Multiple linear regression models of urban runo pollutant load and event mean concentration considering rainfall variables

Rainfall is an important factor in estimating the event mean concentration (EMC) which is used to quantify the washed-o pollutant concentrations from non-point sources (NPSs). Pollutant loads could also be calculated using rainfall, catchment area and runo coe cient. In this study, runo quantity and quality data gathered from a 28-month monitoring conducted on the road and parking lot sites in Korea were evaluated using multiple linear regression (MLR) to develop equations for estimating pollutant loads and EMCs as a function of rainfall variables. The results revealed that total event rainfall and average rainfall intensity are possible predictors of pollutant loads. Overall, the models are indicators of the high uncertainties of NPSs; perhaps estimation of EMCs and loads could be accurately obtained by means of water quality sampling or a long term monitoring is needed to gather more data that can be used for the development of estimation models.     

中国西北地区近47a日照时数的气候变化特征

利用中国西北地区135个测站1961—2007年1—12月日照时数资料,采用EOF、REOF、趋势分析、Mann-Kendall分析、相关分析等方法,分析了47 a来西北地区日照时数的时空分布特征及其变化规律。结果表明:西北地区的日照时数从东南向西北减少,甘青新交界区是西北地区日照的高值区。冬季日照最少,夏季最多,春季多于秋季。西北地区大部分地方日照时数显著减少,全区平均减少速率为19.92 h/10 a,1980年发生突变。新疆西南部和青海南部日照时灵敏有明显增多趋势,甘南—陇中—宁南—陇东—陕中日照时数不显著增多。将西北地区日照时数分为7个不同类型区域:即西北地区东部区、新疆中北部区、新疆西南区、海西北高原区、祁连山区、青南高原和河西走廊区。西北地区东部和新疆中北部的日照时数为单峰型,河西走廊、祁连山区、新疆西南部的日照时数呈双峰型分布,青海高原的日照时数呈三峰型分布。在气候变暖的背景下,西北地区相对湿度增加,云量增多,是造成大部分地方日照减少的主要原因。     

Predicting the impacts of climate change on nonpoint source pollutant loads from agricultural small watershed using artificial neural network

This study described the development and validation of an artificial neural network (ANN) for the purpose of analyzing the e ects of climate change on nonpoint source (NPS) pollutant loads from agricultural small watershed. The runo discharge was estimated using ANN algorithm. The performance of ANN model was examined using observed data from study watershed. The simulation results agreed well with observed values during calibration and validation periods. NPS pollutant loads were calculated from load-discharge relationship driven by long-term monitoring data. LARS-WG (Long Ashton Research Station-Weather Generator) model was used to generate rainfall data. The calibrated ANN model and load-discharge relationship with the generated data from LARS-WG were applied to analyze the e ects of climate change on NPS pollutant loads from the agricultural small watershed. The results showed that the ANN model provided valuable approach in estimating future runo discharge, and the NPS pollutant loads.     

华北半干旱区2个农业流域地表氮素流失特征的对比研究

在2004和2005年2个水文年期间,通过野外降雨径流监测和室内分析,对位于华北半干旱地区天津市重要饮用水水源地于桥水库周边2个典型农业小流域地表径流氮素流失特征进行了对比研究.结果表明,2个农业小流域全年氮输出主要集 中在6-9月;试验期间桃花寺流域41%的地表径流和52%的总氮负荷发生在2次>60 mm降雨中,曹各庄流域输出地表径 流和总氮负荷较均匀地分布于不同降雨类型的降雨事件中;桃花寺流域和曹各庄流域地表径流氮素输出发生的最小降雨量 分别约为20 mm和10 mm;曹各庄流域和桃花寺流域年均径流系数分别为0.013 2和0.001 6,前者为后者的8.3倍;曹各庄流域 年均总氮输出量是1.048 kg·(hm2·a)-1,桃花寺流域年均总氮输出量是0.158 kg·(hm2·a)-1,前者是后者的6.6倍.2个农业流 域内的微地形地貌、景观格局和迁移廊道性质的不同是造成流域氮素流失特征差异的主要原因:受长期人为活动干扰形成的 复杂地形地貌结构降低了流域的降雨一产流能力;桃花寺流域地表径流氮素主要污染源(村庄)离受纳水体的距离约为 1 500 m,而曹各庄流域此距离约为200 m,较短的迁移距离增加氮素迁移到受纳水体的风险;曹各庄流域道路型的传输廊道可 以很快地将地表径流氮素迁移到受纳水体,而桃花寺流域地表径流氮素则可以在传输廊道中被小石坝、植被过滤带和干塘等 "汇"型结构所持留.     

雨水径流对景观水体中多环芳烃污染特征的影响

以北京市长河湾流域某排污口附近景观水体为研究对象,通过对水体中PAHs的连续检测,研究了雨水径流对景观水体中PAHs污染特征的影响,以期为景观水体中PAHs的控制和管理提供科学依据.结果表明,长河湾景观水体中∑16PAHs在降雨时的浓度变化与降雨强度及降雨量有关,长河湾水体中溶解态PAHs组分以3环和4环为主,2环组分所占的比例最少.水体底部沉积物中PAHs含量明显高于岸边,沉积物中∑16PAHs含量约为229.2μg.kg-1,岸边土壤中∑16PAHs含量约为185.6μg.kg-1,低于国内外一些水域沉积物中PAHs污染浓度.     

黄土小流域水沙输移过程对土地利用/覆被变化的响应

以甘肃定西安家沟小流域为典型研究区,基于TM、ALOS遥感影像解译和地面长期水文数据,深入分析了1997至2010年间流域土地利用变化特征及其产流产沙效应。结果显示,（1）14年间,流域林灌草面积分别增加160.23%、176.33%和80.75%;坡耕地、居民地、裸地和梯田面积分别减少25.57%、0.16%、48.45%和21.52%。以2005年为时间节点,发现前期灌草增加较多、裸地减少明显,后期则是乔木增加比例和坡耕地减少比例更为显著,彰显出不同历史阶段植被恢复的策略变化。（2）流域出口多年平均径流量和输沙量分别由前期的18 249 m3和6 383 kg锐减至后期的2 292 m3和2 267 kg,流域土地利用/覆被有效增加是其主要驱动。（3）春冬季节,由于降雨稀少、径流泥沙的本底值很低,前后两个阶段的水沙输移量差异较小,土地利用/覆被变化的影响相对尚不显著。但在夏秋季节,随着降雨事件增多,土地利用/覆被变化减水减沙的效应趋于显性化。     

山西省近50年日照时数时空变化特征研究

根据山西省62个地面气象站50a（1959—2008）的月日照时数系列数据,对全省13照时数的时空变化特征进行了较系统分析。结果表明,（1）近50a山西省年平均日照时数呈显著减少趋势（-65．40h-（10a^-1）,且最近26a减少更为明显。（2）春夏秋冬4季日照时数均呈减少趋势,其中夏秋冬3季日照时数显著减少,尤以夏季和冬季减少最为突出（分别为-28．06h·（10a）^-1和-23．45h·（10a）^-1）;（3）除4月日照时数略有增加之外,其余11个月的日照时数均呈减少趋势,其中7个月（即1月、6月、7月、8月、9月、10月和12月）日照时数呈显著减少趋势,且以6月减少最为突出（-14．40h·（10a）^-1）。（4）在全省17个综合治理规划地区中,16个地区的日照时数呈显著减少趋势,主要以忻定盆地、太原盆地、临汾盆地和运城盆地（即第6、第7和第8地区）减少最为明显。     

红壤坡地降雨产流产沙动态过程模拟试验研究

研究以浙江省兰溪水土保持综合试验站为研究基地,通过设定特定植被覆盖度（15%）不同坡度（8°、15°、20°）的径流试验小区,小区面积为2m2,采用野外人工模拟降雨试验方法,对降雨强度（0.8～2.9mm·min-1）范围内,红壤坡地产流和产沙随雨强和坡度的变化特性进行了模拟试验。通过32场模拟降雨试验数据的分析,得出结论如下：①产沙量与雨强呈指数函数关系,产流量与雨强呈幂函数关系,径流量与产沙量的相关性大于雨强与径流、雨强与产沙;②随坡度的增大,产流时刻提前,泥沙起动和产沙突增的雨强临界减小;③随坡度增大,累积产沙量的递增速率比累积径流量的递增速率要快;④场降雨侵蚀模数与雨强的相关性随着坡度的增大而增强。     

杭州市多环芳烃的干、湿沉降

多环芳烃（PAHs）是一类典型的持久性有机物,在各种环境介质广泛存在。为了研究干湿沉降对空气中PAHs的去除,采集了杭州市6个干沉降尘土样品、9个湿沉降雨水样品、5个湿沉降雪样品和6个地表径流样品,用高效液相色谱法（HPLC）测定了其中15种多环芳烃的浓度水平,比较了这些介质中PAHs的分布特点。结果表明,降尘中15种PAHs的总平均质量分数为4323ng·g^-1;雨水、雪水和地表径流样品中15种PAHs的总平均质量浓度分别为558.4ng·L^-1、765.1ng·L^-1和576.3ng·L^-1。地表径流、雨水、雪水和干沉降尘土4种样品中,都以4环PAHs为主,其次为3环PAHs。降雪比降雨对PAHs的去除效果更好,地表径流中PAHs主要来自雨水。根据杭州市大气降尘通量和降雨量,估算了PAHs的干湿沉降通量。杭州市辖区大气中每年PAHs的干湿沉降通量分别为1419.1kg和2689.8kg,湿沉降是PAHs去除的主要方式,约为干沉降去除总量的2倍。     

Unified methodology for site-characterization and sampling of highway runoff

Hydrology, roadway traffic conditions, and atmospheric deposition are three essential data categories for the planning and implementation of highway-runoff monitoring and characterization programs. Causal variables pertaining to each data category could be site specific but have been shown to correlate with runoff pollutant loads. These data categories were combined to derive statistical relationships for characterization and prioritization of the respective pollutant loads at highway runoff sites. Storm runoff data of total suspended solids (TSS), total dissolved solid (TDS), chemical oxygen demand (COD), total Kjeldahl nitrogen (TKN) and total phosphorus (TP) collected from three highway sites in Charlotte, North Carolina, USA, were used to illustrate the development of site-specific highway-runoff pollutant loading models. This unified methodology provides a basis for initial assessment of the pollutant-constituent loads from highway runoff using hydrologic component variables. Improved reliability is achievable when additional traffic and/or atmospheric component variables are incorporated into the basic hydrologic regression model. In addition, operational guidance is suggested for implementing highway-runoff monitoring programs that are subject to sampling and resources constraints.