A carbon footprint analysis in the textile supply chain

This research work focuses on the application of life-cycle assessment methodology to determine the carbon footprint of different players involved in a supply chain of the textile sector. A case study of a product by a textile leader company was carried out. This study demonstrates that, in the textile chain, the main contribution to the greenhouse effect is provided by the electrical and thermal energy used and by the transportation (since different production phases are delocalised in a wide range that goes from South Africa, Italy, Romania and all around the world, from the distribution centre to the stores). The Monte Carlo analysis has been used in order to obtain, for each calculated impact, not only the average value but also the distribution curve of the results characterised by uncertainty parameters. Moreover, a sensitivity analysis was carried out to evaluate the impact of management choices such as:

??a change in the transportation modality, from aeroplane to boat;

??a combination of road and rail transportation; and

??a selection among suppliers that allows the firm to cut environmental impacts.     

Phony Facts and Eco-media: Fake Nature and the Call for Widespread Media Literacy

ABSTRACT

Mermaids: The Body Found privileges mythologized creatures in a fictional narrative disguised as a documentary film in order to blur the boundaries between fact and fiction. This franchise’s decisions to value factors of entertainment over educational material are not uncommon in our consumer-driven society, but the film's engagement with fake fact media potentially repositions how audiences think about important conservation issues by overshadowing critical oceanic environmental topics with fake facts. Although today’s viewers are adept in interpreting media, the mermaid franchise’s use of screen genres, corporate websites, and social media saturates viewers with fake facts making it difficult to delineate between authentic science and fictional narrative. Not a quantitative reception study of audiences, this critical analysis of multiple genres of eco-media examines the difference between fake nature documentary and other types of animal programming and mockumentaries emphasizing that the issue is not strictly a question of entertainment factors or even of the subversion of fact and fiction, alone, but that the real issue lies in the franchise’s willingness to participate in an ever-growing media moment in which programming based on fake and alternative facts has the potential to impact how the public thinks about key issues in politics and science.     

HMX的氟橡胶包覆技术及其撞击感度研究

采用超临界流体SAS法,以氟橡胶（FPM2602）为钝化包覆剂,对主体炸药超细奥克托今（HMX）的粒子表面均匀包覆,制备出超细HMX为基传爆药。对系统温度、系统压力、溶液浓度等参数进行实验研究,用红外光谱（FT-IR）和扫描电镜（SEM）对包覆后超细HMX进行了表征,并对其撞击感度进行了测试。结果表明：溶液浓度是影响包覆效果的最主要因素;当系统温度45℃,系统压力9.5MPa,溶液浓度为0.4g/ml,通气时间为20min条件下,氟橡胶均匀包覆在超细HMX颗粒表面,包覆后颗粒呈0.4-1μm球状,包覆后造型粉特性落高H50为38.50cm（12型工具、2.5kg落锤）,撞击感度比原料（H50为26.30cm）明显降低。     

复合装药安全性优选BP神经网络模型

为在设计复合装药结构时得到复合装药的能量输出和安全性双优结构,利用BP人工神经网络理论,建立结构优选模型。利用不同的感度和能量输出试验数据,进行模型的训练,训练后对样本进行预测和优选。结果表明,该方法能够克服评估复合装药结构性能优劣的各因素之间的复杂关系,实现精确的非线性预测,得到安全性和能量输出双优的设计结构。     

矿井通风系统稳定性定量判定方法研究

稳定的矿井通风系统是实现矿井安全高效生产的前提,但是随着采掘工作面的推进,通风网络结构的变化,巷道的冒顶变形等,通风系统的稳定性也随之变化.基于矿井通风系统稳定性的重要性、非线性和时变性,运用Lyapounov(李雅普诺夫)稳定性理论和灵敏度,提出了定量分析判定矿井通风系统稳定性的方法.方法以Lyapounov稳定性分...     

环境因子对土壤微生物呼吸及其温度敏感性变化特征的影响

在田间条件下研究土壤微生物呼吸及其温度敏感性(Q10)的变化特征及其影响因素对准确理解地区的气候变暖潜力具有重要意义.本研究依托长武农田生态试验站的裸地处理,利用土壤碳通量系统(Li～8100)连续6 a (2008～2013年)监测裸地处理下的呼吸速率、土壤温度和水分,探究土壤微生物呼吸及其温度敏感性的变化特征及其影响因素.在日变化尺度上,土壤微生物呼吸速率的变化特征呈单峰曲线,且这种变化趋势主要与土壤温度有关(P 0. 05),然而日平均土壤微生物呼吸速率和Q10在不同土壤水分含量条件下不同.均呈现出:适度的土壤水分条件较高的土壤水分条件较低土壤水分条件的趋势[土壤微生物呼吸速率:1. 20μmol·(m~2·s)~(-1)、0. 95μmol·(m~2·s)~(-1)、0. 79μmol·(m~2·s)~(-1); Q10:2. 12、1. 93、1. 59].在季节尺度上,土壤微生物呼吸速率和Q10均呈现出雨季大于非雨季的趋势[土壤微生物呼吸速率:1. 11μmol·(m~2·s)~(-1)、0. 90μmol·(m~2·s)~(-1); Q10:1. 96、1. 59],且这种变化趋势与土壤温度和水分的变化有关(P 0. 05),然而土壤温度和土壤水分的双变量模型比土壤温度或者土壤水分的单变量模型能解释更多的土壤微生物呼吸季节变异性(R~2:0. 45～0. 82、0. 32～0. 67、0. 35～0. 86;模拟值和实测值的拟合系数:0. 76、0. 64、0. 58).在年际尺度上,年累积土壤微生物呼吸变化于226 g·(m~2·a)~(-1)和298 g·(m~2·a)~(-1)之间,Q10变化于1. 48～1. 94之间,而年累积土壤微生物呼吸和Q10的年际变异性主要与年平均土壤水分含量有关(P 0. 05),且年平均土壤水分别可以解释39%和54%的年累积土壤微生物呼吸和Q10年际变异性.在裸地处理上,土壤有机碳由试验初的6. 5 g·kg~(-1)下降到目前的5. 5 g·kg~(-1),但是年累积土壤微生物呼吸却高达255 g·(m~2·a)~(-1),即裸地处理的呼吸流失量比土壤有机碳的流失量高20倍以上.     

危化品事故情景推演网络构建及关键节点分析*

为有效应对危化品事故发生与演变时存在的动态性及不确定性问题,基于事故演变过程中的关键情景状态及对应孕灾环境、应急活动和处置目标等要素,引入动态贝叶斯网络方法,构建危化品事故情景推演网络,并结合复杂网络知识,对孕灾环境和应急活动2类事故影响因素节点进行敏感性和重要度分析。结果表明:情景推演网络计算的情景节点概率符合事故发生的实际情况,能够对危化品事故在不同孕灾环境和应急救援下的演变路径进行推演,并且分析得到燃烧物、消防力量、火场环境和建筑密度等关键影响因素节点,研究结果可为事故处理提供应急辅助决策支持。     

基于GIS的地震构造信息系统

本文讨论了地震构造信息系统的建造和信息管理。系统是以GIS工具软件ARC/INFO为开发平台建造的,原始资料复盖华北地区的大部,约北纬35～41度,东经109～120度。系统包括活动断裂、破坏性地震、仪器记录地震等信息。本文深入研究了GIS做为信息管理工具的能力,探讨了GIS在地震区划图编制中可能起到的作用。系统能使地震危险分析中信息管理方式、信息管理效率和利用率有质的改进,在某种程度上减小资料利用不充分和人为任意性引起的不确定性。作为一种探索,本文进行了一系列的空间操作和分析,以研究空间特征之间的相关性,并产生新的数据集合。     

Sensitivity Analyses of Spatial Population Viability Analysis Models for Species at Risk and Habitat Conservation Planning

Abstract:  Population viability analysis (PVA) is an effective framework for modeling species- and habitat-recovery efforts, but uncertainty in parameter estimates and model structure can lead to unreliable predictions. Integrating complex and often uncertain information into spatial PVA models requires that comprehensive sensitivity analyses be applied to explore the influence of spatial and nonspatial parameters on model predictions. We reviewed 87 analyses of spatial demographic PVA models of plants and animals to identify common approaches to sensitivity analysis in recent publications. In contrast to best practices recommended in the broader modeling community, sensitivity analyses of spatial PVAs were typically ad hoc, inconsistent, and difficult to compare. Most studies applied local approaches to sensitivity analyses, but few varied multiple parameters simultaneously. A lack of standards for sensitivity analysis and reporting in spatial PVAs has the potential to compromise the ability to learn collectively from PVA results, accurately interpret results in cases where model relationships include nonlinearities and interactions, prioritize monitoring and management actions, and ensure conservation-planning decisions are robust to uncertainties in spatial and nonspatial parameters. Our review underscores the need to develop tools for global sensitivity analysis and apply these to spatial PVA.     

膜生物反应器模型及其对模拟废水的处理

建立了基于ASM3模型的膜生物反应器数学模型,该模型由生物处理部分和膜过滤处理部分构成。使用MATLAB/SIMULINK仿真工具,实现膜生物反应器数学模型的计算机仿真。模型验证的结果表明,根据实际的水力、水质条件适当的选取模型中的参数值后,该模型可以较为准确地对膜生物反应器污水处理过程进行模拟和预测。膜生物反应器模型对于分析膜生物反应器内部的机理、过程以及膜生物反应器的设计和运行有一定的指导作用。