Estimating Trophic State Proportions of a Regional Lake Population: Are Larger Samples Always Better?

During the summers of 1991–1994, the Environmental Monitoringand Assessment Program (EMAP) sampled 344 lakes throughout thenortheastern United States using a proportional stratified sampling design based on lake size. Approximately one-quarter ofthe 344 lakes were sampled each year (4 years) for totalphosphorus to determine the proportion (and associated95% confidence intervals) of the northeast lake population 1ha (11,076 ± 1,699 lakes) that was in oligotrophic,mesotrophic, eutrophic, or heupereutropic (4 classes) conditionaccording to the total phosphorus criteria of the North AmericaLake Manegement Society. Estimates for the second, third, andfourth yr were developed as cumulative of the previous yrsamples and the current yr samples for the northeast as a wholeand for each of its three ecoregions (4 regions). New confidence intervals were computed for each cumulative yrcondition estimate. This produced a total (4 years × 4classes × 4 regions) of 64 cumulative yr tropic conditionestimates. Confidence intervals for 21% of these estimates didnot shorten with increased sample size. This phenomena raisedquestions about the accuracy of estimates based on cumulativesampling procedures. We explain why and how the phenomenon comesabout with both straight random and proportional randomsampling. Further, we present an example of the effects thisphenomenon has on lake tropic state condition estimates in thenortheastern United States.     

城市中水回用环境经济效益分析——以福州市洋里污水处理厂出水回用为例

以福州市洋里污水厂出水回用为例,运用费用效益分析方法计算得出静态投资回收期为2.64 a,远远小于基准投资回收期15~20 a。效益-费用比为1.44,大于1。结果表明,洋里污水厂达标出水作为中水回用的经济效益良好,并且具有明显的社会效益和环境效益。     

中水回用工程投建与运行实践

沈阳理工大学学生城中水设施的建设，不仅提高了水资源的重复利用率，创造良好的环境效益和经济效益，同时也为中水回用工作的推广实施积累了经验。尤其是采用比较简单的污水处理工艺达到中水回用的标准，其中最主要的部分是沉淀和生物接触氧化以及最后的过滤和消毒，这样的工艺比较适合中等规模的投资，从回用水的经济效益上看这样的中水回用系统还是比较适合推广。     

钼锑抗分光光度法测定总磷的精密度偏性试验分析

通过钼锑抗分光光度法测定总磷的精密度偏性试验及其结果分析,提出本标准方法用光程10mm比色皿比色测定时,由于测定的灵敏度较低,使总磷低浓度测定的精密度和准确度难于达到标准方法要求;建议钼锑抗分光光度法测定总磷时,最好选用30mm比色皿比色测定.     

川西北哲波山微细浸染型金矿床岩浆岩特征

对川西北哲波山金矿区内出露的中 -酸性岩脉、岩株的类型、化学成分、地质特征以及微量元素、同位素、稀土元素等特征进行了研究 ,指出印支晚期和燕山早期的岩浆岩均属钙碱质岩系列 ,均起源于幔壳混源区 ,原始岩浆在成分上和演化上又存在着一定的差异性。岩浆岩为成矿提供了一定的物质基础。     

催化CODcr快速测法的精密度与准确度实验

化学需氧量标准分析方法测定时间长、操作繁琐。本实验采用CTL—BX3C型便携式COD快速测定仪能在20分钟获得COD数据，同时耗能低、省时省力、减少污染。催化CODcr快速法的精密度与准确度均能达到要求。     

沉淀—树脂吸附法处理对氨基偶氮苯盐酸盐生产废水的研究

对氨基偶氮苯盐酸盐（ＰＡＢＳ）是生产染料的重要中间体。在ＰＡＢＳ生产过程中，排放出高浓度（ＣＯＤ４万～８万ｍｇ／Ｌ）、高色度（４万～８万）、高毒性（含苯胺和对氨基偶氮苯）和高氯（Ｃｌ－４万～１０万ｍｇ／Ｌ）的废水。利用中和沉淀—大孔吸附树脂吸附法进行了处理工艺的小试研究。结果表明，废水色度去除率达到９９９％，降到２０以下；出水中基本不含对氨基偶氮苯（ＰＡＢ）；出水中苯胺的浓度降到３ｍｇ／Ｌ。ＧＣ／ＭＳ分析的结果表明，乙醇脱附液中苯胺是最主要的有机物，所以利用该工艺能实现苯胺的回收。     

Toward accurate and precise estimates of lion density

Reliable estimates of animal density are fundamental to understanding ecological processes and population dynamics. Furthermore, their accuracy is vital to conservation because wildlife authorities rely on estimates to make decisions. However, it is notoriously difficult to accurately estimate density for wide‐ranging carnivores that occur at low densities. In recent years, significant progress has been made in density estimation of Asian carnivores, but the methods have not been widely adapted to African carnivores, such as lions (Panthera leo). Although abundance indices for lions may produce poor inferences, they continue to be used to estimate density and inform management and policy. We used sighting data from a 3‐month survey and adapted a Bayesian spatially explicit capture‐recapture (SECR) model to estimate spatial lion density in the Maasai Mara National Reserve and surrounding conservancies in Kenya. Our unstructured spatial capture‐recapture sampling design incorporated search effort to explicitly estimate detection probability and density on a fine spatial scale, making our approach robust in the context of varying detection probabilities. Overall posterior mean lion density was estimated to be 17.08 (posterior SD 1.310) lions >1 year old/100 km², and the sex ratio was estimated at 2.2 females to 1 male. Our modeling framework and narrow posterior SD demonstrate that SECR methods can produce statistically rigorous and precise estimates of population parameters, and we argue that they should be favored over less reliable abundance indices. Furthermore, our approach is flexible enough to incorporate different data types, which enables robust population estimates over relatively short survey periods in a variety of systems. Trend analyses are essential to guide conservation decisions but are frequently based on surveys of differing reliability. We therefore call for a unified framework to assess lion numbers in key populations to improve management and policy decisions.     

中国低中放近地表处置场环境评价方法研究

放射性废物的处置是对其管理的最终步骤.放射性废物处置的基本安全目标是保护人类和环境免受电离辐射的有害影响.开展处置场环境影响评价可以量化它对人体健康和环境潜在影响.通过与IAEA近十几年的最新研究成果相比较,分析了中国低中放近地表处置场现行评价方法的不足,提出了改进方式,并对中国近地表处置场环境影响评价技术研究下一步应开展的工作进行了探讨.     

低中放处置场环境评价参数灵敏度分析

选取90Sr、239Pu和14C为代表核素,采用单参数变分法对某低中水平放射性固体废物处置场环境影响评价中与核素迁移相关的主要评价参数开展了参数灵敏度分析.分析结果表明:对于低中放处置场而言,环境影响评价模式中主要评价参数的选择对最终评价结果的影响很大,因此在环境影响评价中开展不确定度及敏感度分析是必要的.