我国农产品主产区土地可持续利用评价

农产品主产区土地利用的可持续性状况直接关乎国家的粮食安全。综合资源环境、经济和社会要素,构建了以县域为单元的土地可持续利用评价指标体系,基于变权理论,评价分析了我国8个农产品主产区土地可持续利用现状及其动态。结果表明:各农产品主产区的土地资源环境、经济和社会可持续性的空间分布呈现明显差异。资源环境优良、人均GDP较高的四川盆地、黄淮海平原和长江中游及江淮地区的土地资源环境和经济可持续性均明显高于其他地区,尤其是生态脆弱的新疆和内蒙古东部地区;黄淮海平原、长江中游及江淮地区和松嫩平原90%以上的县域土地利用社会可持续性达到较高度及以上水平。2000-2008年间,各农产品主产区的土地经济和社会可持续性变幅要高于资源环境可持续性的变幅。四川盆地、松嫩平原、三江平原和黄淮海平原土地资源环境可持续性增强,其较高度及以上水平的县域个数比例增加10个百分点以上,华南蔗果区、新疆和内蒙古东部区则减弱,而各农产品主产区土地经济可持续性均有不同程度的提高。同时,黄淮海平原的水资源负载指数增加,四川盆地和长江中游及江淮地区进一步激化的人地矛盾和华南蔗果区城乡收入差距增大等现象值得关注。     

珠三角地区2005-2009年灰霾天气污染水平分析

通过环境监测数据和灰霾观测站气象资料,评价珠江三角洲地区2005-2009年灰霾污染程度,分析大气污染颗粒物与灰霾天气的关系,反映该地区居民灰霾污染暴露水平。结果显示,珠三角地区2005-2009年灰霾天气总体趋势为广州市稳中有降,东莞、深圳和肇庆三城市先升后降,每年灰霾天气具有明显季节性变化。四城市灰霾天气污染水平均以等级指数2轻微灰霾天气为主,PM10、SO2和NO2,3种大气污染物与灰霾等级指数回归分析具有显著性的正相关效应。珠三角地区属于灰霾高发区,灰霾污染较为严重。     

基于K_d值的极低放填埋场安全评价模式的建立与应用

核素土壤介质中的迁移行为研究是极低放填埋场选址关键工作之一,通过核素在场址土壤中的迁移行为研究可为环境影响评价工作提供技术支持。文章在建立基于Kd值的极低放填埋场安全评价模式的基础上,选择Sr、Cs在某极低放填埋场土壤中的Kd值,初步评价场址安全性。研究结果表明,场址土壤对核素Sr、Cs具有较强的阻滞性能,填埋场周围环境与公众的安全可以得到保证。     

水源地周边风险源风险监控等级判定研究——以镇江征润州水源地为例

以镇江市征润州水源地为例,针对目前存在的工业源众多导致的事故模拟工作量大,码头源难以进行事故模拟等问题,提出基于常规风险影响的水源地周边风险源风险监控等级判定方法。从风险源与水源地沿岸线方向距离、垂直岸线方向距离和上下游关系3方面提出反映风险源相对于水源地位置敏感性的位置敏感指数的计算方法,再以风险源位置敏感性结合风险源风险,确定风险源对水源地的常规风险影响,继而判定水源地周边风险源的风险监控等级。结果表明,征润州水源地周边优先重点监控风险源有4个,主要集中在水源地上游丹徒经济开发区内,水源地下游及对岸12个风险源为低频监控等级,其他24个风险源为优先监控和一般监控等级。     

Evaluation of guardrail systems for preventing falls through roof and floor holes

Introduction

Fall-related occupational injuries and fatalities are serious problems in the U.S. construction industry, especially incidents related to unguarded holes. The National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health, Division of Safety Research, Morgantown, WV conducted a project to evaluate the effectiveness of guardrail systems to prevent falls through roof and floor holes.

Methods

Two commercial edge-protection products were evaluated when used as perimeter guarding around a roof hole. Installations of the commercial products were compared to job-built guardrails constructed of 2^″ × 4^″ construction-grade lumber. Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA) regulations require that “a force of at least 200 pounds” must be supported by the top rail of a guardrail system “in any outward or downward direction at any point along the top edge.” A laboratory testing system was developed to evaluate this requirement. A dynamic 200-lb force was generated against the top rail using a weighted manikin mounted on a hinged steel frame. Nine construction workers, who served as test subjects, each built five different guardrail configurations.

Results

All 45 configurations met the 200-lb OSHA requirement. Installation time for one commercial product was 32% quicker than the job-built configuration (25.6 min vs. 37.9 min).

Impact on Industry

This study: (a) indicates that the two edge-protection products can be used as perimeter guarding; (b) highlights the importance of using proper materials and fasteners to construct guardrails to protect workers from falling into unguarded roof and floor holes; and (c) discusses an overall-strength-testing methodology that can be used by fall-protection researchers.     

Fisher判别法在煤与瓦斯突出危险程度预测中的应用

为了提高煤与瓦斯突出的预测精度,根据煤与瓦斯突出的综合作用假说,选取开采深度、瓦斯压力、瓦斯放散初速度、煤的普氏系数以及煤体破坏类型作为判别指标。利用国内典型突出矿井20个实测数据作为训练样本,建立煤与瓦斯突出危险程度预测的Fisher判别分析模型,并应用于其他待判样本的预测。结果表明:Fisher判别分析模型能够反映多因素对煤与瓦斯突出的影响,分类性能良好,误判率低,借助SPSS软件实现,具有计算简单的特点,是煤与瓦斯突出预测的一种有效方法。     

伶仃洋海域的环境功能区及其发展趋势

根据对“七五"期间伶仃洋水环境调查结果的处理分析,找出伶仃洋目前使用功能区分布与水环境功能区发展变化之间的矛盾所在,提出对伶仃洋功能区的调整方法及其环境功能区的划分与发展趋势,并指出伶仃洋水产养殖业的发展前景。      

安徽省地表137Cs的活度水平与分布特征

在安徽全省均匀布置采样点,采集222个样品并测定~(137)Cs.其活度,南部山区明显高于北部平原,全省平均值为834Bq/m~2.~(137)Cs高值带大体上为西北-东南走向,并在山脉两侧形成更高值区。     

Economic Growth and Marine Biodiversity: Influence of Human Social Structure on Decline of Marine Trophic Levels

Abstract:  We assessed the effects of economic growth, urbanization, and human population size on marine biodiversity. We used the mean trophic level (MTL) of marine catch as an indicator of marine biodiversity and conducted cross-national time-series analyses (1960–2003) of 102 nations to investigate human social influences on fish catch and trends in MTL. We constructed path models to examine direct and indirect effects relating to marine catch and MTL. Nations' MTLs declined with increased economic growth, increased urbanization, and increased population size, in part because of associated increased catch. These findings contradict the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis, which claims that economic modernization will reduce human impact on the environment. To make informed decisions on issues of marine resource management, policy makers, nonprofit entities, and professional societies must recognize the need to include social analyses in overall conservation-research strategies. The challenge is to utilize the socioeconomic and ecological research in the service of a comprehensive marine-conservation movement.     

An integrated river basin-coast-sea modelling scenario for nitrogen management in coastal waters

Linked river basin and coastal water models were applied to analyse the effects of an optimal nitrogen management scenario in the Oder/Odra river basin on water quality in the Oder (Szczecin) Lagoon and the Pomeranian Bay (Baltic Sea). This scenario would reduce nitrogen loads into the coastal waters by about 35%, a level which is similar to the load of the late 1960’s. During summer the primary production and algae biomass in the Oder estuary is limited by nitrogen, which makes a nitrogen management reasonable. The comparison of the late 1960’s and the mid 1990’s shows that an optimal nitrogen management has positive effects on coastal water quality and algae biomass. However, this realistic nitrogen reduction scenario would not ensure a good coastal water quality according to the European Water Framework Directive. A good water quality in the river will not be sufficient to ensure a good water quality in the lagoon. Nitrogen load reductions bear the risk of increased potentially toxic, blue-green algae blooms, especially in the Baltic coastal sea. However, to reach water quality improvements in lagoons and inner coastal waters, nitrogen cuts are necessary. A mere focus on phosphorus is not sufficient.