Fisheries management: integrating societal preference, decision analysis, and ecological risk assessment

Fisheries management is the practice of analyzing and selecting options to maintain or alter the structure, dynamics, and interaction of habitat, aquatic biota, and man to achieve human goals and objectives. The theory of fisheries management is: managers or decision makers attempt to maximize renewable `output' from an aquatic resource by choosing from among a set of decision options and applying a set of actions that generate an array of outputs. Outputs may be defined as a tangible catch, a fishing experience, an existence value, or anything else produced or supported by renewable aquatic resources. Overall output is always a mix of tangible and intangible elements. However defined, management goals and objectives are essential components of fisheries management or any other field of renewable natural resource management. Reaching consensus on management goals and objectives has never been a simple task. Beyond the broad and often conflicting goals of an agency, managers must decide who should set specific management objectives — agency personnel, the public, or a combination of the two. Historically, rhetoric aside, fisheries managers in North America nearly always have consulted with professionals in governmental roles to set management objectives. In a strongly pluralistic society, this often resulted in protracted political and legal conflict. Increasingly, there are calls for use of risk assessment to help solve such ecological policy and management problems commonly encountered in fisheries management. The basic concepts of ecological risk assessment may be simple, but the jargon and details are not. Risk assessment (and similar analytical tools) is a concept that has evoked strong reactions whenever it has been used. In spite of the difficulties of defining problems and setting management objectives for complex ecological policy questions, use of risk assessment to help solve ecological problems is widely supported. Ecological risk assessment will be most useful (and objective) in political deliberations when the policy debate revolves around largely technical concerns. To the extent that risk assessment forces policy debate and disagreement toward fundamental differences rather than superficial ones, it will be useful in decision making.     

浅谈上海地区的总稀土

1 概述稀土(Rare Earth)元素,位于元素周期表第57～71号,由性质十分相近的镧、铈、镨、钕等15种镧系元素以及钪、钇2个元素组成。通常,把57～63号的7个元素称为轻稀土元素,其它10个元素称为重稀土元素。地壳中,稀土元素含量与锌、铜、铅等元素含量不相上下。我国的稀土资源,居世界首位,共约3600万吨(R_2O_3),其中90％分布在包头地区。土壤及生物链中,均有稀土元素。进入环境中的稀土化合物,大部分来自岩石的风化物,其次来自煤的燃烧。稀土元素,主要用于冶金、石油化工、电子器械、玻璃陶瓷等工业上。稀土元素,通过口、呼吸道及皮肤的伤口进入人体。吸收后的稀土元素,从人体内排泄的半衰期为一年至十几年。     

新疆玛纳斯河流域农业水资源可利用潜力分析

结合新疆玛纳斯河流域水文水资源、种植结构和节水技术发展等资料,从开源、节流两方面对流域近期(至2010年)、中远期(2010-2030年)农业水资源极限潜力、可挖掘潜力进行了估算。结果表明,就目前水资源的利用水平和开发趋势,玛纳斯河流域未来农业水资源的主要利用途径是开源与节流相结合,以节流为主。全流域尚有的农业灌溉水资源极限潜力为10.75×10⁸m³,近期农业水资源可挖掘潜力为2.13×10⁸m³,其中开源增水潜力0.40×10⁸m³,占18.8%,节流增水潜力1.73×10⁸m³,占81.2%;中远期农业水资源可挖掘潜力5.33×10⁸m³,其中开源增水潜力1.12×10⁸m³,占21.0%,节流增水潜力4.21×10⁸m³,占79.0%。该研究对区域制订节水灌溉规划及水资源系统优化配置具有重要参考价值。     

山东省森林资源与木材供需平衡模型的建立与应用

本文在对山东省森林资源和木材供需平衡状况进行系统分析的基础上，利用系统动力学方法建立了山东省森林资源与木材供需平衡模型，通过对不同方案的政策仿真和结果分析，试图提出解决山东省木材供需矛盾的最佳途径，为制定林业发展政策提供依据。     

上海农业的发展与土壤背景值

本文探讨了上海农业的发展与土壤中重金属元素背景值的关系,以及不同植被和土地利用类型对背景值的影响。比较了近10年来土壤中部分元素含量的变化,其中Hg的降解比较快,比人们预料的要乐观     

区域土地资源承载能力研究模式雏议——以甘肃省定西县为例

本文从土地现实生产力分析和作物潜在生产力估算入手,借助IBM-PC计算机,通过土地资源生产力评价的 MFICA 模式和土地资源优化利用模型的建立,初步框算了定西县1990年、2000年,2025年以及2050年之后的区域农业生产力及其土地资源承载力,进尔阐释了该县土地资源承载力的演变及其土地-粮食-人口关系的可能发展趋势。为区域土地资源承载力研究提供了一条切实可行的途径。     

浅谈内蒙古草原生态环境现状及其保护对策

本文针对当前内蒙古草原生态环境现状以及草原资源利用所面临的问题，从利用制度、管理措施等多方面提出了加强草原保护和合理利用的相应对策。     

浅析元宝山露天矿疏干排水存在的问题

通过对元宝山露天矿疏干水现存问题的探讨 ,对问题成因进行分析 ,找出解决问题的的具体办法 ,为露天疏干水建设提供模型     

佳木斯台形变观测对东北地区几次浅震“场兆”异常的探讨

大地震在主破裂前往往行成地壳变形,高应力作用下进入峰值后的变形阶段,反映到地倾斜观测日均值曲线上,表现为固体潮形变趋势异常,这些异常能否指示远距离的地震,近年来不少研究者发现,远场前兆往往出现在对应力、应变变化反应灵敏的特殊构造部位。佳木斯台可能处于这种特殊的构造部位,对东北地区浅源地震短期前兆异常“场兆”的趋势性变化具有一定的意义。     

Cd对小花南芥真菌根际pH影响的研究

研究不同浓度的Cd对铅锌矿区和非矿区重金属超累积植物——小花南芥真菌根际pH的影响，以便更有效地减轻重金属污染。