A CART technique to adjust production from longwall coal operations under ventilation constraints

Methane emissions in longwall coal mines can arise from a variety of geologic and production factors, where ventilation and degasification are primary control measures to prevent excessive methane levels. However, poor ventilation practices or inadequate ventilation may result in accumulation of dangerous methane-air mixtures. The need exists for a set of rules and a model to be used as guidelines to adjust coal production according to expected methane emissions and current ventilation conditions.In this paper, hierarchical classification and regression tree (CART) analyses are performed as nonparametric modeling efforts to predict methane emissions that can arise during extraction of a longwall panel. These emissions are predicted for a range of coal productivities while considering specific operational, panel design and geologic parameters such as gas content, proximate composition of coal, seam height, panel width, cut height, cut depth, and panel size. Analyses are conducted for longwall mines with and without degasification of the longwall panel. These models define a range of coal productivities that can be achieved without exceeding specified emissions rates under given operating and geological conditions.Finally, the technique was applied to longwall mines that operate with and without degasification system to demonstrate its use and predictive capability. The predicted results proved to be close to the actual measurements to estimate ventilation requirements. Thus, the CART-based model that is given in this paper can be used to predict methane emission rates and to adjust operation parameters under ventilation constrains in longwall mining.     

硬绿还是软绿:关于环境产权的理论论争

环境治理上硬绿和软绿的争议反映了不同环境产权形式的理论论争。本文对环境产权相关理论作了综合梳理和系统分析。揭示环境产权研究对环境规制问题的理论启发和现实意义。进而提出了对环境问题进行制度研究的建议。     

The implicit price of urban public parks and greenways: a spatial-contextual approach

This paper examines the value residents place on public parks in a mid-sized urban area. The analysis makes a direct contribution to the literature by examining the extent to which spatial and neighbourhood context is related to the house price premium or discount associated with public recreational opportunities, natural resource areas and urban greenways. The analysis shows that the value of public parks and greenways varies across space, neighbourhood context and park type. Community area fixed-effects are included to bolster the findings. The findings indicate that park and greenway investment should be planned and managed contextually in urban areas. Park planners can use these findings to inform public policy debates over park investment and, perhaps, support efforts focused on comprehensive neighbourhood planning.     

Effects of Errors and Gaps in Spatial Data Sets on Assessment of Conservation Progress

Data on the location and extent of protected areas, ecosystems, and species’ distributions are essential for determining gaps in biodiversity protection and identifying future conservation priorities. However, these data sets always come with errors in the maps and associated metadata. Errors are often overlooked in conservation studies, despite their potential negative effects on the reported extent of protection of species and ecosystems. We used 3 case studies to illustrate the implications of 3 sources of errors in reporting progress toward conservation objectives: protected areas with unknown boundaries that are replaced by buffered centroids, propagation of multiple errors in spatial data, and incomplete protected‐area data sets. As of 2010, the frequency of protected areas with unknown boundaries in the World Database on Protected Areas (WDPA) caused the estimated extent of protection of 37.1% of the terrestrial Neotropical mammals to be overestimated by an average 402.8% and of 62.6% of species to be underestimated by an average 10.9%. Estimated level of protection of the world's coral reefs was 25% higher when using recent finer‐resolution data on coral reefs as opposed to globally available coarse‐resolution data. Accounting for additional data sets not yet incorporated into WDPA contributed up to 6.7% of additional protection to marine ecosystems in the Philippines. We suggest ways for data providers to reduce the errors in spatial and ancillary data and ways for data users to mitigate the effects of these errors on biodiversity assessments. Efectos de Errores y Vacíos en Conjuntos de Datos Espaciales sobre la Evaluación del Progreso de la Conservación     

Mapping Hotspots of Threatened Species Traded in Bushmeat Markets in the Cross–Sanaga Rivers Region

Bushmeat markets exist in many countries in West and Central Africa, and data on species sold can be used to detect patterns of wildlife trade in a region. We surveyed 89 markets within the Cross–Sanaga rivers region, West Africa. In each market, we counted the number of carcasses of each taxon sold. During a 6‐month period (7594 market days), 44 mammal species were traded. Thirteen species were on the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) Red List or protected under national legislation, and at least 1 threatened species was traded in 88 of the 89 markets. We used these data to identify market groups that traded similar species assemblages. Using cluster analyses, we detected 8 market groups that were also geographically distinct. Market groups differed in the diversity of species, evenness of species, and dominant, prevalent, and characteristic species traded. We mapped the distribution of number of threatened species traded across the study region. Most threatened species were sold in markets nearest 2 national parks, Korup National Park in Cameroon and Cross River in Nigeria. To assess whether the threatened‐species trade hotspots coincided with the known ranges of these species, we mapped the overlap of all threatened species traded. Markets selling more threatened species overlapped with those regions that had higher numbers of these. Our study can provide wildlife managers in the region with better tools to discern zones within which to focus policing efforts and reduce threats to species that are threatened by the bushmeat trade. Mapeo de Sitios Críticos para Especies Amenazadas Comercializadas en Mercados de Vida Silvestre en la Región de los Ríos Cross‐Sanaga     

Progress in global ecological modelling

The development of ecological modelling on global level since the middle of the 19th century is first reviewed, including application of statistical analysis, introduction of logistic curve, earth surface modeling, systems ecology, computer-oriented mathematical models and spatially explicit models. Finally, we discuss problems existing in ecological modelling on global level.     

Water-Quality Monitoring and Biological Integrity Assessment in the Indian River Lagoon, Florida: Status, Trends, and Loadings (1988–1994)

a production in the central, south central, and the south segments of the lagoon. In a system as large and complex as the lagoon, N and P limitations are potentially subject to significant spatial and temporal variability. Total Kjeldahl nitrogen (TN) was higher in the north (1.25 mg/liter) and lower in the south (0.89 mg/liter). The reverse pattern was observed for total P (TP), i.e., lowest in the north (0.03 mg/liter) and highest at the south (0.14 mg/liter) ends of the IRL. This increased P concentration in the SIRL appears to have a significantly large effect on chlorophyll a production compared with the other segments, as indicated by stepwise regression statistics. This relationship can be expressed as follows: South IRL [chlorophyll a] =−8.52 + 162.41 [orthophosphate] + 7.86 [total nitrogen] + 0.38 [turbidity]; R ²= 0.98**.     

GIS-Based Support Tool System for Decision-Making Regarding Local Forest Protection: Illustrations from Orissa,India

A support tool system comprising risk and priority analyses was illustrated in a geographical information system environment and also tested with data from two forest protection areas for comparison of the system output. The system is recommended as a management monitoring tool for areas where village forest protection at a local level is taking place. The geographical area in the eastern part of India is subject to scarcity of forest resources and is representative in the context of widespread occurrence of local forest protection. Data used were topography, hectares protected, population census, distance to forest and other villages, degree of forest regeneration, presence of plantations, age of protection, surrounding forest resources, and population mix. Methods used were digitizing information for the systems' different layers, analyses of satellite information, field work, gathering of local information, and the application of five risk/priority analyses: erosion, ecological and institutional sustainability, conflict, and degree of dependency. Questions asked were how the different analyses should be interpreted and how the system could be kept updated. The results show that the system needs resource-demanding and field assistance to be kept dynamic. The system is also dependent on the interpretations of the analyses. The limits or levels of assistance for forest management depend on the resources available. The system illustrates how a tool can be utilized for decisions regarding input of resources. It can further be very useful in defining and comparing different areas in order to detect areas in need of assistance and the type of help needed.     

Households’ recycling efforts

Households’ recycling effort is often argued to be of an insignificant size. It is also frequently argued that this contribution, if significant, is not a cost to households, since it is voluntary. Thus households’ use of time and energy are frequently disregarded in cost-benefit analyses of stricter recycling targets. In this survey, based on 1162 interviews, we find that sorting at source involves significant extra use of time and energy in the households. On average, each of those asked reported that they use close to half an hour a week for cleaning, sorting and transporting recyclable waste. On average, 185 h is used per tonne of waste. Four out of ten reported that they use warm or hot water to clean the materials. When investigating the motives for sorting waste, we find that many perceive sorting as mandatory, while some in fact find it a pleasant activity in itself. Moral motives for sorting at source are also widespread. A majority would prefer that a company took over the sorting if this were possible, and on average, the respondents are willing to pay US$ 20/year for this service.     

塔里木河下游应急输水前后胡杨年轮生长差异

1972年塔里木河下游大西海子水库建成,下游365km河道彻底断流。为拯救沿河植被,2000年5月启动了塔里木河下游应急输水工程,迄今已经完成了7次应急输水。文章通过对塔里木河中游英巴扎和下游输水河畔英苏、喀尔达依、阿拉干断面胡杨(Populus euphratica)一级枝年轮取样调查,运用统计方法比较不同离河距离输水前后胡杨生长量差异的大小,分析了下游应急输水河畔胡杨种群对输水的响应。结果表明:1)英苏断面和喀尔达依断面在离河0~1000m输水前后胡杨生长量差异极显著。阿拉干断面在离河0~300m输水前后胡杨生长量差异极显著,离河300~700m生长量差异显著,700~1000m生长量差异不显著。由输水前后胡杨年轮生长量均值差可得,同一断面不同离河距胡杨年均生长量随离河距增大而降低。2)输水后下游3个调查断面在离河0~300m胡杨生长量增长由大到小顺序为:喀尔达依>英苏>阿拉干;离河300~700m由大到小顺序为:喀尔达依>阿拉干>英苏。3)以中游胡杨同年生长量作为参照对下游胡杨生长量进行相关比较的结果表明:应急输水前输水河畔各离河距离胡杨生长量均小于中游参照河段的生长量。应急输水后,输水河畔离河0~300m生长量已超过中游的生长量;离河300~700m输水河畔的生长量接近中游生长量;离河700~1000m生长量小于中游参照河段生长量,应急输水明显地促进了胡杨生长。