Multiple-pattern parameter identification and uncertainty analysis approach for water quality modeling

This paper presents a multiple-pattern parameter identification and uncertainty analysis approach for robust water quality modeling using a neural network (NN) embedded genetic algorithm (GA). The modeling approach uses an adaptive NN–GA framework to inversely solve the governing equations in a water quality model for multiple parameter patterns, along with an alternating fitness method to maintain solution diversity. The procedure was demonstrated through a coupled 2D hydrodynamic and eutrophication model for Loch Raven Reservoir in Maryland. The inverse problem was formulated as a nonlinear optimization problem minimizing the degree of misfit (DOM) between model results and observed data. A set of NN models was developed to approximate the input-output response relationship of the Loch Raven Reservoir model and was incorporated into a GA framework in an adaptive fashion to search for near-optimal solutions minimizing the DOM. The numerical example showed that the adaptive NN–GA approach is capable of identifying multiple parameter patterns that reproduce the observed data equally well. The resulting parameter patterns were incorporated into the numerical model, and a multiple-pattern robust water quality modeling analysis, along with a compound margin of safety (CMOS) method, was proposed and applied to analyze the parameter pattern uncertainty.     

Melanin-based colorations signal strategies to cope with poor and rich environments

One hypothesis for the maintenance of genetic variation states that alternative genotypes are adapted to different environmental conditions (i.e., genotype-by-environment interaction G×E) that vary in space and time. Although G×E has been demonstrated for morphological traits, little evidence has been given whether these G×E are associated with traits used as signal in mate choice. In three wild bird species, we investigated whether the degree of melanin-based coloration, a heritable trait, covaries with nestling growth rate in rich and poor environments. Variation in the degree of reddish-brown phaeomelanism is pronounced in the barn owl (Tyto alba) and tawny owl (Strix aluco), and variation in black eumelanism in the barn owl and Alpine swift (Apus melba). Melanin-based coloration has been shown to be a criterion in mate choice in the barn owl. We cross-fostered hatchlings to test whether nestlings sired by parents displaying melanin-based colorations to different extent exhibit alternative growth trajectories when raised by foster parents in poor (experimentally enlarged broods) and rich (experimentally reduced broods) environments. With respect to phaeomelanism, barn owl and tawny owl offspring sired by redder parents grew more rapidly in body mass only in experimentally reduced broods. With respect to eumelanism, Alpine swift offspring of darker fathers grew their wings more rapidly only in experimentally enlarged broods, a difference that was not detected in reduced broods. These interactions between parental melanism and offspring growth rate indicate that individuals display substantial plasticity in response to the rearing environment which is associated with the degree of melanism: at least with respect to nestling growth, phaeomelanic and eumelanic individuals are best adapted to rich and poor environments, respectively. It now remains to be investigated why eumelanism and phaeomelanism have a different signaling function and what the lifelong consequences of these melanism-dependent allocation strategies are. This is important to fully appraise the role played by environmental heterogeneity in maintaining variation in the degree of melanin-based coloration.     

The anti-predator function of ‘eyespots’ on camouflaged and conspicuous prey

Animals utilise various strategies to reduce the risk of predation, including camouflage, warning colours and mimicry, and many of these protective signals promote avoidance behaviour in predators. For example, various species possess paired circular ‘eyespots’, which startle or intimidate predators, preventing or halting an attack. However, little is known of how the efficacy of such signals relates to the context in which they are found, and no studies have tested the relative effectiveness of anti-predator signals when on otherwise camouflaged and conspicuous prey. We find that the protective value of conspicuous wing spots, placed on artificial moth-like targets presented to wild birds in the field, is strongly affected by the attributes of the prey ‘animal’ on which they are found. Wing spots reduced predation when on conspicuous prey but were rendered ineffective when on otherwise camouflaged targets, indeed they increased the risk of predation compared to non-marked camouflaged controls. These results demonstrate how different anti-predator strategies may interact, and that protective signals can switch from being beneficial to costly under different contexts.     

Sexual selection and the function of a melanin-based plumage ornament in polygamous penduline tits <Emphasis Type="Italic">Remiz pendulinus</Emphasis>

Melanin-based ornaments are often involved in signaling aggression and dominance, and their role in sexual selection is increasingly recognized. We investigated the functions of a melanin-based plumage ornament (facial ‘mask’) in male Eurasian penduline tits Remiz pendulinus in the contexts of male–male aggression, mating success, and parental care. The penduline tit is a passerine bird with a unique mating system in which both sexes may mate with several mates in a breeding season, and one (or both) parent deserts the clutch. Our study revealed that mask size of males is more likely an honest signal used by females in their mate choice decisions than a trait involved in male–male competition. First, mask size increased with both age and body condition, indicating that the mask may signal male quality. Second, males with larger masks paired more quickly and had more mates over the breeding season than males with smaller masks. Third, we found no evidence that male mask size signals male–male aggression or dominance during competitive encounters. The increased mating success of large-masked males, however, did not translate into higher reproductive success, as nestling survival decreased with mask size. Therefore, we conclude that there is either no directional selection on male mask size or males with larger masks receive indirect, long-term benefits.     

Characterization of biological responses under different environmental conditions: A hierarchical modeling approach

A natural river system is organized as a nested hierarchy of interconnected habitats with specific environmental conditions to which the biological community has adapted. Due to this hierarchical structure, identifying the role of different stressors on the biological community is a formidable task. Efforts trying to link stressors to biological integrity have always been bound to the geographic scale of the selected study area, leading to scale-specific results. In this research, an attempt is made to lift this limitation and develop a hierarchical, scale-sensitive methodology that can identify the significant environmental stressors to the biological community at different scales. Sites with similar background environmental conditions are clustered using self-organizing maps (SOM). This is used to identify stressors which affect the biological community throughout the area of study - called environmental gradients or large-scale stressors. Subsequently, these clusters of similar observations (sampling sites) are progressively sub-divided using environmental variables with a significant but localized effect on the biological community - called small-scale stressors. A parent group of sites is split only when the resulting sub-groups have significantly different biological responses. At the end of this recursive sites decomposition procedure, the original set of observations is organized as a tree of environmentally homogeneous groups of observations characterized by unique biological responses to multiple stressors with different geographic extents. The developed hierarchical analysis methodology has been validated using a large-size dataset of environmental observations from the State of Ohio. Our results show that habitat degradation and increased nutrient loading are the large-scale stressors with a widespread impact in Ohio. Other stressors, such as heavy metals, pH or nitrate concentrations have significant albeit localized effects on biological integrity.     

遗传和模拟退火算法在水质模型参数确定中的应用简介

水质模型参数的确定是构建水质模型的基础。相对于传统优化方法,现代优化算法的优势日趋明显。本文在基于现代优化算法的水质模型参数确定研究背景下,介绍了具有代表性的遗传算法和模拟退火算法,并对该两种算法的应用现状进行综述,旨在推进该领域的进一步探索。     

利用果胶培养基分离番茄根际细菌

采用平板稀释和PCR-DGGE相结合的方法,比较了4种培养基(果胶富营养培养基PM,只含果胶一种营养的培养基PA,添加果胶的寡营养培养基YPP以及与YPP营养成分一致但不添加果胶的寡营养培养基YPG)分离番茄根际细菌的能力.结果显示:PA培养基能够分离到42种形态的细菌;YPP培养基可以分离到最高的细菌菌落数,分离获得的种类比PA少;YPP培养基分离获得细菌的种类和菌落数量比YPG培养基要多.聚类分析也显示只有果胶一种营养的PA培养基能分离到最多种类,分离获得的菌群与自然环境中微生物群落最相似.研究结果表明添加番茄根际主要分泌物——果胶到培养基中可以提高培养基分离细菌的能力.     

模糊物元评价方法在水库移民安置区优选中的应用

本文在模糊物元分析的基础上,结合模糊相似贴近度的概念,将基于模糊相似贴近度的模糊物元分析应用到水库移民安置区优选中,并根据GIS中图层叠加方法,在多种约束条件下对备选水库移民安景区进行初步的筛选,满足基本约束条件的要求,减轻了初选工作量.在指标权重方面,采用层次分析法和熵值法相结合的方法计算评判指标权重,提高了对移民安置区评判准确度和可信度.最后,将该优化选择模型应用于南水北调工程丹江口库区移民试点优选外迁安置区中,从应用的过程和对计算结果的分析来看,该方法在实践中效果较好,并可推广应用到整个库区外迁移民安置过程中,实现了移民淹没区和安置区优化配置,确保了移民"搬得出、稳得住、逐步能致富"的目标.     

基于遗传算法的前馈神经网络火灾探测

分析了前馈神经网络火灾探测的基本原理;针对ＢＰ算法的缺陷,提出用遗传算法（ＧＡ）和ＢＰ相结合的一种方法,即：ＢＰ－ＧＡ算法;并把ＢＰ－ＧＡ算法用于火灾探测的模拟,结果表明：前馈神经网络是处理火灾信号的良好方法,ＢＰ－ＧＡ算法提高了网络的收剑性。     

Usefulness of linkage disequilibrium of KM-19 and XV-2c DNA probes for genetic counselling in a high-risk cf family

A French couple with an individual risk of carrying the cystic fibrosis (CF) mutation of 1/2 sought genetic counselling. From the DNA haplotypes generated by XV-2c and KM-19 RFLPs, it could be deduced that only one subject was a carrier, lowering the risk of having a CF baby from 1/16 to 1/200. The strong linkage disequilibrium between these RFLPs and the CF allele observed in France reduced the risk to 1/1600.