腐殖酸吸附Cr(Ⅵ)的对比实验研究

研究了未处理的腐殖酸(HA)和不溶性腐殖酸(IHA)对Cr(Ⅵ)的吸附作用.进行了反应时间、pH值、IHA投加量、温度等对去除效率的影响研究,确定了两种吸附剂最佳反应条件,并通过对比实验,分析了两种吸附剂吸附Cr(Ⅵ)的特点.实验表明,HA达到最大吸附量时所需要的反应时间(180 min左右)远远高于IHiA的反应时间...     

基于信息熵的垫片密封模糊可靠度

在充分考虑垫片密封的随机性和模糊性的基础上,提出了垫片密封模糊可靠性的概念.基于信息熵理论,按模糊泄漏率导出垫片密封的模糊可靠度计算公式,并用算例说明了公式的应用.     

基于模糊均生函数和最优子集回归的飞行事故率预测

为有效预防飞行事故的发生,针对飞行事故率具有随机波动性和趋势性的特点,采用模糊均生函数(FMGF)和最优子集回归(OSR)建立飞行事故率预测模型。该方法把FMGF延拓序列作为预测因子加入OSR方程,将FMGF分析和因子筛选相结合作OSR,进而对飞行事故率进行预测。通过对美国空军1988—2004年的飞行事故率进行拟合预测,结果表明:将FMGF模型和OSR模型有机结合,能够有效刻画飞行事故率的随机波动特性,并且其预测结果的相对误差也较小。     

A Bayesian assessment of the effect of highway bypasses in Iowa on crashes and crash rate

Introduction

A common contention is that the construction of highway bypasses negatively impacts the economy of local communities by reducing pass-by traffic for businesses. However, as access to specific business' account records is limited, this impact is difficult to quantify. Another common contention is that bypasses contribute to a reduction in overall crashes in the community and in the surrounding areas. Even though a large number of bypasses have been constructed in the State of Iowa over the past several years, their actual impact in terms of traffic safety has not been quantified.

Objectives

This study seeks answers to the following questions: (a) Are bypasses in Iowa associated with a reduction in crash frequencies and crash rates on the bypassed highway? (b) Do bypasses in Iowa introduce a reduction of overall crash frequencies and rates or do they merely shift crashes from the highways through the communities to the bypasses with no significant overall reduction?

Method

We obtained crash information from the Iowa DOT at 19 sites on which a bypass was constructed sometime during the past 23 years. We also obtained the same information at six sites used as comparison sites on which no bypasses were constructed at least until 2005. We them employed a Bayesian approach to estimating the association between the construction of the bypass and crash rates, while also accounting for other factors.

Results

The construction of bypasses in Iowa is associated with a significant increase in traffic safety both on the main road through town and on the combined main road and bypass roadway.     

On the development of a new hybrid risk assessment process using occupational accidents’ data: Application on the Greek Public Electric Power Provider

The occupational accidents have a major impact upon human integrity and also bring about high costs for the social health and insurance system of a country. In addition, risk analysis is an essential process for the safety policy of a company, having as main aim the effacement of any potential of damage in a productive procedure, while the quantified risk evaluation is the most crucial part of the whole procedure of assessing hazards in the work. The main goal of this study is double: a) the development and presentation of a new hybrid risk assessment process (HRAP) and b) the application of HRAP in the Greek Public Power Corporation (PPC) (the unique electric power provider and the largest industry in Greece), by using occupational accidents that have been recorded, during the 12-year period of 1993-2004. The new process consists of four distinct phases a) the hazard sources’ identification phase, b) the risk consideration phase, c) the risk-evaluation phase, and d) the phase of the risk assessment and safety-related decision making. The results show that in some cases the risk value has been calculated in PPC to be higher than 500 (in the risk rating of 0-1000), which imposes the taking of suppressive measures for abolishing the danger source, while the fatal accident frequency rate (per 10⁸ man-hrs) is FAFR ≅ 2.4.     

我国中东部不同地区冬季颗粒物垂直分布的车载移动观测

利用中山大学环境气象综合观测车（载有3D可视型激光雷达、多普勒风廓线激光雷达、转动拉曼温廓线激光雷达）于2018年冬季在全国范围内（厦门-北京）的走航观测资料,对我国中东部不同地区和城市的边界层结构以及颗粒物分布特征进行了研究.结果表明：(1)在从南向北走航的过程中,边界层内各个高度的温度以及边界层高度呈下降趋势.(2)不同高度发生颗粒物污染的气象成因有所差别,其中1000 m高度左右发生颗粒物污染的主要成因是较高的水平风速将周围地区的颗粒物输送过来而导致;500 m及近地面附近发生颗粒物污染主要是由水平风速较小导致局地来源的颗粒物堆积以及上游地区颗粒物的输送两者共同作用.(3)逆温结构和上升气流会导致颗粒物在边界层顶堆积,而下沉气流使得颗粒物由在某一高度堆积扩散至整层均匀分布.     

国外舰载导弹发射装置发展综述

介绍了国外舰载导弹发射装置的基本概况及发展历程,分析了固定式发射装置、回转式发射装置、臂式发射装置、垂直发射装置的优缺点及适装范围。根据冷热发射方式的特点,分析了4种发射装置安装方式、贮弹量、射界、发射效率、反应速度、可靠性、安全性等基本性能,阐明了倾斜发射、垂直发射、冷热共架发射的基本原理。垂直发射装置以射界大、效率高、反应快、贮弹量多等优点成为舰载发射装置主流,倾斜发射在近程末端区域防空方面,可提前指向目标,减少导弹近距离大幅机动时间,提升末端拦截概率,是垂直发射的有效补充。舰载导弹发射装置正在朝垂直化、通用化发展,模块化发射和电磁垂直发射是下一代舰载发射的发展方向。     

不锈钢在西太平洋深海环境中腐蚀规律研究

目的 研究不锈钢在西太平洋海域深海环境中的腐蚀规律。方法 采用深海高效串型试验装置对304不锈钢和316L不锈钢在西太平洋深海环境中进行深海实海腐蚀试验,分析不锈钢的腐蚀形貌、腐蚀速率和点蚀深度规律等,研究2种不锈钢在500、800、1 200、2 000 m海深下的腐蚀规律。结果 304不锈钢与316L不锈钢腐蚀质量损失主要由缝隙腐蚀引起,316L不锈钢的腐蚀程度总体上低于304不锈钢,304不锈钢的腐蚀速率低于0.4 mm/a,316L不锈钢的腐蚀速率低于0.25 μm/a。深海环境中,304不锈钢的腐蚀产物主要是α-Fe2O3、γ-FeOOH、γ-Fe2O3,316L不锈钢的腐蚀产物主要是α-FeOOH、γ-FeOOH、γ-Fe2O3。结论304不锈钢和316L不锈钢在西太深海环境中使用过程中应避免缝隙的形成,降低其发生缝隙腐蚀和点蚀的概率。     

2017年春季常州HONO观测及对大气氧化能力影响的评估

本研究于2017年4月在江苏省常州市环境监测中心使用一套基于湿化学法的仪器对大气中的HONO进行了实时在线观测,HONO浓度范围在0.2～13.9μg·m~(-3)之间,平均值为(2.9±2.3)μg·m~(-3);同时,对O_3、 HCHO、 VOCs、光解频率以及气象参数进行了同步监测.利用MCM箱体模式模拟得到白天·OH浓度最大值范围在1.0×10~6～1.4×10~7个·cm~(-3)之间.同时结合观测结果与模式模拟结果计算了HONO、 O_3、 HCHO和H_2O_2的光解以及烯烃臭氧化反应对·OH的生成速率,定量表征大气氧化性,揭示了这5种来源对大气氧化能力的影响:整体上O_3光解(46.4%)HONO光解(41.1%)烯烃臭氧化反应(10.9%)HCHO光解(1.5%)H_2O_2光解(0.1%);清晨时HONO光解对·OH生成起主要作用,之后随着O_3浓度的增加,O_3光解对·OH的贡献占主导地位;在17:00之后,由于太阳光解频率显著降低,烯烃臭氧化反应对·OH生成有主要贡献;甲醛与过氧化氢的光解对·OH的贡献可忽略.     

丹江口水库氮磷内源释放对比

利用柱状沉积物采样器在丹江口水库采集不同点位原位柱状沉积物,通过静态培养释放实验及间隙水分子扩散模型两种方法获取沉积物-水界面N和P释放速率,分析水体N和P释放特征.结果表明,不同采样点N和P界面交换速率差异显著.静态培养条件下,5个点位NH_4~+-N和PO_4~(3-)-P释放速率分别为13. 07～24. 88 mg·(m~2·d)~(-1)和3. 06～6. 02 mg·(m~2·d)~(-1);分子扩散模型条件下,5个点位NH_4~+-N和PO_4~(3-)-P释放速率分别为2. 67～7. 25 mg·(m~2·d)~(-1)和0. 04～0. 18 mg·(m~2·d)~(-1). N和P释放速率总体呈北高南低的趋势,支流N和P最低释放速率分别是主库区最高释放速率的1. 48和1. 57倍.两种方法均表明郭家山支流N和P的释放速率最高,具有较大内源N和P释放风险.比较两种方法发现,利用Fick定律计算出的界面N和P释放速率明显小于柱样模拟方法得出的结果,N和P的R/F值分别为3. 43～4. 98和29. 67～72. 88,这表明用分子扩散模型法进行内源释放速率估算时,偏离真实情况较大,而原柱样静态模拟实验则较贴近真实情况.