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991.
992.
Elizabeth W. Sulzman Karen A. Poiani Timothy G. F. Kittel 《Environmental management》1995,19(2):197-224
The rapid increase in atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases has caused concern because of their potential to alter
the earth's radiation budget and disrupt current climate patterns While there are many uncertainties associated with use of
general circulation models (GCMs), GCMs are currently the best available technology to project changes in climate associated
with elevated gas concentrations. Results indicate increases in global temperature and changes in global precipitation patterns
are likely as a result of doubled CO2.
GCMs are not reliable for use at the regional scale because local scale processes and geography are not taken into account.
Comparison of results from five GCMs in three regions of the United States indicate high variability across regions and among
models depending on season and climate variable. Statistical methods of scaling model output and nesting finer resolution
models in global models are two techniques that may improve projections.
Despite the many limitations in GCMs, they are useful tools to explore climate-earth system dynamics when used in conjunction
with water resource and ecosystem models. A variety of water resource models showed significant alteration of regional hydrology
when run with both GCM-generated and hypothetical climate scenarios, regardless of region or model complexity. Similarly,
ecological models demonstrate the sensitivity of ecosystem production, nutrient dynamics, and distribution to changes in climate
and CO2 levels.
We recommend the use of GCM-based scenarios in conjunction with water resource and ecosystem models to guide environmental
management and policy in a “no-regrets” framework or as part of a precautionary approach to natural resource protection. 相似文献
993.
天然放射性物质及环境问题 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
天然放射性物质(naturallyoccurringradioactivematerials,简称NORM)广泛存在于地层中,当石油或天然气从地下开采出来时,痕量的天然放射性核素如镭、氧等也随之采出,并分别集中于管道及设备的垢层或天然气加工装置的内壁薄膜上。文章在对外文资料调研的基础上,将NORM的有关知识、存在场所、对人体潜在的危害途径及有关辐射防护方法进行了介绍。 相似文献
994.
Mingteh Chang Steven P Watters Alexander K Sayok 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》1989,25(2):327-333
ABSTRACT: Ten topographic analysis methods were employed to estimate watershed mean slopes for 13 small forested watersheds (32 to 131 mi2) in East Texas. Of the ten methods employed, the mean slope curve is the most accurate but also the most tedious and laborious one. The method can be simplified by measuring only the lengths of five contours and the areas between these contours within the watershed with little loss of its accuracy. Watershed slopes estimated by the contour length method, the grid contour method, the systematic slope sampling method, and the simplified contour length method are satisfactory for general purposes and relatively simple. The watershed circumference-stream length method, the length-width axis method, the Justin method, and the regression plane method are not suitable for estimating watershed slopes in East Texas without modification. 相似文献
995.
D. A. Higgins S. B. Maloney A. R. Tiedemann T. M. Quigley 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》1989,25(1):87-100
ABSTRACT: Rainfall and runoff data from 485 storms during the summers of 1979–84 were evaluated to characterize storm runoff volumes (SF) and peak flows (QP) for 13 small watersheds in the Blue Mountains of eastern Oregon and to determine differences among grazing intensities and vegetation types. Storm hydrographs were separated by using watershed-specific baseflow rise rates of 0.002–0.013 cfsm/hr. Median SF and QP were 0.0014 in and 0.43 cfsm, respectively, for all storms. Total storm rainfall (PPT) and initial flow (QI) were important stepwise regression variables in accounting for the variation in SF and peak flow above initial flow (QPI); 30- and 60-mm rainfall intensities and rainfall duration were relatively unimportant. Two classes of vegetation were evaluated: (1) western larch-Douglas-fir (nine watersheds), and (2) other (four watersheds representing fir-spruce, lodgepole pine, mountain meadow, and ponderosa pine). Mean SF and QP did not differ (P=0.05) among vegetation classes but significant differences were apparent in the relation of SF to PPT and QI, and QPI to PPT and QI. As PPT and QI increased, SF and QPI from larch-Douglas-fir watersheds increased at a slower rate than they did from the other watersheds. Four levels of grazing intensity had no effect on storm runoff. 相似文献
996.
Lowell E. Keup 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》1985,21(2):291-296
Using data related to stream order and the morphological characteristics associated with streams of different discharge rates, an estimate of the river resources of the United States is made. The national totals are: 3,200,000 miles total length of rivers; 15,000 square miles of river surface; and 29 cubic miles of water stored in river channels. Using the same techniques, more exact estimates may be made for individual river basins. Suggestions are given for application of the techniques and river data in the management of water resources. 相似文献
997.
James A. Liggett 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》1987,23(4):637-651
ABSTRACT: This paper explores some of the advances of the boundary element method, as applied to ground-water problems, during the last five years. Although the method is still somewhat limited compared to solution by finite elements, the range of solutions has increased considerably. Diffusion and advection-diffusion solutions are done efficiently. These include the incorporation of inhomogeneity, anisotropy, and nonlinear diffusion. The difficult problem of stream-aquifer interaction is an important application as it is much easier to follow a free surface with its multiple configurations. The application must be able to cycle between ground-water connection and disconnection with the stream and include seepage surfaces. Flow in fractured media is a natural application where the flow in fractures can usually be treated without a computational exception in spite of extremely high aspect ratios. The case of seawater intrusion forms a type of free surface problem and thus is a case for which the method has special advantages. For these and other applications the boundary element method provides an inexpensive technique for calculation where the data preparation and setup time is minimal. In most of these cases, programs can and have been written on microcomputers. 相似文献
998.
Jacek K. Leznicki George P. Korfiatis 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》1987,23(6):1085-1089
ABSTRACT: Two models based on variations of the one dimensional Boussinesq equation are presented. The models are formulated by treating each of the two nonlinearities appearing in the equation separately, and the resulting equations are solved by implicit finite difference techniques. The models have been used to predict drawdowns created from large scale pumping at an open coal mine pit dewatering project in Poland. The predictions were found to be in good agreement with data collected over a period of seven years. 相似文献
999.
ABSTRACT: Two dimensional sliding polynomials were adapted to pattern analysis of watershed monthly rainfall and runoff. Contours of runoff in the two-dimensional space of time and rainfall are constructed on a grid of 16 nodes whose values are determined by least squares. This method is form free, hence derived patterns are not biased to selected functional forms, but can directly represent the smoothed data. Values of the nodes are localized averages of the data constrained by required mathematical continuity across the grid of values. An advantage of the method is that the standard deviation can be calculated for each node, thus producing patterns of uncertainty of the deterministic component revealed by the data. 相似文献
1000.
David W. Jorgensen Thomas W. Gardner 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》1987,23(6):1161-1172
ABSTRACT: The hydrologic character and response of disturbed land is controlled, to a large degree, by soil infiltration characteristics. Reconstructed soils on surface mines (minesoils) of different age (1 to 4 years old) are used to investigate infiltration rates on disturbed landscapes. The data consist of soil/surface properties and runoff volumes fit to the Horton infiltration equation. Infiltration rates on newly reclaimed minesoils are an order of magnitude lower than adjacent, undisturbed soil. Few significant correlations exist between soil/surface properties and infiltration parameters for newly reclaimed soils. However, the correlation between infiltration and minesoil characteristics increases with soil age. Multiple regressions are used to explore relationships between infiltration parameters and soil/surface properties for each soil age. Regression models of 30-min infiltration volume and the steady-state rate consistently include the percent silt and clay, slope, bulk density, and vegetation. Mean infiltration volumes at different mines are equal in the first year following reclamation, but become significantly different with surface age. The magnitude of the increase is controlled by the soil texture, vegetation, slope, and bulk density. Soil characteristics are determined ultimately by the overburden lithology and its effect on mineralogy and grain size during physical redistribution of soil particles and initial weathering. 相似文献