量较差,生态环境脆弱。当前,其土地资源的合理开发利用具有十分重要的现实意义。 首先,本文将区内土地类型划为 5类和19个亚类。其次,应用二级模糊综合评判,将其土地质量分为8等13级。其中宜农地占28.83％,宜牧地占34.44％,渔业用地占27.98％。最后,应用层次分析法（AHP）对土地资源合理开发利用的对策作了分析探讨。认为:对于黄河三角洲土地资源的开发,必须强调遵循经济效益服从社会效益和生态效益的总原则。在此前提下,提出了以保证工矿业用地为首的6项开发策略,以及以引黄放淤改良盐碱地为首的20项开发措施。     

牡丹江市水源地水栉霉污染事件成因分析及对策研究

通过现场调查和实验室测试,对牡丹江水源地污染事件进行了全面的研究,分析水栉霉的形成的原因.得出海林雪原酒业公司向海浪河大量排放酒糟是产生该事件的主要因素这一结论,并提出预防因这种水生生物而引起的水污染的建议和措施.     

西藏阿里地区的林业资源及其发展方向探讨

该文对西藏阿里地区林业资源的类型、数量、质量特征和生产现状进行了深入分析,同时,探讨了该地区林业生产存在的“资源结构简单、后续资源极端贫乏;资源分布不均,水平和垂直分异突出;宜林荒山荒地资源面积大,造林任务艰巨、生态环境破坏严重”等主要问题,提出了如下的对策和建议:①健全林业行政管理体制,加强林业资源管理;②节省薪柴,保护生态环境;③实行林地承包制,大力兴办林业;④加强林业科技投入,以科技兴林,走林业可持续发展之路。     

砂岩储层中有机酸对主要矿物的溶蚀作用及机理研究综述

砂岩储层中有机酸对矿物的溶解和沉淀在很大程度上影响着次生孔隙的发育。研究发现,有机酸之所以能提高石英的溶蚀速率和长石的溶解度,主要是由于在矿物的表面及溶液中形成络合物,有效地降低了矿物表面反应的活化能及溶液中硅、铝离子浓度的结果。有机酸与粘土矿物的吸附或催化反应可抑制长石等其他矿物的溶解。有机酸与CO2一起共同控制着体系中碳酸盐的溶解或沉淀。     

从废干电池回收锌生产纳米氧化锌粉

说明了废旧电池的危害，提出了对废旧干电池中锰粉、碳棒、铜帽、锌皮等可再利用资源的回收利用方法。着重介绍了从锌皮制取纳米级氧化锌的优惠工艺条件，对所制得的氧化锌产物进行的X射线衍射分析和TEM分析，表明所得的产品为耐纯纳米氧化锌粉。进而指出了纳米氧化锌粉在橡胶工业、陶瓷材料以及高科技磁性材料产品中的用途。