MFAM模型在河流水质污染模拟及预测中的应用

文中以时间序列分析为基础，介绍了均值生成函数这一崭新概念，并且经成份因子提取分析推导建立了模拟序列的数字模型（简记为MFAM），经对黄河下游花园口断面的1988-1989年实测水质污染指标溶解氧（DO），氨氧，化学耗氧量（COD），五日生化需氧量（BOD5）等序列模拟，结果表明MFAM模型能较好地模拟河流水质污染指标的变化趋势，拟合平均误差只有5.2-6.4%，MFAM模型应用于预测1990-1991年水质污染指标变化，结果表明预测精度达85%以上，文中最后得出结论：MFAM模型应用于河流污染模拟和预测，是完全可行且十分方便。     

AGGREGATE MARGINAL RETURNS FROM WESTERN IRRIGATED AGRICULTURE1

ABSTRACT: Pressure is increasing in the western United States to reallocate water from irrigated agriculture to other competitive uses. Since water is normally allocated through water rights and not necessarily by the price system, the question of economic efficiency is a continual concern. Study results show that returns per acre-foot of water used in western irrigation are quite high and are closely tied to the livestock industry. Returns per acre-foot of water used for crops ranged from $60 to $1,500. When water was used to support livestock, returns per acre-foot ranged from $100 to $600. Clearly, losses of water supply that reduced irrigation production could also lower farm income significantly. Estimated returns also show what alternative uses would have to pay for water under competitive market conditions. Production elasticities are also shown for various states.     

BIOECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS FOR WASTEWATER REUSE IN AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION1

ABSTRACT: Urban wastewater can be a valuable source of water and plant nutrients for agricultural producers, particularly in arid regions. The scientific literature reveals cautious optimism concerning the biological, institutional, and economic viability of irrigating crops with secondary-treated effluent. A derived effluent demand function for agricultural producers near Tucson, Arizona, reveals a potential annual demand of 11,000 acre-feet under present price and proposed delivery system conditions. In this case, wastewater could be exchanged for ground water and both the urban and rural areas would gain.     

Dynamics of fisheries that affect the population growth rate coefficient

Conventional surplus production models indicate that destruction of fish populations by overfishing is difficult, if not impossible, but catastrophic declines in abundance of exploited populations are common. Surplus production models also do not predict large continuing fluctuations in yield, but large fluctuations in yield are common. Conventional surplus production models assume that fisheries do not impact the population's capacity to increase, but changes in age structure or a decrease in age-specific fecundity resulting from fishing can decrease the coefficient of increase. A surplus production model is developed in which fishing reduces the capacity of a population to increase; the model is applied to describe the fluctuations observed in yield of lake herring (Coregonus artedii) from the upper Great Lakes. The fisheries of the Great Lakes were decimated by the combined effects of heavy fishing and a changing environment. For some species, yield increased to high levels and then the fisheries collapsed; for other species, yield and effort fluctuated greatly.     

FLOOD FREQUENCY ANALYSIS FOR SMALL WATERSHEDS IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS1

ABSTRACT: Twenty-two gaging stations were selected for developing a regional flood frequency curve for small (area less than 2 square miles) watersheds in southern Illinois. Five probability functions were compared, and the extreme value type I function was selected to develop the regional flood curve. The curve was generated with the index flood method and also another empirical method that related the function parameters to the watershed area. Estimated peak discharges with various return periods were compared with the results obtained from multiple regression analysis.     

Estimation of the shadow prices of pollutants with production/environment inefficiency taken into account: a nonparametric directional distance function approach

This paper deals with the estimation of the shadow prices of pollutants with a nonparametric directional distance function approach, where the inefficiency involved in the production process is taken into account unlike the previous studies. The directional vector, which is critical to the estimation and subject to the criterion for an appropriate efficiency rule proposed here, is calculated by using the annual plans of power plants in terms of production and environment. In the empirical study for Korea's electric power industry during the period of 1990-1995, we find that the average shadow prices of sulfur oxides (SOx), nitrogen oxides (NOx), and total suspended particulates (TSP) are approximately 10% lower than those calculated under the assumption of full efficiency. The methodology we propose and the findings obtained in the empirical study allow us to undertake better decision-making over a broad range of environmental policy issues.     

建立企业安全生产管理体系保障企业经济可持续发展

本文阐述了建立健全企业安全生产管理体系、安全生产文化体系、经费投入保证体系等保障企业经济在新形势下可持续发展的措施。     

一维粘性泥石流运动的格子Boltzmann模拟

利用格子Boltzmann方法,对一维粘性泥石流的运动进行了定量化研究和数值模拟,为进一步研究泥石流的运动机制奠定了基础。在模拟一维粘性泥石流运动时,采用了含外力项的格子Boltzmann模型,通过对外力因子、平衡态分布函数的构造,使得宏观统计特性刻画了泥石流运动的非线性特征,成功模拟了泥石流的运动过程,获得了泥石流水深、流速两大要素的时空变化规律,为研究泥石流运动过程提供了一种新手段。     

循环经济的过程和工作重点

循环经济分为3个连续的阶段或环节：生产阶段、消费阶段和废旧物品再制造阶段。在生产阶段促进清洁技术的开发勺应用是实施循环经济的根本举措。当前实施循环经济的重点是：在宏观经济中实施循环经济；在宏观经济方针政策中体现循环经济原则、可持续发展原则和环境保护原则；将保护环境的基本国策纳入进出口政策；以循环经济的原则规划、建设、改造现存的化学工业同区。     

实际烟气生成量计算方法的商榷

火灾烟气是火灾时所产生的气体和悬浮在其中的烟粒子的总称，是燃烧和热解产物的混合物。烟气量的大小取决于可燃物本身的燃烧性能、空气供给量等。火灾烟气具有缺氧、毒害、尘害、高温的特点，加上火场火灾烟气的减光性和恐怖性，使火灾烟气成为火灾人员伤亡的最主要原因，为此防排烟工程的设计对建筑消防安全非常重要，实际烟气生成量计算是防排烟工程设计的理论基础，就目前一些文献对实际烟气量计算方法存在的不足进行了探讨，并提出了一个新的计算方法，对两种方法的计算结果进行了对比，得出结论认为，计算实际烟气量应从实际空气供给量是否过剩或不足两种情况分别进行考虑计算。