Evaluation of sulfur trioxide detection with online isopropanol absorption method

Measurement of the SO_3 concentration in flue gas is important to estimate the acid dew point and to control corrosion of downstream equipment. SO_3 measurement is a difficult question since SO_3 is a highly reactive gas, and its concentration is generally two orders of magnitude lower than the SO_2 concentration. The SO_3 concentration can be measured online by the isopropanol absorption method; however, the reliability of the test results is relatively low. This work aims to find the error sources and to evaluate the extent of influence of each factor on the measurement results. The test results from a SO_3 analyzer showed that the measuring errors are mainly caused by the gas–liquid flow ratio, SO_2 oxidation, and the side reactions of SO_3. The error in the gas sampling rate is generally less than 13%. The isopropanol solution flow rate decreases 3% to 30% due to the volatilization of isopropanol, and accordingly, this will increase the apparent SO_3 concentration. The amount of SO_2 oxidation is linearly related to the SO_2 concentration. The side reactions of SO_3 reduce the selectivity of SO_4~(2-) to nearly 73%. As sampling temperature increases from180 to 300°C, the selectivity of SO_4~(2-) decreases from 73% to 50%. The presence of H2 O in the sample gas helps to reduce the measurement error by inhibiting the volatilization of the isopropanol and weakening side reactions. A formula was established to modify the displayed value, and the measurement error was reduced from 25%–54% to less than 15%.     

基于遗传神经网络的入侵检测研究

入侵检测技术是计算机网络信息安全检测的重要手段之一,入侵检测作为一种动态的安全防护技术,提供了对内部攻击、外部攻击和误操作的实时保护,在网络系统受到危害之前拦截和响应入侵。对计算机网络数据进行特征提取,提出了采用遗传算法和神经网络相结合入侵检测技术。遗传算法具有计算简单、优化效果好的特点。利用遗传算法来避免BP算法的局部极小点,从而达到均方根误差全局最小点,也解决了BP算法的收敛慢的问题;同时也解决了单独利用GA往往不能在短时间内寻找到接近最优解的这一问题。通过计算机实验验证了入侵检测的效果,提高了识别率,使得误报率和漏报率降低。     

The failure of success in fisheries management

Law of the Sea negotiations and The Fishery Conservation and Management Act of 1976 create new options in fisheries management. Historical analysis of two major management programs in the United States of America, Columbia River chinook salmon (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) and Pacific halibut (Hippoglossus stenolepis), shows two unresolved management problems. One is the innovativeness of fishermen in seeking ways to improve their harvests. The other is changing social priorities that are largely unpredictable and outside the control of fisheries managers. A method for analysis of patterning associated with management goals is illustrated. Since the general management goals are harvest improvement and more predictability, measures are used which show the adequacy of fit and reduction in variability between actual and predicted management outcomes.     

Diagnostic variables as predictors of ecological risk

The state of an ecosystem may be represented by a multidemensional state vector,x. The goal of ecosystem management is to insure that the ecosystem remains within some setX of acceptable states, such thatx X. Since ecosystem management decisions must be based on limited knowledge, a small number of diagnostic variables must be found which accurately reflect ecosystem state. If the vector of diagnostic variables, , is found to be within a specified set , the state vectorx is predicted to be withinX. The selection and use of such diagnostic variables is examined in the context of an aquatic ecosystem simulation model. Techniques used in searching for diagnostic criteria include multiple linear regression, discriminant analysis, and visual inspection of graphical data displays. The adequacy of a diagnostic criterion as a predictor of ecological risk is demonstrated to be a function of the associated rates of type I and type II statistical errors. A simple cost-benefit analysis is undertaken to illustrate one approach for choosing an optimal balance between these error rates.     

中原地区旱涝等级预测──利用游程理论和王邨重建的2232a降水距平资料

本文采用王重建的２２３２ａ降水长序列运用Ｍａｒｋｏｖ过程理论分析了中原各地区旱涝等级的概率特征；定义了净旱涝历时、净旱涝烈度、平均净旱涝烈度参量，并用之建立了中原中心区降水的丰枯段等级预测模式。为中原地区旱涝分析和预测提供了理论依据。     

人的失误本质及检测的研究

对人的失误本质、定义及特点作了系统的分析研究。针对人的失误产生条件、原因及类型，提出了检测失误与控制失误的技术     

空气环境容量核定中提高年均值符合度和相关性的措施

提出了空气环境容量核定中扩散模型验证的有效指标,简述了满足指标应当采取的措施。     

烟气连续监测系统的相对准确度检测

阐述了HJ／T76—2001《固定污染源排放烟气连续监测系统技术要求及检测方法》标准中烟气连续监测系统的相对准确度计算和相对准确度计算中存在的问题。对存在问题中的重复性或复现性的假设、B类不确定度的忽略、标准分析方法平均值的采用和偏差检验进行了探讨。     

基于空间计量模型的河南省用水效率影响因素分析

在水资源总量约束下,提高水资源利用效率是保障缺水地区城镇化、工业化与经济社会发展的必然途径。论文以河南省地级市2000—2013年面板数据为基础,运用空间计量模型,从水资源禀赋、水资源开发利用程度、经济发展水平、城镇化水平、产业结构、用水结构、农业现代化水平、信息化水平等方面入手,对河南省用水效率的影响因素进行分析。结果表明：1）河南省地级市用水效率存在不可忽视的空间自相关特征,时空固定形式下的空间杜宾模型可以实现其最优模拟;2）河南省各地级市用水效率明显受邻近地级市用水效率的影响,其空间溢出弹性系数达到0.31;3）水资源禀赋、水资源开发利用程度对河南省各地级市用水效率产生显著的负向影响,但其空间溢出效应不明显;4）经济发展水平、城镇化发展水平、产业结构优化水平对河南省各地级市用水效率产生显著的正向影响,而且除工业化水平外,空间溢出效应十分明显;5）用水结构变化、农业现代化、信息化水平与河南省用水效率的相关关系总体不明显,河南省水资源可持续利用与全国“四化”协调发展示范区建设的关系有待进一步协调。     

安全心理学研究的最近状况及趋势

从科学技术对安全心理学的影响、事故致因与人为失误及事故预防技术等三个方面介绍了安全心理学的最近研究状况及趋势。着重分析了工程控制技术、行为控制技术、风险管理技术、宏观安全管理技术及系统措施等事故预防技术。