乌东德库区消落带土壤水分分布特征

消落带土壤水分是制约植物生长发育的关键因素,对库区消落带生态修复意义重大.本文系统分析了乌东德库区消落带修复试验区土壤含水量分布,探索了土壤水分空间变化和影响因素.结果表明:研究区5月水分含量低于5％,不同试验分区和高程区域土壤水分分布受到微地形、土壤特征、植被类型和植被覆盖度等影响.土壤水分随深度变化的主控因素包括地...     

Emergency management of reservoirs and water treatment plants in typhoon season: a case study of Ningbo

ABSTRACT

Coastal cities represented by Ningbo are directly or indirectly affected by typhoons each year. By analyzing the past three typical typhoons landing in Ningbo from 2013 to 2016, it was found that before and after the typhoon transit, reservoir and water treatment plant would be made by the destructive impact, including the increasing water level, water volume in a short time, and the deteriorating water quality. Among those, the water quality caused by typhoons increased the water treatment process load, the amount of water purification agents increased significantly, and the emergency response put a great pressure on the inventory of water plants. Based on the statistics and analysis of the basic parameters of the reservoir and water treatment plant during the typhoon season, the emergency management of the typhoon was divided into three situations, namely, pre-typhoon, typhoon period and post-typhoon. Thus, it is effective for the relevant practitioners of the reservoir and water plant to ensure the safe water supply during typhoon season.     

Determinants on Rural-Urban Labor Migration in China: Empirical Analysis on the Effect of Rural Cooperate Medical Insurance based on Cross-Sectional and Longitudinal Data

Abstract

This paper studies factors influencing rural-urban labor migration in China, particularly the implementation of rural cooperative medical insurance (RCMI) in the year 2003. With the support of data analysis from the year 2000, 2004 and 2006, clear linear correlations are found between gender, income, health condition and rural-urban labor flow, whereas the impact of education and employment status are more complicated. More importantly, results from regression show that the establishment of RCMI in countryside of China not only inhibits rural residents from seeking employment outside the village, but also pulls back rural people who have already worked in cities. When regional dimension is concerned, the pure composite effect of RCMI on rural labor flow is less significant in coastal areas with better economic performance and medical service.     

广州市南沙区高新沙水库大气干湿沉降重金属含量、沉降通量特征分析及其对水库水质的影响

大气干湿沉降是地表水某些元素的主要输入途径,其中的重金属元素可能对水体质量产生影响.本研究于2020年8月—2021年8月在广州市南沙区高新沙水库采集了大气干湿沉降样品,测定了8种重金属（铬、镍、铜、锌、砷、镉、汞、铅）的浓度,探讨了其含量特征,对大气干湿沉降重金属来源进行了解析,估算了重金属的月、季度和年沉降通量,并研究了大气干湿沉降对水库水质的影响.结果表明：大气干湿沉降中铬、镍、铜、锌、砷、镉、汞、铅的平均含量分别为68.44、18.41、39.56、244.02、9.98、0.39、0.91、38.6 mg?kg^-1,其中铬、镍、铜、锌、镉、汞、铅的平均含量均高于广东省土壤背景值.Zn、Cu、Cd、Ni、As、Pb可能有相同的物源,来自燃煤、垃圾燃烧和交通活动,贡献率为45.05%;Cr、As可能有相同的物源,来自工地粉尘、道路尘,贡献率为22.52%.大气干湿沉降重金属的月沉降通量在3、4月达到最大值.Cr、Ni、Cu、Zn、As、Pb的大气干湿沉降季度通量随季度变化逐渐减少,即第I季（春季）>第II季（夏季）>第III季（秋季）>第IV季（冬季）.大气干湿沉降中锌的年沉降通量最高（均值94.96 mg·m^-2·a^-1）,镉的年沉降通量最低（均值0.13 mg·m^-2·a^-1）.大气干沉降年通量均大于湿沉降年通量.考虑大气干湿沉降落入库区的重金属（无论重金属在水中的溶解效率高低）,水库中重金属的浓度低于地表水环境质量标准II类标准.研究成果对于制订高新沙水库的污染防控政策具有重要的指导作用.     

金泽水库浮游植物功能群时空变化特征

于2018年7月—2019年6月对金泽水库浮游植物进行调查,研究浮游植物FG功能群时空变化及其与环境因子的关系,探讨进、出水口浮游植物群落特征异同的原因.调查期间,该水域整体处于轻到中度富营养化水平,库内共检测出浮游植物8门139种,主要由蓝、绿、硅藻门种类构成,共25组功能群,优势功能群有M、H1、L_O、K4组,喜好富营养水体环境,所属种类主要为蓝藻门,以微囊藻属为代表的M功能群为绝对优势功能群;进、出水口分别有7门87种、7门102种,分属于23组、20组功能群,优势功能群分别有5组、9组,两个点位种属相似度超过0.6,达中等相似,共有优势功能群为M、H1、L_O、K 4组,主要为蓝藻门种类,M功能群为绝对优势功能群.库内生物密度月变化为280.1162×10⁴ ~1750.7050×10⁴ cells·L^-1,出水口生物密度年均值比进水口降低29.78%,但差异不显著,蓝藻的生物密度决定着库内藻类生物密度月变化及进、出水口藻类生物密度年均值的差异.冗余分析结果显示,环境因子对库内浮游植物解释率为53.59%,占绝对优势的M 功能群,受总氮影响较大且正相关.研究结果表明,库内一系列净化措施有一定作用,但受来水影响,该水库仍有水华暴发的风险,需调整库内净化策略,加强净化水质,以保障饮用水安全.     

Statistical and Hybrid Methods Implemented in a Web Application for Predicting Reservoir Inflows during Flood Events

Reservoir management is a critical component of flood management, and information on reservoir inflows is particularly essential for reservoir managers to make real‐time decisions given that flood conditions change rapidly. This study's objective is to build real‐time data‐driven services that enable managers to rapidly estimate reservoir inflows from available data and models. We have tested the services using a case study of the Texas flooding events in the Lower Colorado River Basin in November 2014 and May 2015, which involved a sudden switch from drought to flooding. We have constructed two prediction models: a statistical model for flow prediction and a hybrid statistical and physics‐based model that estimates errors in the flow predictions from a physics‐based model. The study demonstrates that the statistical flow prediction model can be automated and provides acceptably accurate short‐term forecasts. However, for longer term prediction (2 h or more), the hybrid model fits the observations more closely than the purely statistical or physics‐based prediction models alone. Both the flow and hybrid prediction models have been published as Web services through Microsoft's Azure Machine Learning (AzureML) service and are accessible through a browser‐based Web application, enabling ease of use by both technical and nontechnical personnel.     

珠海市中部主要供水水库沉积物重金属时空分布与风险评价

磨刀门和洪湾水道是珠江水系的主要出海口,受潮汐影响,沿线受其调水的凤凰山水库、大镜山水库和竹仙洞水库是粤港澳大湾区珠海市中部的重要饮用水水源地.为了解3座供水水库表层沉积物中的环境质量状况,于2019年丰、枯两季(8月和10月)对库区共15个采样点的8项重金属进行监测,并开展了相关性分析、地累积指数评价、生态风险评估和溯源分析.结果表明,8种重金属在3座水库中的含量平均值大小排序均为：竹仙洞水库>大镜山水库>凤凰山水库.凤凰山水库Hg、 Zn和Pb,大镜山水库Hg、 As、 Mn、 Ni、 Cu、 Zn和Pb,竹仙洞水库8种重金属含量分别超过广东省土壤重金属背景值的1.88～2.75、1.05～2.32和1.69～6.45倍.除凤凰山水库的As,大镜山水库的As和Cu,竹仙洞水库的Cr和Ni外,其余重金属含量均呈现枯水期>丰水期的特征.地累积指数法评价结果表明,3座水库污染程度为：竹仙洞水库>大镜山水库>凤凰山水库.其中,凤凰山水库和大镜山水库仅Hg、 Zn和Pb元素表现为轻度污染,竹仙洞水库整体均受到轻度或偏中度污染.潜在生态风险指数评价结果表明,凤凰山...     

松涛水库生态清洁流域的建设构想

近年来水源地污染日益严重，已影响到人类的生活、生产用水安全。海南省松涛水库目前也同样面临水源污染、生态环境破坏等一系列问题。且亟待解决。通过分析松涛水库生态环境质量状况。应用生态系统健康理论、复合生态系统理论以及流域生态学等原理。分析了生态清洁流域的概念及其内涵，把生态清洁流域定义为具有相对稳定、物质能量流平衡、功能持续而健康的生态系统，并可向人类提供正常的生态服务和实现特定水源保护功能的流域区域。为了能够持续获得正常的生态服务和实现特定水源保护功能，应当通过生态修复、生态治理和生态保护等方法创建生态清洁流域。生态清洁流域的建设构想是流域水资源保护规划新的思路和理论尝试。依据松涛水库的实地情况。提出相应的措施，有助于松涛水库水资源保护工作的开展，同时也为同类研究提供借鉴的实例。     

Potential Impacts of Climate Change on the Reliability of Water and Hydropower Supply from a Multipurpose Dam in South Korea

Future climate change is a source of growing concerns for the supply of energy and resources, and it may have significant impacts on industry and the economy. Major effects are likely to arise from changes to the freshwater resources system, due to the connection of energy generation to these water systems. Using future climate data downscaled by a stochastic weather generator, this study investigates the potential impacts of climate change on long‐term reservoir operations at the Chungju multipurpose dam in South Korea, specifically considering the reliability of the supply of water and hydropower. A reservoir model, Hydrologic Engineering Center‐Reservoir System Simulation (HEC‐ResSim), was used to simulate the ability of the dam to supply water and hydropower under different conditions. The hydrologic model Soil and Water Assessment Tool was used to determine the HEC‐ResSim boundary conditions, including daily dam inflow from the 6,642 km² watershed into the 2.75 Gm³ capacity reservoir. Projections of the future climate indicate that temperature and precipitation during 2070‐2099 (2080s) show an increase of +4.1°C and 19.4%, respectively, based on the baseline (1990‐2009). The results from the models suggest that, in the 2080s, the average annual water supply and hydropower production would change by +19.8 to +56.5% and by +33.9 to 92.3%, respectively. Model simulations suggest that under the new climatic conditions, the reliability of water and hydropower supply would be generally improved, as a consequence of increased dam inflow.     

旅游活动对四川升钟水库水质的干扰度研究

运用TADI指数研究升钟水库的旅游活动对水体环境的影响,比较了旅游活动中各个环节对水体的影响程度,指数越大,对水质影响越大。结果表明：升钟水库景区旅游人均TN、TP污染物排放量分别为3.57g／d、0.59g／d,升钟水库景区7类旅游接待设施综合干扰指数排序为：住宿类渔家乐T1〉渔家乐餐厅T2〉酒店T3〉餐馆T4〉摊贩T4〉公厕T7〉博物馆T6,住宿类型渔家乐（T1）对水质干扰最大,属高度干扰型;博物馆（T6）对水质干扰最小,属低度干扰型。不同的食宿组合方式中,渔家乐住宿餐饮型的TADI指数最大,对水质的干扰最强,仅在餐馆就餐则TADI指数为最小,对水质干扰也最弱。