埕岛油田海域重金属含量分布与生态环境质量评价

根据2009年埕岛油田海域环境调查资料,分析了海域内海水和表层沉积物中重金属的含量分布,并对其生态环境进行了质量评价和生态风险评价。结果表明:调查海域海水和表层沉积物中重金属的含量总体水平较低,均优于海水质量Ⅱ类标准和海洋沉积物质量Ⅰ类标准。除海水中Zn、Hg和表层沉积物中Cu外,海域内重金属的分布差异性较小,近岸重金属总量略高于远岸。质量评价表明,调查海域海水整体上为清洁水平,表层沉积物为较清洁水平,后者污染程度较前者偏重。生态风险评价表明,各站位表层沉积物均存在中低度的生态风险,部分站位As、Cu、Pb、Cr将偶尔发生不利生物毒性效应,7种重金属的生物毒性大小依次为:As>Cr>Zn>Pb>Cu>Hg>Cd。     

中国耕地变化模式的资源经济学分析

本研究旨在引入灰色系统关联分析法和高等计量经济学建模思想,结合经济学和土地学等相关学科知识,从资源经济学的角度揭示我国耕地动态变化过程,促进我国耕地可持续利用理论的完善与发展。结果表明:①在中、短时间尺度内社会经济发展因子对耕地变化起着重要的影响作用,主驱动因子有GDP、人均GDP、城市化水平和国家宏观政策;②耕地面积与GDP、城市化水平呈负相关,与人均GDP呈正相关;③我国耕地制度安排存在缺陷,是造成我国城市化蔓延占耕地的最直接原因;④我国应不断完善土地制度安排,同时,应不断促进社会经济发展技术水平的提高和加强政府导向,转变经济发展方式,从而减少社会经济发展对耕地的非科学侵占。     

天气条件对福州近地层臭氧分布的影响

利用2009—2010年福州市近地层臭氧连续观测资料,并结合气象资料分析不同天气型对臭氧浓度变化的影响,以及臭氧浓度与气象要素的相关性。结果表明：在高压后部、地面倒槽等6种天气型影响下,福州市臭氧浓度值较高;在低涡锋面、台风（热带辐合带）等4种天气型影响下,臭氧浓度值较低。导致福州市臭氧平均浓度值最高的天气型是台风（热带辐合带）外围,最低的是低涡锋面系统。高压后部、地面倒槽和锋前暖区等强暖性、且非常不利于污染物扩散的天气型易造成臭氧浓度超标。臭氧浓度与气象要素关系密切,与温度、日照、太阳辐射显著正相关,与云量、相对湿度、降水量显著负相关,受偏南和偏东风影响,平均风速较大时,臭氧浓度较高,在SSE方位上臭氧小时浓度超标率最高。     

THE CHANCE A FLOOD WILL BE EXCEEDED IN A PERIOD OF YEARS1

ABSTRACT. Much has been written about the chance that a hydrologic event, such as a flood peak of a given size or greater, will occur during a given period of years. Four variables are involved, and any one of the four can be the dependent variable: (1) the probability of encountering such an event in a single year, (2) the probability of encountering one or several of these events in a period of years, (3) the least number of times of encountering the event in that period of years, and (4) the number of years in the period involved. Most of these problems are not difficult to solve, but they are tedious to calculate, not well understood, and consequently seldom used in water resources planning and development. The most popular approach is based on the binomial distribution. Graphical procedures similar to those developed by Riggs [1961] were further elaborated and are presented here with illustrative examples to facilitate their use in solving the many related problems. The confidence that one can place in these probability estimates is also explained and illustrated by tables and further examples. To help assure proper use of these methods, commonly used terms such as “recurrence interval” and “partial duration series” are discussed. No new theory is developed: at issue is a deeper understanding of the significance of design levels and their ease of computation.     

Spatial Patterns of Soil Moisture as Affected by Shrubs, in Different Climatic Conditions

At three study sites, representing Mediterranean, semi-aridand mildly-arid climatic conditions, the effect of shrubs onthe spatial patterns of soil moisture was studied. At eachsite soil moisture was measured, on hillslopes, at thevicinity of 8 shrubs. For each shrub the measurements havebeen taken at 3 microenvironments, i.e. under the shrub (US),at the margins of shrub (MS) and between shrubs (BS). At themicroenvironments US and MS the measurements were taken at 3 directions: upslope, downslope and sideslope of the shrubs. At all sampling points soil samples were taken from 3 depths: 0–2, 2–5 and 5–10 cm. In addition, rock fragments cover percentage near the shrubs was determined. A soil moisture pattern was found, around each shrub,which is composed of a radial gradient and a downslope gradient. The radial gradient is expressed by soil moisture decreasingfrom the US microenvironment, in all directions, through the MS towards the BS microenvironment. The US microenvironmenthas a `spatial advantage' of higher soil moisture content dueto (1) relatively higher infiltration rate, (2) capture overlandflow from the BS area upslope that shrub and (3) low evaporationrate because of the shading effect.The downslope gradient is expressed by decreasing soil moisturefrom the upslope direction of each shrub (MS and US microenvironments) towards the downslope direction of that shrub (MS and US microenvironments, respectively). Thisgradient is controlled by the relatively high content of rockfragments near the shrubs at their upslope direction. Suchrock fragments spatial distribution is attributed to (1) thedetachment and transport of rock fragments by sheep and goatstrampling and (2) the effect of shrub on the continuity ofoverland flow and sediment transport. The effect of rockfragments is similar to that of shrubs regarding increasinginfiltration and decreasing evaporation rate. The relativelyhigh soil moisture at the upslope direction of each shrubenhances annuals growth producing a positive feedback loop:soil moisture – annuals growth – trampling. This sequencemaintains the typical rock fragments spatial organization andcontributes to the sustainability of the grazing system.At all the study sites at the US microenvironment there isa trend of decreasing soil moisture with increasing soildepth. At microenvironments MS and BS soil moisture increaseswith soil depth.The results are of great relevance for rehabilitationstrategies as they suggest that in order to combatdesertification in degraded semi-arid and mildly-arid areas,where the main land use is grazing, both shrubs and rockfragment should be kept at their present spatial distribution.     

公共大空间建筑生化恐怖模式和通风技术分析

公共大空间建筑生化恐怖模式主要有制造火灾产生毒性气体、爆炸毒气弹分散毒性物质和人工直接布洒毒性物质。分析表明:火灾烟气受热浮力作用,在建筑物上部出现明显的烟气层,采用自然或机械排烟能有效地减缓或控制烟气层下降;爆炸分散毒性物质,除了爆炸点周边区域外,毒气扩散受热气流诱导,以及浓度差引起的运动;不考虑室内对流气流的影响,人工布洒毒性物质产生的毒性气体,其扩散主要是由浓度差引起的。不同类型恐怖袭击产生的毒性气体受室内对流气流的控制,合适的通风方式能够控制毒性气体的扩散和输运过程。但能否采用某一形式的通风系统兼备防范不同类型的恐怖袭击,需要对通风系统的通风量、气流组织和控制方式做更深入的研究。     

建筑抗浮设计水位取值方法——以北京市某工程为例

近年来,随着首都北京城市建设的高速发展,城市建设用地越来越少,地下空间的开发和利用成为发展的必然趋势。大量带有纯地下车库的高层建筑,以及地下管廊、下沉式广场的兴建,使抗浮问题非常突出。抗浮标准如何确定,抗浮水位如何取值,各类规范均没有明确规定,传统方法多依据经验确定抗浮水位取值,缺乏理论依据,不符合客观实际情况,使得抗浮设计存在安全隐患或增大了工程造价。笔者以北京市区某一工程为例,通过研究区域内浅层地下水的赋存与渗流特性,水位变化的历史过程和影响因素,通过渗流分析,从客观的角度提出建筑抗浮设计水位的取值方法,使得取值更具科学性和经济性。     

FACTUAL INPUTS FOR ALLOCATION DECISIONS CONCERNING SCARCE WATER RESOURCES1

ABSTRACT: Factual inputs which may be useful for completing first-order assessments to aid decision-making on the allocation of scarce water resources are compiled. Water needs of major manufacturing industry groups and of minerals industries show wide variations in several measures of water use intensity. The chemicals and allied products and primary metals industries dominate the total water intake and consumptive water use by manufacturing industries. Consumptive use per employee for the petroleum and coal products industry group is nearly 2.5 times higher than that for any other industry group. Estimates of the water requirements per unit energy output for energy-processing systems vary by as much as an order of magnitude. Agricultural water use is larger than that of any other industry but water use for irrigation is not expected to increase significantly by the year 2020. In California, the production of crop calories and proteins per unit of irrigation water applied may vary by more than an order of magnitude. Crops which offer larger monetary returns per acre are irrigated most frequently.     

A SIMULATION OF SMOOTH-VARIABLE INTENSITY RAINFALL PATTERNS1

ABSTRACT: Continuous rainfall patterns are currently simulated by approximating them by stair-stepped (piece-wise) patterns. The effects of this approximation on infiltration and runoff processes are not well known. A new technique for simulating smooth-variable intensity rainfall patterns is presented. This technique is based on the fundamental principles of a moving water head in a container. The proposed technique is general and capable of simulating any rainfall pattern. However, as the rainfall pattern gets more complicated, the equipment required for simulation becomes more involved. The proposed technique has been tested experimentally. A close agreement was found between the theoretical and experimental simulations. It is concluded that the proposed technique might be very useful in studying the infiltration and runoff processes under variable intensity rainfall, especially for simple convex patterns.     

Human impact on current environmental state in Chinese lakes

Anthropogenic and natural disturbance to inland aquatic ecosystems displays a notable spatial difference, yet data to measure these differences are scarce. This study encompasses 217 lakes distributed over five lake regions of China and elucidates the environmental factors determining the spatial variability of the water quality and trophic status. A significant correlation between human modification index in surrounding terrestrial systems (HMT) and trophic status of lake ecosystems (TSI) was found, and the regression slope in each region was similar except in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau region. It was further noted that the pattern of environmental factor network (EF network) differed among freshwater and saline lakes. The EF network was complex for freshwater lakes in less human-influenced areas, but intensive man-made influence disrupted most relationships except for those between total nitrogen, total phosphorus, chlorophyll-a, and water turbidity. As for regions including saline lakes, correlations among water salinity and organic forms of carbon and nitrogen were apparent. Our results suggest that HMT and EF network can be useful indicators of the ecological integrity of local lake ecosystems, and integrating spatial information on a large scale provides conservation planners the option for evaluating the potential risk on inland aquatic systems.