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881.
膜生物反应器工艺污水处理厂设计进水水质的确定   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
城市污水处理厂进水水质是工程设计的基本参数,进水水质的测定分析对污水处理厂的设计具有重要意义。对无锡市城北污水处理厂的现状进水水质进行了调查和分析,提出按照水质指标浓度出现的频率确定污水处理厂设计进水水质的方法,并针对采用的膜生物反应器(MBR)工艺的特点,提出:(1)根据实测数据按照一定的保证概率可以用来确定城市污水处理厂设计进水水质;(2)为了使水质的确定更加符合设计工程的实际情况,根据实测数据分析确定设计进水水质指标时,一般还需要进行趋势性调整和季节性调整;(3)确定合理的指标浓度与流量,以此为依据进行反应池的工艺设计,同时要校核夏季温度高、浓度低、流量大和冬季温度低、浓度高、流量小的工况是否满足处理要求,然后取冬、夏季校核值以及未作季节性调整设计值中最不利情况作为设计值,才能充分保证出水达到处理要求。  相似文献   
882.
克拉玛依市大气降水化学的统计学分析   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
刘欣 《干旱环境监测》2011,25(3):153-156
运用相关分析、因子分析和聚类分析等统计学分析方法,对2009—2010年新疆克拉玛依市的大气降水化学组成和分布特征进行分析。结果表明,SO4^2-、Cl^-、Ca^2+和Na^+是降水中主要离子。降水的pH值、电导率、降水量和各离子组份均呈现明显的正偏态分布,降水样品以低离子含量的样本为主,因子分析和聚类分析2种分类方法分析降水中水溶性离子主要分为3类。SO4^2-、Cl^-、Mg^2+、F^-主要来自人为活动的贡献,K^+、Ca^2+主要来源于土壤和沙尘等地壳,H^+与其他阴、阳离子间并未表现出明显的相关关系,表明研究区域的降水酸度是所有致酸离子和各种离子综合作用的结果,而不是降水中某个单一的离子组份确定的。  相似文献   
883.
884.
  总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
Abstract:  A major challenge facing pest-eradication efforts is determining when eradication has been achieved. When the pest can no longer be detected, managers have to decide whether the pest has actually been eliminated and hence to decide when to terminate the eradication program. For most eradication programs, this decision entails considerable risk and is the largest single issue facing managers of such programs. We addressed this issue for an eradication program of feral pigs ( Sus scrofa ) from Santa Cruz Island, California. Using a Bayesian approach, we estimated the degree of confidence in the success of the eradication program at the point when monitoring failed to detect any more pigs. Catch-effort modeling of the hunting effort required to dispatch pigs during the eradication program was used to determine the relationship between detection probability and searching effort for different hunting methods. We then used these relationships to estimate the amount of monitoring effort required to declare eradication successful with criteria that either set a threshold for the probability that pigs remained undetected (type I error) or minimized the net expected costs of the eradication program (cost of type I and II errors). For aerial and ground-based monitoring techniques, the amount of search effort required to declare eradication successful on the basis of either criterion was highly dependent on the prior belief in the success of the program unless monitoring intensities exceeded 30 km of searching effort per square kilometer of search area for aerial monitoring and, equivalently, 38 km for ground monitoring. Calculation of these criteria to gauge the success of eradication should form an essential component of any eradication program as it allows for a transparent assessment of the risks inherent in the decision to terminate the program.  相似文献   
885.
一般用t检验和方差分析对水质监测中多项指标进行评价分析,有是会得不到确切的结果。应用多元统计分析中HetellinmgT^2检验法进行分析得到了满意结果。以两个年度水质监测5项指标的监测数据为例,同时用t检验和HeltellingT^2检测进行评价分析,结果表明,HetellingT^2检验具有更好的实用性和合理性。  相似文献   
886.
ABSTRACT: A strategy for formulating and testing the Poisson partial duration extreme value model is presented. The procedure is demonstrated using recorded Streamflow series from a humid subtropical region of the southern United States. The observed data series are partitioned by climatic causes and tested for both the Poisson assumption and the validity of the exponential as marginal distributions. Several statistical tests are utilized in making these determinations. Some important aspects of the model as applied to humid climates are demonstrated. It was found that a majority of Streamflow series could be represented by the model and that significant differences do exist between the arrival structures of floods resulting from different climatic mechanisms. However, these differences generally do not exist in the distribution of the flood magnitudes. In addition, it is possible that model validity is restricted by drainage basin size.  相似文献   
887.
ABSTRACT: The Montana Department of Natural Resources and Conservation developed a hydrologic model to help analyze the effects of allocating water for consumptive and instream uses in the upper Missouri River basin of Montana. The model, a PC-based FORTRAN program, uses a mass-balance approach to compute monthly streamflows, reservoir operations, hydropower production, and irrigation and municipal water uses throughout the 54,000 square mile basin for a 59-year base period. Simulation results are presented as monthly mean and percentile-exceedence values. The model was run for baseline conditions and six hypothetical water-allocation alternatives. Results were used by staff resource area specialists to assess potential impacts to water quantity and distribution, water rights, water quality, stream channel form, fisheries, wildlife, recreation, hydropower production, and economics. These analyses were presented to the public and the decision-making board in an environmental impact statement (EIS). Though, in many instances, the model did not allow for detailed, site-specific analyses, the model was an important tool and its simulation results formed the hydrologic basis for the EIS.  相似文献   
888.
    
ABSTRACT: A continuous simulation approach is proposed for estimating water temperature exceedance probabilities using thermo-hydrodynamic modeling. The approach uses (1) a deterministic unsteady flow and heat transport model, (2) continuous hydrological and meteorological data for a long historical period, and (3) synthetic records of tributary water temperatures and other model inputs. Representative historical records of streamflow, air temperatures, and other hydrometeorological variables are obtained from nearby gages. Stochastic modeling methods are used to construct synthetic records for other model inputs, including inflow water temperatures. An application of this deterministic-stochastic approach is presented for a complex waterway in northeastern Illinois with heat discharges from several power plants and wastewater treatment plants. Statistical results from the continuous simulations are compared to results obtained from traditional event simulations. The application illustrates the information that engineers and biologists can obtain for (1) evaluating compliance with water temperature standards, and (2) assessing the effect of water temperatures on aquatic habitat.  相似文献   
889.
ABSTRACT: A model of comprehensive environmental monitoring process with integral quality assurance is presented. This model views the monitoring process as iterative cycles of a series of elements: design, plan, protocols, preparation, field liaison, sample collection, sample handling, laboratory analysis, data transmission, data validation, data approval, data provision, statistical analysis, and reporting. Quality assurance is linked to each element, not just to laboratory analysis. The program of quality assurance ensures that environmental monitoring data are compatible with the project goals, are comparable between various sampling agencies, and maintain a high degree of scientific credibility. The key characteristics of the overall quality assurance process are detailed documentation, timely resolution of problems, regular reporting, and routine independent audits.  相似文献   
890.
    
In air pollution epidemiology, measurements of relevant exposure concentrations are typically made at point locations, resulting in spatial misalignment between the exposure data and health outcomes aggregated at the area level. To obtain values that match the spatial units of the health data, observations can be averaged directly or prediction models developed. We present a framework for evaluating the error in aggregating exposure concentrations to the area unit. We present estimators of mean squared error that can be used for model selection. We find that exposure prediction models, even when misspecified, outperform monitor averages in settings with realistic numbers of monitors and that important reductions in error of the health effect estimate can be obtained when restricting to areas with a monitor. In an analysis of long‐term particulate matter concentrations across the United States, we estimated the error of the prediction model approach to be less than that of the monitor averaging approach on average across counties. We present health effect estimates about particulate matter exposure and pediatric asthma morbidity in the Medicaid population using each approach. Our findings support the use of a prediction model for estimating area‐wide averages, even when restricting to areas that contain a monitor.  相似文献   
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