Benchmark calculations from summarized data: an example

Benchmark calculations often are made from data extracted from publications. Such data may not be in a form most appropriate for benchmark analysis, and, as a result, suboptimal and/or non-standard benchmark analyses are often applied. This problem can be mitigated in some cases using Monte Carlo computational methods that allow the likelihood of the published data to be calculated while still using an appropriate benchmark dose (BMD) definition. Such an approach is illustrated herein using data from a study of workers exposed to styrene, in which a hybrid BMD calculation is implemented from dose response data reported only as means and standard deviations of ratios of scores on neuropsychological tests from exposed subjects to corresponding scores from matched controls. The likelihood of the data is computed using a combination of analytic and Monte Carlo integration methods.

三峡库区消落带甲基汞变化特征的模拟

为探寻三峡水库消落带在干湿交替条件下甲基汞的变化规律,以库区典型消落带土壤为研究对象,采用模拟试验,研究了干湿交替条件下消落带土壤和水体甲基汞含量和动态变化趋势及其影响因素.结果表明:淹水过程会促进土壤无机汞向有机汞转化,土壤甲基汞含量在淹水和落干过程均呈现先增加后减少的趋势;随着干湿交替周期的增加,土壤甲基汞含量增加,第二次淹水后土壤甲基汞平均含量比第一次淹水增加了22.13%,第二次落干后土壤甲基汞平均含量比第一次落干增加了58.17%.第二次淹水过程土壤甲基汞占总汞的比例明显高于第一次淹水,土壤中汞的甲基化主要与干湿交替循环有关.土壤淹水后会迅速向水体释放甲基汞,水体中甲基汞含量明显增加,两次淹水过程增幅分别为119.42%和334.72%,水体甲基汞和土壤甲基汞之间无显著相关.干湿交替环境土壤甲基汞含量主要受pH值、有机质含量、Eh和土壤含水量等因素的影响;水体中甲基汞含量的影响因素则主要有水体pH值、DO、DOM、水温等.     

三峡库区消落带草本植物碳氮磷释放及影响因素

以三峡库区消落带优势草本植物狗牙根(Cynodon dactylon)、牛鞭草(Hemarthriaaltissima)、稗草(Echinochloacrusgalli)、狗尾草(Setariaviridis)和马唐(Digitariasanguinalis)为试验植物,在室内进行了为期60 d的淹水模拟试验,并对消落带优势草本植物淹水后TOC、TN和TP的释放特征及影响因素进行了研究. 结果表明:5种优势草本植物淹水后均可导致水中pH降低,TOC、TN和TP的U_max(最大单位累积释放量)分别为21.03~43.65、0.50~3.23和0.54~2.69 mg/g,U_max出现在淹水第15~20天,并且TOC、TN和TP的R(释放速率)差异显著;水体中微生物、水体温度和上覆水中ρ(TOC)、ρ(TN)、ρ(TP)对植物淹水后TOC、TN和TP的释放均有一定影响. 在对消落带植被调查研究的基础上,根据淹水试验植物的U_max,对蓄水后三峡库区消落带植被TOC、TN、TP的释放量进行了估算,在蓄水后20 d内,消落带植被可向水体释放大量的TOC、TN和TP,蓄水初期可能会引起库区局部水域水质恶化,影响水库的水环境安全.      

生物质再燃脱除NO的特性

利用多功能脱硝实验台研究了花生壳、杨木、稻杆和玉米秸秆4种生物质的再燃脱除NO性能,以及工况参数对生物质再燃的影响.结果表明,相同工况下,花生壳再燃脱硝率最高、杨木次之、玉米秸秆最小,当再燃比(Rff)15%时,花生壳、杨木、稻杆和玉米秸秆的再燃脱硝效率分别为85.1%、80.3%、69.6%和67.2%.生物质粒径越小,再燃脱硝率越高.随着再燃温度的升高,生物质再燃脱硝效率先升高后缓慢降低,1073K的脱硝效率最高.生物质最佳再燃区过量空气系数(SR)为0.6,最佳Rff和再燃区停留时间分别为20%和0.81s. SR=20%的典型工况下,生物质再燃脱硝效率达到79%~89%.     

Three-dimensional fluorescence spectral characterization of soil dissolved organic matters in the fluctuating water-level zone of Kai County, Three Gorges Reservoir

Three-dimensional fluorescence spectroscopy was used to investigate the fluorescent properties of soil dissolved organic matter (DOM) in the water-level-fluctuation zone (WLFZ) of Kai County, Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR). Most of the soil DOM analyzed in this study was found to contain four fluorescence peaks. Peaks A and C represent humic-like fluorescence, whereas peaks B and D represent tryptophan-like fluorescence. Peaks E and F, which represent tyrosine-like fluorescence, only appeared in certain soils. Soil humus was the main source of DOM in soil, and higher concentration of soil DOM was found in the exposed soil than submerged soil. Compared to the peaks A and B, the fluorescence intensities of peaks C and D were strongly influenced by the fluctuating water level. Analysis of fluorescence intensities of different peaks in soil DOM showed that WLFZ soil was not contaminated significantly. Soil DOM contained at least two types of humic-like fluorescence groups and two types of protein-like fluorescence groups. The proportion of the content of peak A in soil organic matter was quite stable. The soil DOM in exposed soil had relatively high humification and aromaticity, and periodic submerging and exposure of soil had an impact on the humification of soil DOM.     

影响断层活化的破碎带特征参数敏感性分析

为研究破碎带对断层活化的影响,选取破碎带宽度、岩石内摩擦角、粘结系数及抗拉强度作为破碎带的特征参数,采用FLAC3D模拟工作面推进对断层的影响,借助正交表确定模拟方案,通过对正交试验结果进行方差分析,以此研究影响断层活化的破碎带特征参数敏感性。结果表明:破碎带特征参数对断层活化的敏感性主次顺序为破碎带宽度﹥岩石内摩擦角﹥岩石粘结系数﹥岩石抗拉强度,且断层破碎带宽度越大,岩石内摩擦角越小,断层活化可能性也就越高,而岩石粘结系数与抗拉强度对断层活化影响较小。     

破碎带宽度对断层活化及煤柱留设的影响研究

为研究不同宽度的断层破碎带对防水煤柱留设的影响,通过对断层活化进行力学分析,得出断层活化的必要条件是断层带内岩石的黏结系数小于等于临界值Cmax,且断层带所受法向应力与剪切应力是影响该临界值的主要因素。利用数值模拟软件,建立不同破碎带宽度的数值模型,对断层活化及煤柱留设进行模拟。结果表明:当工作面距断层60 m内时,由于黏结系数临界值Cmax的迅速减小,断层活化危险性显著提高,且断层破碎带宽度越大,断层越容易发生活化;通过分析采场塑性区分布图,得出煤柱临界尺寸随破碎带宽度的增加而呈线性增长的规律。研究结果对断层合理留设煤柱具有重要的参考价值。     

“一带一路”所经陆路地域巨震链特征研究

针对“一带一路”的陆路部分（即古丝绸之路）所经区域的自然灾害及灾害链的问题进行了研究讨论,尤其是针对大地震及相应的灾害链。穿越陆上丝绸之路的40度纬线地带是一个主要的地震活动带。沿着它易呈现震中定向迁移和在不长的时间内大地震发生的遥相关。陆上丝绸之路的灾害链主要是旱－震链,高山峰指标与大震发生的位置有较高的相关性。这些问题的研究对丝绸之路所经地带的安全都是有意义,也对丝绸之路上国家的安全合作有学术指向的意义。     

Explosion of lycopodium-nicotinic acid–methane complex hybrid mixtures

With the terms “complex hybrid mixtures”, we mean mixtures made of two or more combustible dusts mixed with flammable gas or vapors in air (or another comburent).In this work, the flammability and explosion behavior of selected complex hybrid mixtures was studied. In particular, we investigated mixtures of nicotinic acid, lycopodium and methane. We performed explosion tests in the 20-L explosion vessel at different overall (nicotinic plus lycopodium) dust concentrations, nicotinic acid/lycopodium ratios, and methane concentrations.An exceptional behavior (in terms of unexpected values of rate of pressure rise and pressure) was found for the complex hybrid mixtures containing lycopodium and nicotinic acid in equal amounts. This mixture was found to be much more reactive than all the other dust mixtures, whatever the dust concentration and the methane content.     

湖滨带生态退化及其与人类活动的相互作用

湖滨带属于水陆生态交错带,是湖泊水生态系统与陆地生态系统间非常重要的过渡带. 根据湖滨带生态退化的表现形式,可以将湖滨带生态退化过程归纳为渐变退化、间断不连续退化、跃变退化、突变退化及复合退化5种类型. 系统自然退化是一个漫长渐变的过程,而人为干扰往往带有冲击负荷与胁迫压力.人类对湖滨带生态退化的影响与人类文明的发展历程密切相关,随着人类开发自然、利用自然能力的加强,对湖滨带生态退化的影响深度、范围也明显增强. 在文明初始阶段,人类对湖滨带处于被动适应及竞争利用的状态;文明成长阶段,人类开始对湖滨带进行主动开发及可控利用;在文明成熟阶段,从对湖滨带单纯开发利用拓展为发挥综合生态服务功能. 另一方面,湖滨带生态退化对人类产生的影响主要体现在生物资源萎缩、洪水灾害损失增加、可利用淡水资源减少、对人体健康造成威胁、美学价值丧失、影响水文化的历史传承等. 研究湖滨带的退化过程及其与人类活动之间的相互作用、相互影响关系,认清湖滨带自身的发展规律,识别湖滨带退化的驱动因子,有助于我们进一步保护湖滨带、修复退化的湖滨带或提出减缓湖滨带退化过程的有利措施.