秦皇岛市气象灾害风险评估技术研究及风险环境区划分

根据国际流行的灾害评估模式,通过对秦皇岛市气象灾害的分布和环境状况的调查,建立风险要素和风险级别的隶属关系矩阵,用层次分析法来确定风险要素权重的排序,凭借DPS数据处理软件（DataProcessingSystem）计算权重,得到综合脆弱度指数集合,获得相关区域的气象灾害风险指数得分。     

北京市安全生产与经济社会发展耦合关系研究

调查和研究北京市安全生产历史资料数据,系统地分析生产安全的发展历史、现状、特征与存在的问题;选取3大类18个与安全生产关系密切的经济社会相对指标,通过散点图、相关系数、主因子分析等方法建立了亿元产值死亡率与经济社会相对指标的回归模型;结合目前北京市的安全生产现状,使用差分自回归滑动平均法及趋势分析法,计算未来各类事故死亡人数、亿元产值死亡率的变化趋势,并预测全市安全生产的发展趋势;提出经济社会和安全监管方面的相关对策建议,为有关部门制定政策规划提供理论依据。     

加强文化素质教育培养高质量优秀人才

文化素质教育是整个素质教育的基础.加强文化素质教育是时代发展的要求,教育改革的需要,大学生全面发展和健康成长的举措.要转变观念,加强领导,采取措施,拓宽途径,把文化素质教育贯穿于大学教育的全过程.文化素质教育的目标是促进大学生实现由“三无“到“三懂“的转变,提高人才的综合素质.     

基于系统仿真的飞行风险科目安全性预测预防方法

为了提高飞行安全预测预防的科学性和透明度,在总结分析其种类和优缺点的基础上,提出了一种基于人-机-环复杂系统仿真的飞行安全预测预防方法的基本思路和评估步骤。选取GJB 626A—2006中的低空大表速科目进行飞行安全预测预防方法研究,通过潜在危险分析给出该科目在飞行中易出现2条事故链,并对故障元件进行可靠性建模。通过人机系统建模对事故场景进行仿真,得到风险决定性参数样本极值,并应用极值理论和马尔科夫法进行定量评估,提出了飞行安全性预防措施。     

风险社会下的政府环境责任刍议

随着人类逐步迈入风险社会,生态环境事故产生的诱因更多地集中于科学技术,且对相关事故进行责任认定难度巨大.政府在处理相关问题时可能面对经济发展和环境保护相冲突以及决策的知识性匮乏等问题,这就要求在新社会背景下从积极和消极两方面对政府的环境责任进行有效的重构.     

基于Arcgis Engine下毒气扩散后事故伤害程度等值线的生成与应用

井喷有毒气体扩散对周围居民的危害很大,造成人员伤亡并给生态环境带来严重的后果。本文详细讨论了基于Arcgis Engine毒气扩散后事故伤害程度等值线的绘制以及在应急救援方面的应用。通过毒气扩散浓度空间分布动态链接程序计算出毒气扩散后浓度分布离散点,再利用Arcgis Engine二次开发接口将离散点转变成可视化程度较高的事故伤害程度等值线。此模拟过程不仅为应急救援以及重大危险源的管理提供了依据,同时可以为井场地区的安全情况作出判断,能够对周边人员疏散策略及安全区域规划的制定提供帮助。     

Environmental Activism in Provincial China

Environmental activism and non-governmental organizations (NGOs) are not limited to major cities, but have gradually taken root in provincial and local politics in China. This paper compares the development and characteristics of environmental activism in Guangdong province and Guangxi autonomous region, with the aim of shedding light on the causes of regional disparities in this field. With extensive and strong ties to peer organizations across issue areas within the province, grassroots environmental groups in Guangdong have grown as an integral part of local civil society. They have survived, through mutual-support, on a larger scale than those in Guangxi. Also, with a higher level of networking and capacity, environmental NGOs in Guangdong are more able to utilize the new opportunities offered by recent institutional reforms in social management and environmental protection in the province. The paper, thus, challenges the argument that over-emphasizes the domination of the state and points out that inter-organizational partnerships and the overall maturity of the civil society sector contribute most to the uneven development of grassroots environmental activism.     

循环型经济社会:一项可持续发展的系统工程

本文运用系统科学的思想分析了循环型经济社会模式的特征 ,探讨了这一模式的运用及其政策机制 ,提出了深化改革 ,推动资源循环利用产业发展的对策     

节约型社会的理论前提和基本法律问题

认为节约型社会的理论前提和基础有生态政治理论、环境资源承载能力理论、资源生态经济理论、资源生态化和环境资源化理论等。对节约型社会的目标、节约型社会的理念、基本原则等进行了探讨。对节约型社会的法律问题进行了界定。     

Public–Private Governance Patterns and Environmental Sustainability

This paper discusses public–private governance patterns which have emerged in global environmental management. These patterns originate from a spontaneous non-governmental basis or have intentionally been created and constructed by international organisations or states. The paper identifies four patterns of environmental governance between international organisations, governments and private actors. Theoretically governance patterns in which private actors play a prominent role, pose a challenge to state sovereignty and remould the traditional state centric pattern of environmental management. However, the article emphasises the fact that these patterns remain no more than constructs of international organisations, non-governmental organisations and governments, whose first priorities are not always environmental conservation. The paper suggests that the oldest public–private type of environmental governance, in which the environmental organisations are in advocacy roles, reform environmental management in a more concrete and sustainable way than the more recently emerging patterns.