复合固体推进剂定应变‒温度循环加速试验方法研究

目的 建立复合固体定应变–温度循环加速试验方法。方法 采用MSC.PATRAN有限元分析软件,仿真计算某型贴壁浇铸固体火箭发动机从零应力温度(68 ℃)固化降温至常温(20 ℃)的极值点von Mises应变最大值,利用自制应变加载装置对复合固体推进剂施加定应变。分析固体火箭发动机长期库房贮存的温度变化规律,在兼顾模拟性和加速性的基础上,设计并开展复合固体推进剂在4组不同应力水平下的温度循环加速试验。选用合适的性能退化模型和加速寿命模型,评估复合固体推进剂的可靠库房贮存寿命。结果 某型固体火箭发动机从零应力温度固化降温至常温的极值点von Mises应变最大值为9.4%,复合固体推进剂4组温度循环加速试验的最高试验温度分别为75、75、60、60 ℃,温差分别为5、10、15 ℃,单个循环时长均为24 h。复合固体推进剂在4组温度循环加速试验条件下的老化性能参数均为最大抗拉强度保留率,且在置信度为0.9时,其退化规律均符合指数型性能老化数学模型。结合失效临界值,计算出置信度0.9时的最低加速寿命分别为59、100、203、342 d。基于修正Coffin-Manson模型,利用多元回归分析方法,计算得到复合固体推进剂在长期库房贮存环境(最高温度298 K,年平均温差15 K)下,置信度0.9时的最低贮存寿命为20 a。结论 在兼顾模拟性和加速性的基础上,建立了复合固体推进剂定应变?温度循环加速试验方法,并利用指数型性能退化模型和修正Coffin-Manson加速寿命模型,快速获得复合固体推进剂的最低库房贮存寿命,为下一步开展固体火箭发动机装药贮存寿命预估奠定基础。     

Natural food resources bank in the form of forestry and grassland: Scenarios to ensure sustainable food security

An evaluation was conducted to establish the feasibility of a Natural Food Resources Bank (NFRB), in the form of forestry or grassland, to achieve both continuous food production and an accumulation of primary nutrients in living perennial plants. The development of an NFRB protects our living environment from deterioration (especially soil erosion) by increasing the surface coverage of the world's land, even in mountainous areas. Additionally a functioning NFRB enhances food sustainably and security, representing a tangible and renewable food resource production system. Research has identified the prospects of cultivating the NFRB in the form of forestry and also grassland. The review investigated the distinct differences of an NFRB from a range of approaches and discusses the environmental advantage and feasibility of cultivating NFRB. The ability of the NFRB to realize sustainable food resources production for ensuring food security is evaluated in terms of environmental and economical feasibility. A NFRB can attenuate climatic change by increasing CO₂ absorption and fixation. It is worth considering the replacement of the annual food production system by the NFRB (especially in steeplands) in environmental law, and replacing the policy of maintaining annual food reserves by the NFRB in food security policy.     

化工企业储运系统恒功率电伴热带的应用及风险控制

通过不同类型电伴热带的特性比较,分析化工储运的生产特点和对电伴热适应性要求,找出储运系统电伴热应用过程存在的主要风险因素,从风险控制的角度提出恒功率电伴热带的方案设计、安装、运行管理、故障排除、应急管理5个方面的优化措施,以提高恒功率电伴热系统的安全性、稳定性。     

长期贮存枪械性能综合评定方法

目的研究长期贮存枪械性能综合评定方法。方法综合调研,研究建立枪械长期贮存性能综合评定指标体系,依据指标体系,确定数据采集项目,获得枪械长贮性能基础数据,结合失效阈值与贮存寿命指标,综合评估枪械贮存性能。结果形成的评定方法包括评定原理、合格判据、指导原则、评定步骤等4个方面。结论该方法适用于新研枪械的长贮环境适应性设计与改进、长贮枪械的寿命指标考核与验证。     

基于Bayes的导弹加速贮存试验参数估计

目的研究导弹加速贮存寿命试验中的参数估计问题。方法拟在小子样的情况下,设计一系列反复连续的导弹加速贮存仿真试验,将前一试验的结果作为之后试验的先验分布,基于Bayes方法建立导弹加速贮存寿命模型,给出贮存寿命参数估计算法,探讨导弹贮存可靠性评估方法。结果算例给出贮存寿命参数的极大似然估计,利用RBA方法对参数估计值进行降偏修正,得出参数的修正似然估计值,给出导弹贮存可靠度。给出的参数估计在均方误差意义下结果较优。结论序列试验Bayes算法易行、精度高,可有效对导弹贮存可靠性进行评估。     

液氨储罐泄漏扩散模型的改进研究

针对液氨储罐孔洞泄漏的实际工况,综合考虑泄漏及由于泄漏导致液氨闪蒸造成 的罐压变化,以及储罐的许用压力,对其连续泄漏过程进行了分析,以此改进现有的泄漏扩 散后果分析模型,获得较忽略这些因素更为严重的后果.最后针对灾难性事故发生前连续泄 漏最大持续时间的影响因素进行了分析.结果表明,环境温度与初始罐压对其影响较大,是决定...     

Controls on sediment delivery in coastal plain rivers

Rivers crossing coastal plains are often inefficient conveyors of sediment, so that changes in upstream sediment dynamics are not evident at the river mouth. Extensive accommodation space and low stream power often result in extensive alluvial storage upstream of estuaries and correspondingly low sediment loads at the river mouth. However, gaging stations with sediment records are typically well upstream of the coast, and thus tend to overestimate sediment yields by under-representing the lower coastal plain and because there is often a net loss of sediment in lower coastal plain reaches. Studies of alluvial sediment storage have generally focused on accommodation space, but, using examples from Texas, we show that low transport capacity controlled largely by slope is a crucial factor.     

城市小区雨水利用的模拟分析

选取天津市某小区,采用美国环保署开发的SWMM模型,模拟得出小区在开发建设前后的区域出口流量过程线和总径流量,分析评价了蓄水池和下凹绿地对小区雨水径流情况的影响。计算满足建设用地外排雨水设计流量不大于开发建设前水平这一条件时,蓄水池的设计体积和下凹绿地的面积以及下凹深度。模拟结果表明,蓄水池和下凹绿地可同时消减洪峰,推...     

基于连锁效应化工储罐区火灾爆炸定量风险评价

综合考虑热辐射、爆炸冲击波和爆炸碎片引发不同类型目标装置的连锁破坏效应,建立了基于连锁效应的化工储罐区火灾爆炸定量风险评价流程.结合实例分析,证明了装置之间的连锁效应已经成为影响装置本身及区域整体风险的关键因素.     

Experts’ attitudes towards CCS technologies in Spain

This paper presents the results from a survey on experts’ attitudes towards the development of CCS technologies in Spain. This is the first study carried out in Spain intending to report an empirical analysis of stakeholder perceptions on the risks, challenges and barriers facing CCS deployment. Results show a positive attitude towards CCS implementation in Spain. Experts are concerned about the suitability of storage sites, safety and capture costs. They tend to support CCS as a bridging solution to climate change, and have a general low level of perceived risk from CCS. Experts’ risk perception is influenced, to some extent, by general values and beliefs as well as by sociodemographics and, to a lesser extent, by group membership.