Should Swedish sea level planners worry more about mean sea level rise or sea level extremes?

Current coastal spatial planning in Sweden uses simple methods to account for how flood risks increase owing to sea level rise. Those methods, however, fail to account for several important aspects of sea level rise, such as: projection uncertainty, emission scenario uncertainty and time dependence. Here, enhanced methods that account for these uncertainties are applied at several locations along the coast. The relative importance of mean sea level rise and extreme events for flood risk is explored for different timeframes. A general conclusion for all locations is that, extreme events dominate the flood risk for planning periods lasting a few decades. For longer planning periods, lasting toward the end of the century, the flood risk is instead dominated by the risk of high sea level rise. It is argued that these findings are important for assessments of future flood risk, and that they should be reflected in coastal spatial planning.     

氢化物原子荧光法测定海水中的砷

采用氢化物原子荧光法测定海水中的砷,进行了基体干扰实验与条件实验,建立新的海水砷的分析方法。方法检出限为0.077μg/L,方法精密度、准确度和加标回收率均能满足测定要求,该方法操作简单,分析速度快。     

近20 a南海赤潮的时空分布特征及原因分析

收集整理了自1980～2004年的南海历次赤潮事件,并对这些赤潮事件在时间和空间的分布特征以及赤潮持续时间长度的变化特征进行了分析;探讨了形成南海赤潮时空分布特征和持续时间长度变化的可能原因.文章认为:赤潮在年度和月份分布不均的原因主要是气候差异以及各月份水文气象要素的主要演变特征不同;赤潮持续时间延长的原因与南海区气候转暖和广东近岸海域水质变差有关.研究发现赤潮事件的月份分布和赤潮持续时间长度存在历史性变异,有关现象值得管理部门和学术界的注意,而其中原因更有待进一步研究.     

渤海沿岸底栖贝类体内微污染物残留

依据第二次海洋污染基线调查数据以确定渤海沿岸站位底栖贝类体内重金属和有机污染物含量范围和分布特征.结果表明,沿岸贝类体内Cd的含量普遍较高,而As、Hg和Pb的浓度水平大多较低.辽东湾沿岸贝类体内检测到较高的DDT显示附近区域有新的DDT输入.PCBs的生物残留量以莱州湾近岸为最高,其次是渤海湾近岸;酞酸酯的生物残留主要出现在莱州湾和辽东湾沿岸站位.渤海沿岸大部分站位贝类体内DDTs组份含量已超出相应的USEPA人体健康和野生动物的质量基准,应予以关注.     

Hygroscopic properties of sodium and potassium salts as related to saline mineral dusts and sea salt aerosols

Mineral dust,soil,and sea salt aerosols are among the most abundant primary inorganic aerosols in the atmosphere,and their hygroscopicity affects the hydrological cycle and global climate.We investigated the hygroscopic behaviors of six Na-and K-containing salts commonly found in those primary organic aerosols.Their hygroscopic growths as a function of relative humidity(RH) agree well with thermodynamic model prediction.Temperature dependence of deliquescence RH(DRH) values for five of those sal...     

南黄海6.1级地震前热红外异常

从1996-11-09南黄海6.1级地震(震中位置31°50′N,123°06′E)的地震地质构造环境、临震卫星热红外异常与近地表大气增温异常等3方面进行研究。认为该震震前有较明显的热红外异常显示,并初步探讨了该区地震的临震近地表大气增温与卫星热红外异常的基本特征。     

黄渤海上空气溶胶类型判别及其成因分析

气溶胶是大气环境的重要组成部分,其对天气和气候变化有重要影响,对人类健康也有危害.对气溶胶类型的区分有利于判别气溶胶的来源,这对控制气溶胶污染源、改善区域环境质量有重要的推动作用.本文基于黄渤海区域6个观测点的实测数据和卫星遥感数据,采用聚类分析方法对黄渤海上空的气溶胶进行分类,并采用拉格朗日轨迹追踪法判定气溶胶的来源...     

地震学综合定量预报方法在华东地区的应用研究

根据周翠英等提出的ZSIP计算方法 ,对华东地区地震比较集中的南黄海地区进行以 3°×3°范围的时间扫描 ,结果表明该方法在重点监视区南黄海预报效能较好 ,预报效能评分R =0 .397,通过R值检验。