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91.
基于数字流域的水文过程模拟研究 总被引:24,自引:0,他引:24
考虑流域下垫面空间变异性,基于数字高程模型构建了数字流域,并在此基础上对描述流域水文物理过程的数学方法进行了探讨,文章认为,数字水文模型是一种有物理基础的包含大容量信息的现代模拟灌河实例研究表明,数字水文模型可以十分方便地输出水文要素和状态变量的空间分布与时间序列,这对充分利用现有观测信息进行水文信息的深层挖掘创新了条件。 相似文献
92.
Weather-mediated natural selection on arrival time in cliff swallows (Petrochelidon pyrrhonota) 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
An unusually long period of cold weather in May 1996 caused extensive mortality among insectivorous cliff swallows (Petrochelidon pyrrhonota) in the northern and central Great Plains. We analyzed how viability selection affected spring arrival time in a migratory
Nebraska population by comparing capture histories of survivors with those of birds known to have died and by documenting
how arrival time changed in the year following the selection event. Surviving birds had significantly later first-capture
dates (an index of arrival time) in the years prior to selection than those that died; a significant selection differential
suggested directional selection for birds that arrived later. Colony sites were occupied significantly later following the
selection event, and the distribution of first-capture dates in the season after selection was significantly shifted toward
later arrivals. Offspring of the survivors tended to arrive later than birds of the same age prior to the selection event.
While major weather-caused mortality events of this magnitude are rare in the study area, spells of cold weather severe enough
to cause limited mortality are frequent in April and early May. At least 25 probable mortality events of varying severity
were identified in the last 50 years based on climatological data. Periodic weather-mediated selection against early arrival
constrains the cliff swallow’s breeding season and may partly prevent directional selection for earlier nesting.
Received: 19 October 1999 / Received in revised form: 15 January 2000 / Accepted: 24 January 2000 相似文献
93.
Life history costs of olfactory status signalling in mice 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
L. M. Gosling S. C. Roberts E. A. Thornton M. J. Andrew 《Behavioral ecology and sociobiology》2000,48(4):328-332
Large body size confers a competitive advantage in animal contests but does not always determine the outcome. Here we explore
the trade-off between short-term achievement of high social status and longer-term life history costs in animals which vary
in competitive ability. Using laboratory mice, Mus musculus, as a model system, we show that small competitors can initially maintain dominance over larger males by increasing investment
in olfactory status signalling (scent-marking), but only at the cost of reduced growth rate and body size. As a result they
become more vulnerable to dominance reversals later in life. Our results also provide the first empirical information about
life history costs of olfactory status signals.
Received: 15 December 1999 / Revised: 6 June 2000 / Accepted: 24 June 2000 相似文献
94.
谷氨酰胺转胺酶(MTG)分批发酵中温度对S.mobaraense生长及产酶影响的模型化 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
研究了2.5L小罐培养过程中控制温度为25℃~35℃时对细胞生长和MTG合成的影响.结果表明当控制相对较低的温度时,细胞生长的延滞期较长,当控制温度较高时,细胞生长的延滞期较短,达到最大DCW和最高MTG酶活的时间均较短;通过研究各种不同模型对细胞生长的影响得到最适合描述S.mobaraense生长与温度之间的关系方程为Schoolfield方程;通过对最大DCW和最大MTG酶活进行数学模拟,发现方程X(U)=-a 相似文献
95.
The use of quantitative data for constructing prognostic maps of the dynamics of ecosystem degradation and restoration by
nonlinear simulation methods is a topical field of landscape ecology. This method of dynamic cartography is based on fiberwise
comparison of data on the state of Chernye Zemli (the Kalmyk Republic, Russia) in different years and the detailed analysis
of the period on which the prognosis was based. For this purpose, materials of repeated aerial and satellite photography obtained
during a long period (1954–1993) were used. Comparison of maps characterizing the dynamics of Chernye Zemli between 1958 and
1993 allows prognostic electronic maps for the next 10–15 years (with a five-year interval) to be drawn and land prognosis
for the next 20–30 years (1998–2023) to be obtained.
Deceased 相似文献
96.
97.
Nicolas Tchertchian Dominique Millet Pierre Alain Yvars 《International Journal of Sustainable Engineering》2016,9(4):277-290
The tendency towards a homogenous mode of development modelled on that of Western countries means that sustainable development has become increasingly urgent. It is necessary to thoroughly redefine products and their expected performances in such a way that the consequences are compatible with sustainable development. In the domain of product design, this means that it is no longer sufficient to use assessment tools “after the fact” to check the impact of products whose functional unit (FU) was defined prior to production; it is now necessary to rethink the definition of the FU itself. This article aims to present an approach based on a combination of life cycle analysis methods and problem-solving by constraint satisfaction. This original approach makes it possible to vary the design of the different dimensions of the FUs of a complex system and thus to make it easier to identify the best architecture along with the best functional definition of the system. In this study, the EcoCSP approach is applied to define the functional performances of an ecological passenger ferry. The complexity of couplings between subsystems and the sheer number of those subsystems mean that the designer has to use “intelligent” tools. These simulate a great number of scenarios and help him/her to fine-tune the system and make the right technological choices with regard to the right functional specifications. 相似文献
98.
Applying Statistical Causal Analyses to Agricultural Conservation: A Case Study Examining P Loss Impacts
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Song S. Qian R. Daren Harmel 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》2016,52(1):198-208
Estimating the effect of agricultural conservation practices on reducing nutrient loss using observational data can be confounded by factors such as differing crop types and management practices. As we may not have the full knowledge of these confounding factors, conventional statistical meta‐analysis methods can be misleading. We discuss the use of two statistical causal analysis methods for quantifying the effects of water and soil conservation practices in reducing P loss from agricultural fields. With the propensity score method, a subset of data was used to form a treatment group and a control group with similar distributions of confounding factors. With the multilevel modeling method, data were stratified based on important confounding factors, and the conservation practice effect was evaluated for each stratum. Both methods resulted in similar estimates of the conservation practice effect (total P load reduction avg. ~70%). In addition, both methods show evidence of conservation practices reducing the incremental increase in total P export per unit increase in fertilizer application. These results are presented as examples of the types of outcomes provided by statistical causal analyses, not to provide definitive estimates of P loss reduction. The enhanced meta‐analysis methods presented within are applicable for improved assessment of agricultural practices and their effects and can be used for providing realistic parameter values for watershed‐scale modeling. 相似文献
99.
Benchmarking Optical/Thermal Satellite Imagery for Estimating Evapotranspiration and Soil Moisture in Decision Support Tools
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Jan M.H. Hendrickx Richard G. Allen Al Brower Aaron R. Byrd Sung‐ho Hong Fred L. Ogden Nawa Raj Pradhan Clarence W. Robison David Toll Ricardo Trezza Todd G. Umstot John L. Wilson 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》2016,52(1):89-119
Generally, one expects evapotranspiration (ET) maps derived from optical/thermal Landsat and MODIS satellite imagery to improve decision support tools and lead to superior decisions regarding water resources management. However, there is lack of supportive evidence to accept or reject this expectation. We “benchmark” three existing hydrologic decision support tools with the following benchmarks: annual ET for the ET Toolbox developed by the United States Bureau of Reclamation, predicted rainfall‐runoff hydrographs for the Gridded Surface/Subsurface Hydrologic Analysis model developed by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, and the average annual groundwater recharge for the Distributed Parameter Watershed Model used by Daniel B. Stephens & Associates. The conclusion of this benchmark study is that the use of NASA/USGS optical/thermal satellite imagery can considerably improve hydrologic decision support tools compared to their traditional implementations. The benefits of improved decision making, resulting from more accurate results of hydrologic support systems using optical/thermal satellite imagery, should substantially exceed the costs for acquiring such imagery and implementing the remote sensing algorithms. In fact, the value of reduced error in estimating average annual groundwater recharge in the San Gabriel Mountains, California alone, in terms of value of water, may be as large as $1 billion, more than sufficient to pay for one new Landsat satellite. 相似文献
100.
This research presents a method to determine the maximum potential for the capturing of solar radiation on the rooftop of buildings in an urban environment. This involves the modeling of solar energy potential and comparison to historical building energy demand profiles through the use of 3-D solar simulation software tools and geographic information systems (GIS). The objective is to accurately identify the amount of surface area that is suitable for solar photovoltaic (PV) installations and to estimate the hourly PV electricity generation potential of existing building rooftops in an urban environment. This study demonstrates a viable approach for modeling urban solar energy and offers valuable information for electricity distributors, policy makers, and urban energy planners to facilitate the substantial design of a green built environment. The developed methodology is comprised of three main sections: (1) determination of suitable rooftop area, (2) determination of the amount of incident solar radiation available per rooftop, and (3) estimation of hourly solar PV electricity generation potential. A case study was performed using this method for Ryerson University, located in Toronto, Canada. It was found that solar PV could supply up to 19% of the study area’s electricity demands during peak consumption hours. The potential benefits of solar PV was also estimated based upon hourly greenhouse gas emission intensity factors as well as Time-of-Use (TOU) savings through the Ontario Feed-in-Tariff (FIT) program, which allows for better representation of the positive impacts of solar technologies. 相似文献