地膜覆盖和施氮对菜地CO2通量的影响

为了探讨地膜覆盖和不同施氮处理对菜地生态系统CO₂净交换通量（Net CO₂ Ecosystem Exchange,简称NEE）、生态系统呼吸通量（Ecosystem Respiration,简称ER）及总初级生产力（Gross Primary Productivity,简称GPP）的影响,以辣椒-萝卜轮作菜地为研究对象,采用静态明/暗箱-气相色谱法,进行了为期1 a（2014年5月-2015年4月）的田间原位观测.试验设置8个处理,分别为常规无氮（CN0）、覆膜无氮（MN0）、常规低氮（CN1）、覆膜低氮（MN1）、常规中氮（CN2）、覆膜中氮（MN2）、常规高氮（CN3）、覆膜高氮（MN3）.结果表明,辣椒季累积NEE最大值分别为CN3和MN3处理下的-30.96和-29.83 t·hm^-2,累积ER排放量最大值分别为CN1和MN1处理下的40.18和39.16 t·hm^-2,累积GPP最大值分别为CN3和MN3处理下的70.60和68.61 t·hm^-2;萝卜季累积NEE最大值分别为CN3和MN3处理下的-22.25和-24.88 t·hm^-2,累积ER排放量最大值分别为CN2和MN2处理下的17.00和19.43 t·hm^-2,累积GPP最大值分别为CN3和MN3处理下的37.92和43.80 t·hm^-2.在两个生长季中,覆膜及覆膜和施氮的交互作用只对辣椒季中ER有显著影响,对于NEE和GPP均无显著影响（p>0.05）;施氮显著提高了菜地生态系统NEE和GPP而降低了辣椒季ER（p<0.05）,并且这种增加或降低效应随着施氮量的提高而逐渐增强.本研究中菜地呈现碳汇并随着施氮水平的提高碳汇逐渐增强,而覆膜对CO₂固定无显著影响,表明常规高氮的农田管理措施能够提高西南地区代表性的辣椒-萝卜轮作菜地的固碳潜力,对该地区农田生态系统碳的源/汇功能具有一定的参考意义.     

面向碳中和的中国低碳国土开发利用

基于IPAT和IBIS模型在预测人为碳排放和陆地生态系统碳汇的基础上,探讨了中国2060年实现碳中和的可行性以及不同土地利用方式承载的碳汇分布。2060年我国人为碳排放预计为0.86 Pg C yr ^-1;IPCC报告中RCP 2.6和RCP 6.0情景的陆地生态系统分别中和33%和38%的人为碳排放。2060年林地、草地、耕地是陆地生态系统碳汇主要贡献者,占93%;与2030年比,在RCP 2.6情景下林地和草地的碳汇贡献分别下降10%和8%,而耕地上升18%;RCP 6.0情景下林地和草地的贡献分别下降7%和2%,而耕地上升4%。但若按2051—2060年间两种情景下的最高年份（2055年）的碳汇计,则分别可以中和65%、82%的人为碳排放。据此,提出为实现2060年碳中和,应以碳承载力为基础,聚焦区域国土空间规划和建设用地开发规模,对土地利用转变进行严格管控,探索制订土地利用碳排放标准。     

Environmental,economic and social costs and benefits of a packaging waste management system: A Portuguese case study

The impact of the management of packaging waste on the environment, economic growth and job creation is analyzed in this paper. This integrated assessment intends to cover a gap in the literature for this type of studies, using the specific case study of the Portuguese packaging waste management system (SIGRE).The net environmental benefits associated with the management of packaging waste, are calculated using the Life Cycle Assessment methodology. The results show that, for the categories studied, the impacts associated to SIGRE's various activities are surpassed by the benefits associated to material and energy recovery, with special focus on recycling. For example, in 2011 SIGRE avoided the emission of 116 kt CO₂ equiv. – the equivalent carbon emission of the electricity consumption of 124.000 households in Portugal.The economic impact of SIGRE is evaluated through Input–Output Analysis. It was found that SIGRE's activities also have a significant economic impact. For example, their added value are ranked amongst the upper third of the economic activities with highest multiplier effect at national level: this means that for each Euro of value added generated within SIGRE, 1.25 additional € are added to the rest of the economy (multiplier effect of 2.25).Regarding the social impacts of SIGRE, the number of direct jobs associated with the system is estimated to be more than two thousand and three hundred workers. Out of these, 83% are connected to the management of municipal waste packaging (selective collection and sorting), 15% are connected to the management of non-municipal packaging waste and only 2% are connected to the Sociedade Ponto Verde (SPV, green dot society in English) – the management entity responsible for SIGRE.In general terms, the results obtained provide quantitative support to the EEA (2011) suggestion that moving up the waste hierarchy – from landfilling to recycling – creates jobs and boosts the economy.     

1980~2015年长江流域净人为氮输入与河流氮输出动态特征

为推进长江氮污染的精准防治,分析了 1980～2015年的净人为氮输入量(net anthropogenic nitrogen inputs,NANI)和大通站河流可溶性无机氮(DIN)输出通量的年际动态变化特征,构建了定量描述两者之间动态响应关系的多元回归模型,识别了河流DIN来源组成.结果表明,1980～2015年期间,长江流域NANI(以N计)从1980年的4 166 kg·(km2·a)-1持续增加至2015年的8 571 kg·(km2·a)-1,人口密度和畜禽养殖密度增加是NANI快速增加的主要原因.化肥氮和净食物/饲料氮输入是NANI的主要来源,69％的NANI进入农林地(NANIN),31％的NANI进入人居地(NANIP).长江DIN输出通量(以N计)由1980年的455 kg·(km2·a)-l持续增加到了 2015年的1 811 kg·(km2·a)-1.长江DIN输出通量的时间变化不仅与NANI及其组分密切相关,而且受到遗留氮库和建坝库容的影响.基于NANIN、NANIp和建库容量的多元非线性回归模型能解释长江DIN输出通量92％的时间变异性.该模型估算结果显示当年NANI、遗留氮库和自然背景源对长江DIN输出通量的36 a平均贡献率分别为58％、36％和6％.因此,加强NANI和遗留氮协同管理是有效控制长江氮污染的关键.     

Conserving spawning stocks through harvest slot limits and no-take protected areas

The key to the conservation of harvested species is the maintenance of reproductive success. Yet for many marine species large, old, individuals are targeted despite their disproportionate contribution to reproduction. We hypothesized that a combination of no-take marine protected areas (MPAs) and harvest slot limits (maximum and minimum size limits) would result in the conservation of large spawning individuals under heavy harvest. We tested this approach under different harvest intensities with a 2-sex, stage-structured metapopulation model for the Caribbean spiny lobster (Panulirus argus). P. argus is intensively harvested in the Caribbean, and in many localities large, mature individuals no longer exist. No-take MPAs and harvest slot limits combined, rebuilt and maintained large mature individuals even under high harvest pressure. The most conservative model (a 30% MPA and harvest slot limit of 75–105 mm) increased spawner abundance by 5.53E¹² compared with the fishing status quo at the end of 30 years. Spawning stock abundance also increased by 2.76–9.56E¹² individuals at a high harvest intensity over 30 years with MPAs alone. Our results demonstrate the potential of MPAs and harvest slot limits for the conservation of large breeding individuals in some marine and freshwater environments. Decisions on which management strategy best suits a fishery, however, requires balancing what is ecologically desirable with what is economically and socially feasible.     

舟山渔场及邻近海域桡足类种类组成和数量分布

根据2006年8月(夏)、2007年1月(冬)、5月(春)和11月(秋)4个季节在舟山渔场及邻近海域(29°30'~31°30'N,124°30'E以西)开展海洋生态系统综合调查所获得的资料,分析了该海域桡足类的种类组成和数量分布特征。结果表明,该次调查海域共鉴定桡足类65种,其中:4个季节皆出现的种类有10种,占总种数的15.38%。优势种为中华哲水蚤(Calanus sinicus)、精致真刺水蚤(Euchaeta concinna)、微刺哲水蚤(Canthocalanus paupe)和缘齿厚壳水蚤(Scolecithrix nicobarica)等10种。根据优势度和回归贡献分析表明,春、夏、秋、冬4个季节总丰度分布主要取决于中华哲水蚤、精致真刺水蚤、缘齿厚壳水蚤和微刺哲水蚤的分布,且优势种季节更替显著。桡足类丰度高值区位于不同水系交汇的混合水域,4个季节丰度平均值变化为春季(567.4 ind·m^-3)>夏季(104.12 ind·m^-3)>秋季(97.23 ind·m^-3)>冬季(72.45 ind·m^-3)。     

辽河三角洲地区植被的地上净初级生产力格局及其制约因子

植被地上净初级生产力是监测和评价生态系统功能的重要指标之一,也是农业区划和生态资源分区管理的重要依据。通过实地调查,研究了辽河三角洲地区的植被地上净初级生产力的空间分布格局及其制约因子。2008年9月末,在辽河三角洲地区设立79个调查点,调查了植被地上净初级生产力、土壤和水文特征。借助ArcGIS软件制作了植被地上净初级生产力的分层设色等值线图,并利用简单相关分析和无条件主成分分析方法探讨了植被地上净初级生产力与环境因子的关系。结果发现：辽河三角洲地区的植被地上净初级生产力具有内部较低,外围较高的半环形分布格局。在三角洲内部,植被地上净初级生产力一般1 500 g.m-2.a-1左右;外围一般3 000 g.m-2.a-1以上。这种分布格局不仅与植被类型分布有一定的相关性,而且还与海拔高度、土壤含水量、土壤容重和土壤总磷等自然环境因子有明显的相关性。多种证据表明土壤含水量是决定辽河三角洲地区植被地上净初级生产力格局的最直接、最重要的自然环境因子。     

Evaluation of carrying capacity with particular reference to firewood and fodder resources in Central Himalaya: a case study of Baliya catchment

SUMMARY

The dwindling forests of the Central Himalaya are suffering from serious losses, threatening the subsistence population of the region. This study analyses the rate of consumption of fodder and firewood in a Central Himalayan catchment and estimates the carrying capacity of the catchment for these resources. Estimates indicate that the carrying capacity of the natural ecosystems and agroecosystems, in terms of availability of fodder and fuelwood resources, has already been exceeded.     

Modelling global-scale potential grassland changes in spatio-temporal patterns to global climate change

Grassland is one of the most widespread vegetation types worldwide and plays a significant role in global carbon cycling. Understanding the sensitivity of grassland to climate change and the effect of climate changes on the grassland ecosystems is a key issue in global carbon cycling. One of the goals of this study was to evaluate the three net primary productivity (NPP)–climate models, i.e. the Miami model, the Schuur model and the classification indices-based model. Results indicated that the classification indices-based model was the most effective model at estimating large-scale grassland NPP. In this research, changes in the spatial pattern of global potential grassland from recent past (1950–2000) to future (2001–2050) A2a scenario were analysed with the integrated orderly classification system of grassland (IOCSG) approach in a Geographic Information System (GIS) environment. NPP was evaluated with the classification indices-based model. Results indicate that under recent past climatic conditions, the main parts of global grassland are the savanna and tundra and alpine grassland and will be converted into the savanna, steppe and semi-desert grassland in A2a scenario. As a whole, areas of grassland will increase by 31.76 million hectares. The classification indices-based model estimated a 12.40% increase of total NPP in grassland from recent past to A2a scenario. It will impose a new issue for future grassland researches to support sustainable development and to provide action relevant knowledge to meet the challenge of climate change.     

伏牛山阻隔作用下水热因子、土地覆被与NPP的时空特征

作为秦岭山脉的东延余脉,伏牛山山地效应研究意义重大。文章基于ArcGIS9.3空间分析功能,对伏牛山南北两侧的水热因子、土地覆被和净初级生产力时空格局变化进行了对比分析,结果表明：北坡极端低温和均温明显低于南坡（-2.88℃和-1.7℃）、极端高温明显高于南坡（+1.35℃）,而年降水量北坡则比南坡低14.41%;伏牛山北坡部分常绿针叶林转换为落叶阔叶林,2001—2004年间的落叶阔叶林面积比重分别为：52.4%、55.2%、63.0%和70.9%;2001—2004年间的净初级生产力有增大趋势,尤其是东部区域。研究结论丰富了秦岭-伏牛山作为主要气候区和生态区分界线的理论依据,同时也丰富了山地生态学理论。