Adaptation planning for sea level rise: a study of US coastal cities

Sea level rise (SLR) is expected, even without greenhouse gas emissions. As SLR is inevitable, adapting to its impacts has received increasing attention, and local governments are the key actors in this emerging agenda. This study indicates that adaptation planning for SLR should be integrated into two local major planning mechanisms in the United States: the local comprehensive plans and hazard mitigation plans. By evaluating 36 plans from 15 US coastal cities that are considered at high risk and vulnerable to rising sea levels, the results demonstrate that SLR is widely identified, but the overall quality of the plans to address it requires significant improvement. A detailed table of selected plans' characteristics is also provided as a lens on how localities tackle this challenging issue. The paper concludes with planning suggestions for coastal communities to better adapt to SLR.     

Interpolating SRTM Elevation Data to Higher Resolution to Improve Hydrologic Analysis

The Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) digital elevation model (DEM) has been a valuable resource for hydrological analysis, providing elevation data at a consistent resolution on a near‐global scale. However, its resolution (three arc‐second or 90 m) is sometimes too low to obtain the desired level of accuracy and precision for hydrologic analysis. We evaluated the performance of several methods for interpolating SRTM three arc‐second data to a 30‐m resolution grid to better represent topography and derive terrain characteristics of the landscape. STRM data were interpolated to 30‐m DEMs on a common grid using spline, inverse distance weighting (IDW), kriging (KR), natural neighbor methods, and cubic convolution (CC) resampling. Accuracy of the methods was assessed by comparing interpolated and resampled 30‐m grids with the reference data. Slope, aspect, sinks, and stream networks were derived for the 30‐m grids and compared on a cell‐by‐cell basis to evaluate their performance in reproducing the derivatives. The comparisons identify spline and KR as the most accurate interpolation methods, of which spline is preferred because of its relative simplicity. IDW provided the greatest bias in all methods with artifacts evident in slope and aspect maps. The performance of CC projection directly to a 30‐m resolution was comparable to spline interpolation, thus is recommended as the most convenient method for interpolating SRTM to a higher resolution.     

海平面上升对长江三角洲地区的影响评价研究

气候变暖导致的全球性海平面加速上升严重威胁着沿海国家和地区的持续发展。作为世界五大三角洲之一的长江三角洲及其邻近地区，其地势低平，人口稠密，经济发达，因而所受海平观上升的威胁更加严重。根据ＩＰＣＣ拟定的方案，对于未来海平面另速上升所造成的沿海地区脆弱性影响评价，取海平面上升３０、６５和１００ｃｍ三种情况进行研究，本地区内岸段是我国海岸侵蚀最为严重的岸段。长江口的潮水上溯使盐水入侵、造成水质恶化，海     

基于属性识别理论的岩质边坡安全综合评价

建立了基于现场监测的安全综合评价体系,对边坡的安全状态进行研究。针对边坡多项目、多测点实测性态多样性的特点,将边坡安全稳定性视为一个属性空间,采用属性识别理论方法对其安全状态进行综合评价,并对底层指标标准化、权重确定等基本问题进行了具体研究。实例研究表明,该方法能充分反映边坡状态的多样性,所得结果比较全面、可靠。     

某滑坡坝坝后稳定性分析

某滑坡坝位于某拟建水电站的上游,在国家级自然保护区内,是著名的旅游景点,其安全性对旅游开发、工程建设和下游居民生命财产安全影响很大,为了评价该滑坡坝的稳定性,需要对其发生洪水漫坝和渍坝的可能性进行研究,论证其安全性。通过计算的各种工况表明,滑坡坝坝后(坝体靠下游部分)是稳定的,对电站建设和下游居民不会产生威胁,滑坡坝是稳定的,可以进行综合开发。本文研究思路对类似工程有一定的借鉴意义。     

水岩化学作用对斜坡水文地质及滑坡的影响

在温湿气候区，水岩化学作用对岩质斜坡的水文地质演化及失稳一夷平进程具有重要的控制作用。从地表到新鲜岩体，随着水岩化学作用程度的逐渐减弱，斜坡剖面可依次划分为土层、腐岩带和风化岩带，各带之间多是渐变过渡的。土层多由枯枝落叶层和土壤层组成，有时底部含有残坡积物；腐岩是由岩浆岩、沉积岩或变质岩经等容风化形成的风化软岩；风化岩带是腐岩带的前身，其特征是含有较高数量的核心石。斜坡垂向分带主要是地下水引起的，而这种分带反过来又会强烈影响地下水自身的埋藏与分布。土层可贮存上层滞水，风化岩带则可赋存潜水或承压水。上层滞水是浅层滑坡的主要控制因素。由于形成条件宽松，但规模不大，上层滞水控制的滑坡灾害多具群发性特点，同时，由于其含水介质为松散土体，失稳含水层很容易转化为泥石流。降雨期间，风化岩带内潜水水位上升甚至承压，导致岩体抗剪强度降低并诱发深层滑坡。     

海胆胚胎不同发育期P-糖蛋白(P-glycoprotein)药物外排功能的研究

通过研究添加维拉帕米(Verapamil,VER)后,灭蝇胺(Cyromazine)和杀虫丹(Ethiofencarb)对海胆胚胎致死中浓度(LC50)的变化,探讨了不同发育期海胆胚胎P-糖蛋白(P-glycoprotein,P-gp)的功能.结果表明:灭蝇胺和杀虫丹对海胆胚胎的平均LC50分别为2.50mg·L-1和3.50mg·L-1,在加入0.75μmol·L-1P-gp抑制剂VER后,其LC50平均降低40%～42%,说明海胆胚胎P-gp具有药物外排作用.药物浓度可影响P-gp功能,随药物浓度的升高,P-gp外排功能逐渐减弱,甚至达到饱和.实验同时通过分子模拟方法研究了灭蝇胺和杀虫丹的分子结构特征,实验和理论结果均证实了这两种药物分子为海胆胚胎P-gp的底物.     

围填海的海洋环境影响国内外研究进展

围填海是通过人工修筑堤坝、填埋土石方等工程措施将天然海域空间改变成陆地以拓展社会经济发展空间的人类活动,它是当前我国海岸开发利用的主要形式。大规模围填海在产生巨大的社会经济效益的同时,也给海洋生态环境造成了深远的影响,受到了国内外学者的广泛关注。文章在系统收集了国内外围填海的海洋环境影响研究报道成果的基础上,分别从：①围填海对滨海地形地貌、湿地景观的影响研究;②围填海对近岸海域水动力环境的影响研究;③围填海对滨海湿地退化与生态功能的影响研究;④围填海对近岸海洋生态系统结构与功能的影响;⑤围填海对海洋渔业资源衰退的影响等5个方面深入分析了围填海的海洋环境影响国内外研究进展及其存在的主要问题。并剖析了加强围填海的海洋环境监测与评估,实施围填海的海洋生态环境修复与生态补偿等国际围填海研究新趋势。针对围填海的海洋环境影响国内外研究现状和发展趋势,提出加强对集中连片围填海区域的长期累积效应研究、加强围填海对海洋生态环境结构功能影响过程及机理研究、加强多学科交叉在围填海海洋环境影响方面的综合研究等相关建议。     

海平面上升对珠江口水位影响的分析

珠江三角洲水位变化存在着大量不确定性、不精确性,这些特性既具有模糊特征,也具有灰色特征。在分析珠江三角洲灯笼山站年平均水位的变化特征和闸坡站海平面变化趋势的基础上,利用灰关联法分析代表站灯笼山站年平均水位与流量、海平面、潮差等8个因素的关系,年平均水位与影响因素之间的灰关联度均大于0.7,说明各因子对年平均水位均产生显著影响,其中海平面变化与年平均水位的灰关联度为0.736,说明海平面变化是年平均水位的重要影响因素。选取灰关联度较大的（马＋三）流量、闸坡站海平面、灯笼山站的年最高水位、年最低水位、年平均低潮、年平均潮差这6个指标进行主成分分析。结果表明：第一主成分为径流潮汐作用,第二主成分的代表因素为海平面上升,第三主成分的代表因素为年最高水位;其中海平面上升为代表的第二主成分对年平均水位的贡献率为20.1%。因此,海平面上升对灯笼山站年平均水位的影响虽然弱于径流潮汐作用,但其影响也是显著的。     

Using Ecological Function to Develop Recovery Criteria for Depleted Species: Sea Otters and Kelp Forests in the Aleutian Archipelago

Abstract: Recovery criteria for depleted species or populations normally are based on demographic measures, the goal being to maintain enough individuals over a sufficiently large area to assure a socially tolerable risk of future extinction. Such demographically based recovery criteria may be insufficient to restore the functional roles of strongly interacting species. We explored the idea of developing a recovery criterion for sea otters (Enhydra lutris) in the Aleutian archipelago on the basis of their keystone role in kelp forest ecosystems. We surveyed sea otters and rocky reef habitats at 34 island‐time combinations. The system nearly always existed in either a kelp‐dominated or deforested phase state, which was predictable from sea otter density. We used a resampling analysis of these data to show that the phase state at any particular island can be determined at 95% probability of correct classification with information from as few as six sites. When sea otter population status (and thus the phase state of the kelp forest) was allowed to vary randomly among islands, just 15 islands had to be sampled to estimate the true proportion that were kelp dominated (within 10%) with 90% confidence. We conclude that kelp forest phase state is a more appropriate, sensitive, and cost‐effective measure of sea otter recovery than the more traditional demographically based metrics, and we suggest that similar approaches have broad potential utility in establishing recovery criteria for depleted populations of other functionally important species.