Trends in anecdotal fox sightings in Tasmania accounted for by psychological factors

There has been little evaluation of anecdotal sightings as a means to confirm new incursions of invasive species. This paper explores the potential for equivocal information communicated by the media to account for patterns of anecdotal reports. In 2001, it was widely reported that red foxes (Vulpes vulpes) had been deliberately released in the island state of Tasmania (Australia), although this claim was later revealed to be baseless. Regardless, by 2013 a total of 3153 anecdotal fox sightings had been reported by members of the public, which implied their distribution was wide. For each month in 2001–2003, we defined a monthly media index (MMI) of fox‐related media coverage, an index of their relative seasonal abundance (abundance), and a factor denoting claims of fox evidence (claimed evidence) regardless of its evidentiary quality. We fitted a generalized linear model with Poisson error for monthly totals of anecdotal sightings with factors of year and claimed evidence and covariates of MMI, abundance, and hours of darkness. The collective effect of psychological factors (MMI, claimed evidence, and year) relative to biophysical factors (photoperiod and abundance) was highly significant (χ² = 122.1, df = 6, p < 0.0001), whereas anticipated changes in abundance had no significant influence on reported sightings (p = 0.15). An annual index of fox media from 2001 to 2010 was strongly associated with the yearly tally of anecdotal sightings (p = 0.018). The odds ratio of sightings ranked as reliable by the fox eradication program in any year decreased exponentially at a rate of 0.00643 as the total number of sightings increased (p < 0.0001) and was indicative of an observer‐expectancy bias. Our results suggest anecdotal sightings are highly susceptible to cognitive biases and when used to qualify and quantify species presence can contribute to flawed risk assessments.     

基于可能-概率测度转换的危险品运输风险分析

为解决不确定环境下的风险分析问题,针对危险货物运输中风险参数具有不确定性、随机性和模糊性的特点,建立基于概率测度-可能性测度转换原则和模糊逻辑的危险货物运输风险分析方法。首先对具有模糊性的参数直接建立模糊数,对具有随机性的参数建立随机数;接着依据概率测度向可能性测度转换的最优原则,将随机数转换为模糊数;然后根据模糊运算法则进行风险计算和分析。最后通过一个算例验证了模型和算法的有效性。结果表明,提出的方法能处理随机和模糊环境下的风险分析问题,能为风险分析尽可能多地保留不确定性信息,尽可能少地丢失有用信息。     

莱钢1~# 1880m~3高炉出铁场除尘系统改造

对1 880 m3高炉出铁场除尘系统存在问题进行分析,查找制约原有系统除尘效果的原因,并利用技术改造,提高系统风量和除尘效果,有效地降低了岗位粉尘浓度,改善了现场周围环境,取得了较好的社会效益和环保效益.     

Influence of Care of Domestic Carnivores on Their Predation on Vertebrates

Abstract: Domestic dogs (Canis familiaris) and cats (Felis catus) are the most abundant mammalian carnivores worldwide. Given that domestic carnivores rely on human‐provided food, their densities are usually independent of prey densities. Nevertheless, underfed pets may need to hunt to meet their energetic and nutritional requirements. We explored the effects of different levels of care (provision of food) of dogs and cats on their predation rates on wild vertebrates in 2 areas of southern Chile. We interviewed cat and dog owners and analyzed prey remains in scats of pets to examine how domestic dogs and cats were managed and to gather information on the wild vertebrates killed and harassed by pets. We used logistic regression to examine the association between pet care and the frequency of wild vertebrate remains in scats. The probability of a dog preying on vertebrates was higher for poorly fed than for adequately fed dogs (odds ratio = 3.7) and for poorly fed than for adequately fed cats (odds ratio = 4.7). Domestic dogs and cats preyed on most endemic and threatened mammals present in the study sites. Our results provide support for the hypothesis that the less care domestic animals receive from owners the higher the probability those animals will prey on wild vertebrates.     

新型电除尘技术在200MW机组改造上的应用

介绍了国电双鸭山发电有限公司2号炉200MW机组除尘系统改造项目（原水膜除尘器改造为电除尘器）。由于受场地限制,常规结构除尘器难以布置,故采用EEII-G新型电除尘器,该除尘器是在EEII型电除尘器技术基础上进行了优化改进,较好地利用了现场空间,也取得了满意的除尘效果。     

吡啶降解菌中质粒的功能探讨

为了探讨吡啶降解菌质粒的特性及其与降解的关系,对降解吡啶的2株细菌Paracoccus sp.BW001及Shinellazoogloeoides BC026进行了质粒提取和脉冲电泳实验,确定BW001含有2个190～245kb的大质粒和1个4.5～5.0kb的小质粒,而BC026含有至少3个超过200kb的大质粒.通过高温-SDS法对含有质粒的2株菌进行质粒消除实验,发现质粒消除后的细菌不再降解吡啶,推测降解吡啶的基因可能存在于质粒上.通过电转化将Paracoccus sp.BW001的质粒转入E.coli5α中,发现转化后的菌株具有耐受吡啶的特性.     

沿面放电氧活性物质注入协同SCR脱除烟气中NO_x

为了提高选择性催化还原(SCR)在低温区(200℃)的脱硝性能,提出利用插在烟道中的沿面放电反应器生成氧活性物质,部分氧化NO以实现低温快速SCR脱硝过程.同时,研究了氧活性物质注入实现快速SCR的脱硝性能,考察了氧活性物质注入降低二氧化硫和水蒸汽对SCR反应的影响.实验结果表明:在模拟烟气温度为150℃时,采用氧活性物质注入,部分氧化烟气中的NO以实现快速SCR反应条件下(NO/NO2浓度比为1),脱硝效率为51.9%,比标准SCR提升23%;当模拟烟气中存在SO2或H2O时,氧活性物质注入可有效降低SO2、H2O对SCR脱硝效率的影响.     

圆形巷道围岩弹性应力场的复变函数解析

为得出圆形巷道围岩弹性应力分布特征,采用复变函数对圆形巷道围岩弹性应力进行解析,得到了与应力函数解法相同的应力场解析表达式,证明了复变函数解法求解巷道围岩应力场的可行性.对圆形巷道边界应力分布规律及沿水平线的应力分布规律进行了分析,结果表明:1)圆形巷道边界的径向应力和剪应力等于0,环向应力集中系数随侧压系数和位置角度变化而变化,与巷道半径无关;2)沿水平线的圆形巷道围岩剪应力等于0,径向应力和环向应力集中系数随侧压力系数和巷道半径变化而变化;3)沿水平线方向,侧压系数对巷道围岩径向应力的影响大于环向应力影响.还分析了侧压系数对巷道围岩应力的影响规律,讨论了侧压系数等于0、大于0小于1、等于1和大于1等4种情况下的巷道边界环向应力分布情况,得出了巷道边界环向应力的拉压区域及环向应力集中系数最大位置.     

重庆缙云山降水中不同形态汞的含量及其沉降量

于2013年4月至2014年3月连续1 a,利用湿沉降自动采样器采集了重庆缙云山的雨水样品,分析了样品中不同形态汞的含量,并计算其沉降量.结果表明,降水中总汞(THg)、溶解态汞(DHg)、颗粒态汞(PHg)、活性汞(RHg)、总甲基汞(Me Hg)、溶解态甲基汞(DMe Hg)、颗粒态甲基汞(PMe Hg)的含量范围分别为7.47~120.11、2.51~43.03、2.28~77.99、0.14~15.14、2.58×10-2~101.62×10-2、0.30×10-2~72.29×10-2、1.45×10-2~63.55×10-2ng·L-1.在计算各形态汞体积加权平均含量(VWM)的基础上,分别算出其年沉降通量为:42.71、23.51、19.20、5.87、0.61、0.34、0.27μg·(m2·a)-1.Me Hg占THg的比例是0.07%~3.79%(平均1.34%),而PHg占THg的比例以及PMe Hg占Me Hg的比例分别是10.49%~89.30%(平均49.95%)、4.31%~98.86%(平均43.14%).除Me Hg外,其它形态汞的含量和沉降量都表现出了明显的季节变化特征,THg、DHg、PHg的含量均为冬季最高而夏季最低,RHg的含量在春冬季明显高于秋夏季.THg、DHg、Me Hg、DMe Hg的沉降量与降雨量具有相同的季节变化趋势,均为春季夏季秋季冬季,RHg的沉降量也是春季最大,而冬季最小.缙云山大气汞沉降不仅受到降雨量、降雨频率以及其它气象条件的影响,也受到了人为活动的干扰.     

扰动和加藻共同作用下太湖沉积物中形态磷变化规律

为了阐明反复扰动下,不同初始浓度藻对沉积物中各形态磷释放的影响.以太湖梅梁湾沉积物和上覆水作为研究材料,探讨了扰动和藻类共同作用下沉积物中各形态磷的变化规律.结果表明,无扰动状态下,NH4Cl-P和Res-P均有所降低,而Fe/Al-P和Ca-P则有所增加.其中,Ca-P随藻类初始浓度增加而增加,分别增加48%、66%、74%.但是,扰动状态下,NH4Cl-P和Res-P也明显降低.Fe/Al-P明显增加,其占总磷的百分比为66.2%(3组试验的平均值)高于不扰动状态(53.4%,3组试验的平均值);此外,Ca-P占总磷的百分比为24.1%(3组扰动试验的平均值)明显低于不扰动状态(33.0%,3组试验的平均值).这暗示了扰动和藻类共同作用下促进了Fe/Al-P的形成,而无扰动下藻类却促进了Ca-P的形成.