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931.
基于因素重构分析法和主成分分析法的企业安全文化评价模型 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
针对当前安全文化评价领域存在的评价方法相对简单、主观性较强等问题,基于企业安全文化的人本主体,设计以企业决策层、管理层、执行层为主体的企业安全文化指标体系;充分利用因素重构分析法和主成分分析法在数据处理上的各种优势,建立适应指标体系特征并考虑数据约束条件的企业安全文化评价模型;通过实例分析加以验证。该模型为解决企业安全文化评价中指标体系庞大复杂、样本空间小、缺少可以直接利用的历史数据等难题给出了一条具有可操作性的路径。 相似文献
932.
在系统安全理论中,确定各基本事件的可靠度以实现所给定的系统安全目标值问题一直没有得到很好解决。笔者将可靠性分配理论与故障树分析方法相结合,提出了2个层次可靠度分配法:最小割集之间采取可靠度再分配法,对构成最小割集的各个基本事件之间采取等分配法。从而建立系统中各单元可靠度再分配量化模型。为便于应用,通过实例,详述系统各单元可靠性分配的计算过程。研究表明,运用该模型可准确、简便地计算出各单元的可靠度,使系统在给定的目标值条件下达到系统的安全性优化。 相似文献
933.
基于道化学法的大型合成氨装置安全评价 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
根据道化学公司火灾、爆炸危险指数的基本原理。用VH6.0开发的安全评价软件DowSE1.0,对某大型合成氨装置进行安全评价,得出其安全措施补偿前后的火灾、爆炸指数F&EI以及危险暴露面积,危害系数,危险等级,实际可能财产损失程度等指数。结果表明。合成氨装置中实际最大可能财产损失值都没有超过200万美元,气化系统在合成氨装置中实际最大可能财产损失值占损失替换值比例高达53%,超过了10%的相对危险值界限。说明在引进国外技术时应注重其安全防范配套措施消化吸收,并结合实际采取切实可行的安全措施,降低合成氨装置的风险程度。 相似文献
934.
935.
随着LPG混空气技术在工业和日常生活中的大规模使用,LPG储运、空混气的制备与储运以及空混气的使用等各个环节的潜在危险也就越来越明显地暴露出来,一旦发生事故,其后果十分严重. 对LPG混空气工程存在的危险因素进行分析,并提出了有针对性的措施及安全边界条件. 相似文献
936.
937.
Mondher Chehata David Jasinski Michael C. Monteith William B. Samuels 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》2007,43(3):813-828
Abstract: Data interpretation and visualization software tools with geostatistical capabilities were adapted, customized, and tested to assist the Chesapeake Bay Program in improving its water‐quality modeling protocols. Tools were required to interpolate, map, and visualize three‐dimensional (3D) water‐quality data, with the capability to determine estimation errors. Components of the software, originally developed for ground‐water modeling, were customized for application in estuaries. Additional software components were developed for retrieval, and for pre‐ and post‐ processing of data. The Chesapeake Bay Program uses the 3D mapped data for input to the Bay water‐quality model that projects the future health of the Bay and its tidal tributary system. In determining water‐quality attainment criteria, 3D kriging estimation errors are needed as a statistical measure of uncertainty. Furthermore, given the high cost of installing and operating new monitoring stations, geostatistical techniques can assist the Chesapeake Bay Program in the identification of suitable data collection locations. Following the evaluation, selection, and development of the software components phase, 3D ordinary kriging techniques with directional semi‐variograms to account for anisotropy were successfully demonstrated for mapping 3D fixed station water‐quality data, such as dissolved oxygen and salinity. Additionally, an improved delineation tool was implemented to simulate the upper and lower pycnocline boundary surfaces allowing the segregation of the interpolated 3D data into three separate zones for a better characterization of the pycnocline layer. 相似文献
938.
Daren M. Carlisle Michael R. Meador 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》2007,43(5):1194-1207
Abstract: A predictive model (RIVPACS‐type) for benthic macroinvertebrates was constructed to assess the biological condition of 1,087 streams sampled throughout the eastern United States from 1993‐2003 as part of the U.S. Geological Survey’s National Water‐Quality Assessment Program. A subset of 338 sites was designated as reference quality, 28 of which were withheld from model calibration and used to independently evaluate model precision and accuracy. The ratio of observed (O) to expected (E) taxa richness was used as a continuous measure of biological condition, and sites with O/E values <0.8 were classified as biologically degraded. Spatiotemporal variability of O/E values was evaluated with repeated annual and within‐site samples at reference sites. Values of O/E were regressed on a measure of urbanization in three regions and compared among streams in different land‐use settings. The model accurately predicted the expected taxa at validation sites with high precision (SD = 0.11). Within‐site spatial variability in O/E values was much larger than annual and among‐site variation at reference sites and was likely caused by environmental differences among sampled reaches. Values of O/E were significantly correlated with basin road density in the Boston, Massachusetts (p < 0.001), Birmingham, Alabama (p = 0.002), and Green Bay, Wisconsin (p = 0.034) metropolitan areas, but the strength of the relations varied among regions. Urban streams were more depleted of taxa than streams in other land‐use settings, but larger networks of riparian forest appeared to mediate biological degradation. Taxa that occurred less frequently than predicted by the model were those known to be generally intolerant of a variety of anthropogenic stressors. 相似文献
939.
运用不完全信息重复博弈的基本理论和分析方法,建立了地方政府与煤矿企业的多阶段动态博弈模型。不完全信息的引入改变了完全信息博弈中地方政府会随着从煤矿生产中获益越大对其提供的庇护程度越大,而企业必然选择干扰的结论。一旦地方政府的这种合作行为出现,国家在安全监察方面的成本和难度将会大大减低。 相似文献
940.