Opportunities for redistributed manufacturing and digital intelligence as enablers of a circular economy

The linear production of consumer goods is characterised by mass manufacture by multinational enterprises and globally dispersed supply chains. The current centralised model has created a distance between the manufacturer and end user, limiting the opportunity for intelligent circular approaches for production and consumption. Through a mixed method approach, opportunities of circularity are explored for the consumer goods sector. The study presents four lenses to analyse three enterprises through a multi-case study approach to explore the potential of digital intelligence and redistributed manufacturing (RDM) as enablers of circular business models. In addition, the study examines whether Discrete Event Simulation can be used to evaluate the circular scenarios identified through quantifying flows of material that determine traditional economic value (cost/tonne). The mixed method approach demonstrates that, a qualitative systemic analysis can reveal opportunities for circularity, gained through implementing ‘digital intelligence’ and distributed models of production and consumption. Furthermore, simulations can provide a quantified evaluation on the effects of introducing circular activities across a supply chain.     

沈阳环境空气臭氧浓度及累积速率时序曲线模拟研究

为了解环境空气臭氧累积规律,利用2017年沈阳市环境空气臭氧浓度数据,统计分析臭氧累积速率,并利用回归方法拟合并优化臭氧浓度及其累积速率的时间序列模型,同时结合气温、风力、臭氧前体物等时序变化情况分析臭氧浓度的影响因素。研究发现:沈阳市臭氧月均浓度年变化、日均浓度年变化以及小时浓度日变化时序曲线均呈现单峰形态;年变化中,6月的臭氧浓度最大,4月臭氧累积速率达到最大值;日变化中,14:00臭氧浓度达到最大值,09:00—11:00臭氧累积速率最大,19:00—20:00臭氧迅速消减。温度、风速同臭氧浓度之间均有较好的正相关性。臭氧前体物二氧化氮、挥发性有机物与臭氧浓度之间均呈明显的负相关性。     

Application of Sample Selection Model in Estimating Response Functions for Nitrate Percolation

The Seymour aquifer region of Texas has been identified as containing elevated levels of nitrate in ground water. Various state and federal agencies are currently studying policy options for the region by gathering more site-specific information. However, because of lack of sufficient information, cause and effect relationships between water quality and agricultural practices have not been well established for the region. Some recently available biophysical simulation models have impressive capabilities in generating large amounts of data on environmental pollution resulting from agricultural production practices. In this study, the data generated by a biophysical simulation model were used to estimate the nitrate percolation response functions for the Seymour aquifer region. Interestingly, nitrate percolation values obtained from simulation models often comprise acensoredsample because the non-zero percolation values are only observed under certain climatic events and input levels. It has been shown in the econometric literature that the use of Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) on censored sample data produces biased and inconsistent parameter estimates. Thus, a sample selection model was used in this study to estimate the response functions for nitrate percolation. The study provides some insight into the relationship between nitrate percolation and agricultural production practices. In particular, the study demonstrates the potential of selected design standards in minimizing agricultural nonpoint-source (NPS) pollution for the study area.     

基于健康风险的三氯杀螨醇生产设备表面污染物筛选值推算的初步研究

运用确定性和概率性人体健康风险评估的方法,推算一般工业暴露情景和拆卸清理暴露情景下三氯杀螨醇生产设备表面污染物的筛选值.结果表明:p,p'-滴滴涕、p,p'-滴滴滴和p,p'-滴滴依基于确定性风险评估的设备表面筛选值在一般工业暴露情景下分别为0.224 mg/m2、0.214 mg/m2和0.151 mg/m2,在拆卸...     

外秦淮河底泥释放对上覆水水质的影响

通过静态模拟实验，分析了外秦淮河底泥中释放出的与黑臭有关的DO、COD、NH3-N对上覆水水质的影响。上覆水中COD质量浓度是前4d呈下降趋势，至第11d基本稳定；NH3-N质量浓度是前4d呈上升趋势，至第11d趋于稳定；DO质量浓度是从开始实验时的7mg/L左右，很快下降至第11d的1mg/L以下才基本稳定。结果表明，外秦淮河底泥释放对上覆水水质有一定影响，并且这种释放有明显的梯度效应。     

基于BAT-OOPN理论的煤电机组超低排放限值研究

应用由经典Petri网发展而来的面向对象Petri网的理论和方法,将Petri网移植引入绥电超低排放(BAT)工艺中,对绥电超低排放(BAT)数值模拟进行研究。结果表明,在置信水平为99%时,颗粒物、SO2、NOx的浓度正态分布均值置信区间为颗粒物(4.0,4.9),SO2(10.9,14.2),NOx(35.1,39.1);最佳排放质量浓度为:颗粒物1.7 mg/m^3,SO22.0 mg/m^3,NOx19.8 mg/m^3;最差排放质量浓度为:颗粒物7.5 mg/m^3,SO231.0 mg/m^3,NOx47.9 mg/m^3。根据最佳排放浓度指出污染物削减潜力以及绥电减排的空间,可以根据最差排放浓度进行污染源预警;依据仿真结果并结合现有的排放标准,拟定燃煤电厂超低排放限值为颗粒物5.0mg/m^3,SO215 mg/m^3,NOx40 mg/m^3。     

楼梯间电动车火灾数值模拟研究

楼梯井电动车火灾呈典型的烟囱效应现象,短暂燃烧,浓烟迅猛,往往危害很大。模拟结合全尺寸实验结果,基于FDS软件对电动车在楼梯井内燃烧进行动态仿真,相关数据进行对比分析。研究结果表明:物理实验数据与数值模拟数据比较吻合,楼梯间平均温度370℃左右,最高温度超过1 000℃,楼梯间浓烟毒性很大;火焰卷吸处上方的无量纲温度随楼梯井竖直高度的增加而减小,同一区域的近墙处温度较高;火灾后期在喷淋作用下,CO浓度在火灾熄灭阶段有所增加。     

基于SD-ABMS方法的航空应急医疗转运任务仿真系统

为解决我国航空应急医疗转运演练成本高昂及我国航空医疗转运任务执行机理相关研究不足的问题,依据真实的医疗转运场景,抽象出病患、飞行员、医护、机务、医院负责人、安保、环境等共16种Agent和详细的医疗转运流程;使用ABMS方法对各Agent的离散行为及Agent间的协同行为进行建模,使用SD方法对各Agent的连续行为进行建模, 从微观视角刻画并实现航空应急医疗转运任务仿真模型,并基于Anylogic实现航空应急医疗转运任务系统可视化原型。研究结果展示了航空应急医疗转运任务执行机理,可降低相关演练成本,也可为航空应急医疗转运实时任务评估提供支持。     

多因素下开洞口煤仓风致积雪CFD模拟及拟合研究

为解决结构设计时开洞口圆形煤仓表面无法确定荷载分布系数问题,使用计算流体力学软件研究了开洞口煤仓不同跨度下风向角、积雪厚度及矢跨比变化下屋面积雪不均匀分布情况,提出了针对此种特殊结构的屋面积雪值拟合公式。研究结果表明:此公式拟合准确度高,屋面积雪值随风向角和积雪厚度增大而变大,风向角对积雪值影响极大,矢跨比影响下屋面积雪值变化较为复杂,且风向角和矢跨比2种参数相互影响,不应单一考虑矢跨比对球壳屋面积雪值的影响。     

烧结烟气SCR脱硝系统的数值模拟及工程验证

对某钢厂烧结机增设的选择性催化还原（SCR）烟气脱硝系统进行了数值模拟优化及工程验证。将高温焦炉烟气喷入烧结烟气后,喷氨格栅入口平均温度提高了30 K,为催化剂层的SCR反应提供了较适宜的温度。采用分别在烟道弯头处和反应器主体入口处添加导流板的方法解决了烟气回流问题,SCR反应器第一层催化剂入口处速度最大偏转角降为8.2°,氨与NO_x摩尔比的标准偏差系数降至4.11%,SCR反应器脱硝率为82.6%,均达到技术标准要求。