北京市PM2.5时空分布特征及其与PM10关系的时空变异特征

PM_(2.5)时空分布特征及其与其它污染物的相关关系是PM_(2.5)时空统计分析的主要研究内容.然而,现有的方法直接从监测站点的角度对时空分布特征进行分析,难以有效地揭示PM_(2.5)浓度的聚集分布特征;同时,常用的地理加权回归在对PM_(2.5)与其它污染物间关系进行建模的过程中,缺乏同时考虑时间异质性与空间异质性,从而不能准确地描述依赖关系的时空变异特征.为此,首先借助于空间聚类分析技术,对北京市2014年PM_(2.5)浓度的聚集结构进行探测,在此基础上,通过聚集结构来分析PM_(2.5)季节性时空分布特征.然后,利用地理时空加权回归对北京市PM_(2.5)与PM_(10)季节平均浓度间关系进行建模,依据回归结果分析PM_(2.5)-PM_(10)间关系的时空变异特征.实验结果表明,春夏季节PM_(2.5)污染程度及空间变异程度均低于秋冬季节,各季节PM_(2.5)浓度均表现为北部浓度低、南部浓度高的空间分布特征;地理时空加权回归具有更好的拟合效果,由回归系数进一步可发现,春夏季PM_(2.5)-PM_(10)相关性低于秋冬季PM_(2.5)-PM_(10)相关性;各季节均表现为西北部PM_(2.5)-PM_(10)的相关性高于东南部PM_(2.5)-PM_(10)的相关性.     

Structure and Differentiation of Spruce Populations in Eastern Europe and Western Siberia

The structures and differentiation patterns of the Norway spruce (Picea abies) and Siberian spruce (P. obovata) populations have been studied in a wide area, including the transition zone of their continuous geographic range. The areas occupied by transitional populations have been detected. Series of distinct populations of the Norway and Siberian spruces are located to the west and east of them, respectively.     

Evidence for sexy sons in European starlings (Sturnus vulgaris)

The sexy son hypothesis suggests that females obtain future fitness benefits from mating with polygynous males through the inheritance by their sons of traits contributing to mating success. We tested this hypothesis in the facultatively polygynous European starling (Sturnus vulgaris) in two ways. We first compared sons of monogynous and polygynous free-living males for their abilities in nest site acquisition and female-directed behaviors in controlled aviary tests. We then investigated eggs laid in monogynous and polygynous matings for concentrations of maternal steroid hormones that could affect behavioral differentiation of sons. Sons of polygynous fathers defended more nest boxes and produced more courtship song than sons of monogynous fathers. Mean concentrations of maternal androstenedione (A4), 5-dihydrotestosterone (DHT), testosterone (T), and 17-estradiol (E) in yolks were not affected by mating status. However, the within-clutch pattern of A₄ depended on mating status, with higher concentrations in last than in first eggs of clutches of monogynous but not polygynous matings. These results suggest that (1) sons may inherit from their fathers behavioral qualities for the successful acquisition of nest sites and attraction of mates; (2) differential exposure to maternal steroid hormones during development in the egg is unlikely the cause of the behavioral differences between adult sons of monogynous and polygynous fathers; and (3) females adjust the within-clutch pattern of androgen to mating status, possibly in response to the expected contribution of their mate to nestling care.     

Gradient Genogeographic Analysis of <Emphasis Type="Italic">Pinus sylvestris</Emphasis> L. Populations in Europe

Gradients of Nei's genetic distances between 15 samples of Pinus sylvestris L. trees were analyzed along three submeridional transects, from Scandinavia to the Mediterranean and Transcaucasia. As a result, distinct chorogenetic differentiation was revealed between the populations of this species growing in climatically specific regions of northern and southern Europe. Considerable Nei's distances (DN = 0.045–0.056) and their gradients, combined with differences in stable phenotypic characters (the composition of monoterpenes and morphological parameters of cones) determined at the Pyrenean and Caucasian mountain borders, suggest that the P. sylvestris species structure includes two South Eurasian subspecies, the Pyrenean P. sylvestris L., ssp. iberica Svoboda and the Transcaucasian P. sylvestris L., ssp. hamata (Stev.) Fomin.     

基于核密度估计的清代中国自然灾害时空分布特征

基于《清史·灾赈志》中的历史灾害信息,提取清代（1644-1911年）自然灾害共24 537县次,重建逐年灾害频次序列,以核密度估计法对5类主要灾害（水灾、旱灾、蝗灾、疫灾、冷害）的空间分布特征进行分析。结果表明:清代自然灾害频次序列没有明显的趋势性特征,而体现为阶段性波动,基于灾害频次30年滑动平均值可提取出4个峰值时段（1644-1673、1721-1750、1812-1841和1872-1901年）;相比于现代,清代灾害类型更加集中在农业灾害,最为多发的是水灾和旱灾,合计占总数的近80%,其次是蝗灾、疫灾和冷害;灾害最为多发的高风险区分布在黄淮海平原和长江三角洲,前者集中了水灾、旱灾、蝗灾的极端多发区,后者除了水旱多发,还是疫灾和冷害的极端多发区; 4个峰值时段的灾种类型组合和灾害多发区均有明显差异,时空变化受到致灾因子、暴露度和脆弱性因素的共同作用。上述工作有助于更好地认识历史灾害发生规律,对于当前及未来的防灾减灾工作具有重要参考价值。     

天津市土壤元素背景值的地域差异及成因分析

论述了天津土壤中Cu,Pb等13种微量元素背景值在行政区，土壤类型中的差异规律，并分析了引起元素背景值地域差异的原因。     

不同分化形态的嗜肺军团菌对嗜热四膜虫BF1的感染和胞内增殖特征

嗜肺军团菌是一种广泛分布于淡水生态环境中的条件性胞内致病菌,其不同的分化形态与菌体的存活、感染力和毒力有密切关系.本文对不同分化形态的表达绿色荧光蛋白的嗜肺军团菌在不同感染复数(multiplicityofinfec-tion,MOI)下感染嗜热四膜虫BF1株的条件以及胞内增殖的特征进行了研究.结果表明,胞内的军团菌比大肠杆菌有更强的抗消化能力,30℃时处于对数生长期的嗜肺军团菌即使在MOI等于100的情况下仍然在24h内被四膜虫消化殆尽,而平板培养至稳定期的菌体即使MOI只有50即可实现胞内增殖,并在18h内使宿主数量急剧下降.饲喂军团菌后,四膜虫都有一个数量先上升的过程,然后依MOI的不同呈现稳定或下降的趋势.本文还通过荧光显微镜观察描述了一定MOI下四膜虫对稳定期菌体的消化和形态变化的动态过程.图7参14     

基于SPSS的苏北地区可持续发展能力空间分异研究

以区域可持续发展能力建设为切入点,结合苏北地区的实际,建立适合该地区的可持续发展能力评价指标体系,然后运用SPSS软件的因子分析和聚类分析的方法,对苏北地区可持续发展能力进行综合评价。结果表明,区内各县市可持续发展能力差异较大,但其空间分异呈现出某些特征:经济可持续发展能力呈现由地区东南部向中间递减的“一”字型空间格局;资源环境可持续发展能力呈现由地区中部分别向东、向西递减的“凸”字型空间格局;社会可持续发展能力呈“M”字型空间格局;综合可持续发展能力呈“H”字型空间格局;以中心城市为核心,可持续发展能力向周边呈辐射状递减趋势。根据这些空间分异特征,提出了一些促进苏北地区可持续发展能力建设的建议。     

A nonparametric procedure for analyzing repeated measures of spatially correlated data

Many agricultural, biological, and environmental studies involve detecting temporal changes of a response variable, based on data observed at sampling sites in a spatial region and repeatedly over several time points. That is, data are repeated measures over time and are potentially correlated across space. The traditional repeated-measures analysis allows for time dependence but assumes that the observations at different sampling sites are mutually independent, which may not be suitable for field data that are correlated across space. In this paper, a nonparametric large-sample inference procedure is developed to assess the time effects while accounting for the spatial dependence using a block bootstrap. For illustration, the methodology is applied to describe the population changes of root-lesion nematodes over time in a production field in Wisconsin.     

中国城市PM2.5时空动态变化特征分析:2015-2017年

近年来我国雾霾事件频发.采用2015-2017年全国329个地级及以上城市PM_2.5浓度每小时监测数据,利用全域空间自相关法、自然正交函数和空间描述统计分析的方法,从时空视角来揭示PM_2.5浓度的时间动态变化规律以及空间分布特征.研究发现：①从全国范围内来看,PM_2.5浓度均值逐年降低,降幅最高为夏季,最低为冬季,PM_2.5浓度位于40~60 μg·m^-3之间的城市降幅较大.PM_2.5浓度年内表现为"冬高夏低,春秋居中"的时间动态变化规律,且各年PM_2.5浓度达优良率不断提高.②细颗粒物污染改善程度最大的为德州,京津冀城市群和长三角城市群改善程度居中.全国PM_2.5污染范围逐年缩小,但新疆西部和冀鲁豫仍为高污染区,西南和东南沿海地区为低污染区.各区域污染的空间集聚逐年缩小.优良达标率在空间分布特征上无显著变化.③"大气十条"部分指标已完成,未来细颗粒物污染治理重点区域仍以京津冀地区为核心.在防治空气污染方面,必须加强区域联防联控机制.